Florida, 2003Damaging Wind in Florida, July 16, 2003
July 16, 2003 · NWS TBW · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 thunderstorm wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 16, 12:52 PM EST, 3 hours 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 12:52 PM EST, 3 hours 23 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
152 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2003
CURRENTLY...VISIBLE SATELLITE LOOP DEPICTS WELL DEVELOPED EAST
COAST SEA BREEZE AND EXPANDING AREA OF CONVECTION ALONG IT VIA 88D
RETURNS FROM THE CAPE SOUTH...WITH THE WEST COAST BOUNDARY JUST
GETTING UNDERWAY WITH ADDITIONAL CONVECTION FIRING ALONG IT FROM
SOUTHERN PINELLAS COUNTY NORTH TO BROOKSVILLE...AND IN THE VICINITY
OF NAPLES. LAPS SOUNDING DATA SHOWS AMPLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
ACROSS THE FA...SO AM EXPECTING AN INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE OF
STORMS THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. WITH WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWING DRIER
MID LEVEL AIR MOVING NWWD ACROSS SOUTHERN MOST ZONES...SOME STORMS
COULD BECOME QUITE STRONG OR EVEN SEVERE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS
BEFORE FINALLY WINDING DOWN AFTER SUNSET. GIVEN THIS WILL INCLUDE
WORDING FOR SOME STORMS POSSIBLY STRONG IN THE 5PM ZONE RELEASE FOR
THE EVENING HOURS.
SHORT TERM(THURS-FRI)...LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE IN SYNOPTIC SCALE
PATTERN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH MODELS AGAIN FAIRLY SIMILAR
WITH THEIR INDIVIDUAL SOLUTIONS. THE FORECAST AREA WILL CONTINUE TO
BE SANDWICHED IN BETWEEN DEEP LAYERED RIDGING TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST
AND TO THE NORTHWEST...WHILE WEAK UPPER TROUGHINESS AND 50H SHEAR
AXIS PERSISTS ACROSS THE SERN STATES AND NRN PENINSULA. SUBTLE
DIFFERENCES IN MODELS WITH RESPECT TO MOISTURE LEVELS WITH THE GFS
CONTINUING TO DEPICT SLIGHTLY LESS MOISTURE AND CONTINUED LOWER
POPS...WHILE THE NGM/ETA CONTINUE TO BE SOMEWHAT WETTER LOOKING.
GIVEN THE 50H SHEAR AXIS TO THE NORTH...VERY WEAK TO NON-EXISTENT
1000-500MB FLOW SUPPORTING EAST/WEST SEA BREEZES...AM INCLINED TO
FAVOR THE HIGHER POP SOLUTION ADVERTISED BY BOTH ETA/FWC. GIVEN THIS
PLAN TO ADVERTISE AROUND CLIMO-LEVEL POPS (50%) DURING THE DAYLIGHT
HOURS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...AND 20-30% RANGE FOR THE EVENING TIME
FRAMES. GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES AGAIN FAIRLY SIMILAR AND ACCEPTED...
BUT PREFER BLEND OF HIGHER FWC/MET POPS VS LOWER MAV NUMBERS.
EXTENDED(SAT-WED)...
LATEST LONG RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW WEAK SFC RIDGE MEANDERING
OVER THE FL PENINSULA IN WARM MOIST ENVIRONMENT. EXPECT TYPICAL
SUMMERTIME MAINLY DIURNAL CONVECTION WITH NEAR CLIMO TEMPS AND POPS.
MARINE...SURFACE RIDGE AXIS PROGD TO MEANDER ABOUT OVER THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN WATERS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS WILL FAVOR A SE-SLY
FLOW ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS...WITH A SOUTH TO SWLY FLOW
TO THE NORTH. NON-EXISTENT GRADIENT WILL FAVOR ONSHORE SEA BREEZES
EACH AFTERNOON. NO HIGHLIGHTS EXPECTED.
FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS.
PRELIMINARY #S
BKV 070/091 070/090 2525
TPA 074/090 075/090 2525
SRQ 075/089 073/089 2525
GIF 073/091 075/092 3535
FMY 073/092 074/092 3535
.TBW...NONE.
