Florida, 2003Flood in Florida, June 21 to 23, 2003
June 21 to 23, 2003 · NWS TBW · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 21, 12:20 PM EST, 4 hours 27 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 21, 12:20 PM EST, 4 hours 27 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
120 PM EDT SAT JUN 21 2003
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. BRIEF BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER EARLIER HAS ADDED TO
HEATING INCREASING INSTABILITY THE FILL IN WITH MORE THUNDERSTORMS.
FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES WITH ABUNDANT RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER ALREADY
SATURATED AREAS AS MANY RIVERS REMAIN IN OR NEAR FLOOD.
MODELS DIFFER CONSIDERABLY THRU 60 HOURS. BELIEVE GFS OVERDONE
WITH SFC LOW DEVELOPING ON FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THEN INTO THE
EASTERN GULF. WILL GO WITH MORE OF THE SAME FOR TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
WESTERLY FLOW TO CONTINUE TO KEEP ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE IN PLACE
AS UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVES/PVA ROTATE OVERHEAD. MOISTURE TO SLOWLY
SINK SOUTHWARD IN TIME...SO WILL HOLD THE HIGHEST POPS SOUTH AND
TREND LOWER INTO THE NORTH. TEMPS TO REMAIN STEADY. WILL CONTINUE
FLOOD WATCH ALL AREAS INTO SUNDAY...WITH MORE EXPECTED RAINFALL IN
ALREADY SATURATED AREAS. EXPECT TO SEE MORE IN THE WAY OF SUN AND
LOWER SCT POPS ON MON. TEMPS TO WARM TO NEAR NORMAL.
EXTENDED(TUE-SAT)...LATEST GFS SOLUTION NOW DIFFERING FROM PREVIOUS
RUNS WITH RESPECT TO DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE NORTH FOR THE
BEGINNING OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. 12Z RUN NOW DEPICTS UPPER
TROUGHINESS AND AMPLE TROPICAL MOISTURE REMAINING IN PLACE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FA THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE GFS DEPICTING A
WEAK (1010-1013MB) SPURIOUS LOOKING SFC LOW LURKING JUST OFFSHORE THE
FL WEST COAST THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS SOLUTION IS RATHER SUSPECT AT
THIS TIME...SO CONFIDENCE IN ITS FORECAST IS ON THE LOW SIDE SO WILL
MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO POPS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ZONES...WITH
SLIGHTLY LOWER VALUES FAR NORTH...WHERE SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR WILL
RESIDE.
BEYOND THIS THE MRF SHOWS A SFC RIDGE AXIS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL PENINSULA FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...SO A MORE TYPICAL
SUMMER TIME REGIME SHOULD BE THE RULE WITH MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING CONVECTION GENERATED BY AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS. NO
REAL TEMPERATURE CHANGES EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH READINGS
CONTINUING AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL LEVELS.
MARINE...SW/WESTERLY FLOW TO CONTINUE WITH LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED.
NO HIGHLIGHTS EXPECTED.
FIRE WEATHER...NO HIGHLIGHTS.
PRELIMINARY NUMBERS:
BKV 073/088 072/090 5533
TPA 076/088 075/089 7734
GIF 075/089 074/090 6734
SRQ 076/087 074/088 7854
FMY 074/088 074/089 7865
.TBW...FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL ZONES INTO SUNDAY.
RD/JM
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 21, 5:15 AM EST, 11 hours 32 minutes before
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-211500-
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
615 AM EDT SAT JUN 21 2003
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY:
...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TODAY...
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT...AND THIS COMBINED WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL
CAUSE PERIODS OF RAIN AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP.
WIDESPREAD RAINS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY 8 INCHES...IS
LIKELY AGAIN TODAY. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE SERIOUS
PROBLEMS...INCLUDING WIDESPREAD FRESHWATER FLOODING. SUCH FLOODING
COULD CLOSE DOZENS OF ROADS...INCLUDING A FEW MAJOR THOROUGHFARES...
AND FLOOD PASTURE LAND.
IN ADDITION...THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL POSE A THREAT OF STRONG GUSTY
WINDS UP TO 35 MPH AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY:
THE MOIST TROPICAL AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM OVER THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF A BRADENTON TO SEBRING LINE...
WITH THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN SUNDAY AND SOME FLOODING STILL
POSSIBLE.
MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WILL SEE A RETURN TO ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
MAINLY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE
REGION.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW
PRC
Flood, Manatee
- When
- June 21, 4:47 PM EST to June 23, 3:00 PM EST
- Where
- Manatee forecast zone
- Reported by
- OFFICIAL NWS OBS.
The Manatee River at Rye Bridge crested at 19.71 feet on June 22nd. Manual river readings were performed as the gauge went under water. This was the second highest crest ever and the highest crest since the Manatee Dam was built. The flood stage is 11 feet.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Lightning Strike in Florida, June 21, 20031 death · 1 injured · 1 event
- Tornadoes and Hail in Wyoming, June 21, 2003$17 million · F0 · 9 events
- Flood in Florida, June 21 to 30, 2003$9.2 million · 1 event
- Hail in South Dakota, June 21, 2003$1.0 million · 1.25 in hail · 4 events
- Flood in Florida, June 21 to 23, 2003$935,000 · 1 event
- Hail in South Dakota, June 21, 2003$250,000 · 2.5 in hail · 5 events
- Flash Flood in Pennsylvania, June 21, 2003$100,000 · 1 event
- Lightning Strike in Delaware, June 21, 2003$80,000 · 1 event
- Hail and Damaging Winds in North Dakota, June 21, 20031.75 in hail · 28 events
- Tornado in Oregon, June 21, 2003F1 · 1 event
- Flash Flood in Mississippi, June 21, 2003$30,000 · 1 event
- Hail and Damaging Winds in South Dakota, June 21, 20031 in hail · 22 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5363885.