Hail in Colorado, April 29, 2003

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
225 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2003

FLOW ALOFT REMAINS SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WITH
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NORTHWEST STATES AND A RIDGE AXIS JUST EAST OF
THE AREA. ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...WITH THE BEST CHANCES NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70
IN VICINITY OF BOUNDARY. DRY AIR AT 700 MB HAS ADVANCED INTO THE
AREA FROM THE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST AND HAVE LOWERED POPS ACCORDINGLY.

LOWS TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S NORTHWEST TO THE MID 50S IN
THE SOUTHEAST AS MOIST EASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH EARLY MORNING
BEFORE WINDS BACK TO A NORTHERLY DIRECTION TOWARD MORNING. STABILITY
PARAMETERS SUGGEST A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE FORECAST AREA ON WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER
NOTHING SEVERE IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY WILL
BEGIN TO COOL AS HEIGHTS/TEMPS ALOFT LOWER.

NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WILL KEEP HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S.
RETURN FLOW WILL SET UP ON FRIDAY AS UPPER RIDGING BEGINS TO AMPLIFY
ACROSS THE AREA. EXPECT HIGHS TO REBOUND OVER THE WEEKEND WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS
SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE ROCKIES. GFS BRINGS A COLD FRONT ACROSS
THE AREA ON MONDAY WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BACK INTO THE 60S ON
MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

.GLD...NONE.

MCGUIRE

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-301115-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1049 AM MDT TUE APR 29 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST KANSAS...EXTREME
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST OF THE ROCKIES AND ACROSS THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WITH DEWPOINTS WELL
INTO THE 50S AND HIGH TEMPERATURES APPROACHING 80 PRODUCING AN
UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. SOME OF THESE
STORMS WILL BECOME SEVERE. THE BEST CHANCE FOR STRONG STORM
DEVELOPMENT WILL BE NORTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM YUMA COLORADO TO
GOVE KANSAS. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

FURTHER THERE IS A CHANCE FOR A FEW TORNADOES ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF
A LINE FROM NEAR STRATTON NEBRASKA TO NEAR NORTON KANSAS. HEAVY
RAINS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES FELL IN THIS SAME AREA LAST NIGHT...SO FLASH
FLOODING IS ALSO A THREAT THERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY.

RJC

KSZ002>004-014>016-029-NEZ080-081-300200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
244 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER
181 VALID UNTIL 800 PM MDT (900 PM CDT) THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NEBRASKA THIS WATCH INCLUDES...

HITCHCOCK
RED WILLOW

IN KANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES...

RAWLINS
DECATUR
NORTON
THOMAS
SHERIDAN
GRAHAM
GOVE

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF MCCOOK...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...
NORTON...COLBY...HOXIE...HILL CITY AND GOVE.

SR

COZ090>092-KSZ001-013-027-028-041-042-NEZ079-300300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
305 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NUMBER 182 VALID UNTIL 900 PM MDT (1000 PM CDT) THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NEBRASKA THIS WATCH INCLUDES...

DUNDY

IN KANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES...

CHEYENNE
SHERMAN
WALLACE
LOGAN
GREELEY
WICHITA

IN COLORADO THIS WATCH INCLUDES...

YUMA
KIT CARSON
CHEYENNE

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BENKELMAN...ST. FRANCIS...
GOODLAND...SHARON SPRINGS...RUSSELL SPRINGS...TRIBUNE...
LEOTI...WRAY...YUMA...FLAGLER...BURLINGTON AND CHEYENNE WELLS.

SR