JCM
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 4:55 AM EST, 11 hours 20 minutes before
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-161500-
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
555 AM EDT WED JUL 16 2003
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT:
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP BETWEEN 11 AM AND 1 PM ALONG THE
GULF COAST SEA BREEZE AND WHERE THE SEA BREEZE AND BAY BREEZES
INTERSECT AROUND TAMPA AND SAINT PETERSBURG. THESE STORMS WILL
CONTAIN OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...A BRIEF
DOWNPOUR...AND WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP BETWEEN 1 AND 4 PM...AND SHOULD
BECOME MOST NUMEROUS NORTH OF A TAMPA BAY TO LAKELAND LINE. THE
STORMS WILL CONTINUE IN SOME AREAS UNTIL SUNSET...THEN FADE TO
SHOWERS. VERY LIGHT STEERING FLOW WILL ALLOW STORMS TO FORM JUST
ABOUT ANYWHERE THIS AFTERNOON.
STRONGER STORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY PRODUCE URBAN FLOODING
IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.
A POCKET OF COOL AIR WELL ABOVE THE SURFACE MAY ALLOW A FEW STORMS
TO REACH SEVERE LIMITS...WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING PENNY SIZE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY:
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY. LIGHT SOUTHWEST
STEERING FLOW MAY HELP INITIATE A FEW EARLY MORNING STORMS NEAR THE
SUNCOAST GENERALLY FROM PINELLAS COUNTY NORTHWARD...ESPECIALLY FROM
FRIDAY ON. OTHERWISE...STORMS WILL TEND TO OCCUR BETWEEN NOON AND
SUNSET.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
UPDATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WARNINGS OR ADVISORIES...LATER TODAY.
FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW
BSG
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 1:15 PM EST, 3 hours before
FLZ050-161900-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
215 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2003
...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN PINELLAS COUNTY THROUGH
3 PM EDT...
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEARLY STATIONARY...WILL AFFECT SAINT PETE
BEACH...GULFPORT...SAINT PETERSBURG AND LEALMAN...UNTIL 300 PM EDT.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT
OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS.
TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR
FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. AT 208 PM EDT A FUNNEL CLOUD WAS
OBSERVED AT 5TH AVENUE AND 20TH STREET IN SAINT PETERSBURG WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.
MCMICHAEL
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 2:00 PM EST, 2 hours 15 minutes before
FLZ049-161945-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
300 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2003
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL PASCO COUNTY...
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM...NEARLY STATIONARY...WILL AFFECT MOON LAKE
ESTATES AND LAND O LAKES...UNTIL 345 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS 40 TO 50
MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE
LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. EXCESSIVE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS
EXPECTED IF OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL
OBJECTS. IF INDOORS...REFRAIN FROM USING ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES. HAIL
UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER IS EXPECTED. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL
CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 3:00 PM EST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
FLZ065-162030-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
400 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2003
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN LEE COUNTY...
A THUNDERSTORM MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH...WILL AFFECT RURAL
EASTERN LEE COUNTY...10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LEHIGH ACRES...UNTIL 430
PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW
SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL.
TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR
FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
Special weather statement, Jul 16, 3:30 PM EST, 45 minutes before
FLZ065-162115-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
430 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2003
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTH LEE COUNTY...
THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH...WILL AFFECT ESTERO AND AREAS
NEAR SOUTHWEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...UNTIL 515 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS
40 TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. FREQUENT CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN
A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN
DIAMETER IS POSSIBLE. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
Thunderstorm Wind, Polk
- When
- July 16, 4:15 PM EST
- Where
- Polk County, Polk City
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Reported by
- EMERGENCY MANAGER
- Coordinates
- 28.183, -81.817
Thunderstorm winds downed trees and blew the roof off a mobile home.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Wildfire in California, July 16 to 24, 200314 injured · $1.0 million · 2 events
- Wildfire in Montana, July 16 to 27, 2003$3.9 million · 1 event
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Georgia, July 16, 20031 injured · $1.1 million · 50 kt wind · 11 events
- Wildfire in Washington, July 16, 2003$1.0 million · 1 event
- Flood in Alaska, July 16 to 17, 2003$1.0 million · 1 event
- Tropical Storm in Texas, July 16, 2003$100,000 · 1 event
- Tropical Storm in Texas, July 16, 2003$70,000 · 1 event
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Virginia, July 16, 2003$37,000 · 50 kt wind · 6 events
- Tropical Storm and Flash Flooding in Texas, July 16 to 17, 2003$12,000 · 57 kt wind · 6 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Virginia, July 16, 200360 kt wind · 4 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Montana, July 16, 20031 in hail · 4 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in North Carolina, July 16, 200358 kt wind · 2 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5366685.