Hail in Arkansas, March 13, 2003

Name: Hail in Arkansas, March 13, 2003
Start: 2003-03-13T01:35
End: 2003-03-13T02:35
Location: Arkansas

March 13, 2003 · NWS TSA · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

3 hail, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

Tornadoes
Tropical storms and surge
Floods
Wind
Hail
Winter weather
Heat and drought
Cold
Fire, smoke and dust
Marine and coastal
Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths: 0
Injuries: 0
Property damage: None recorded
Crop damage: None recorded
Events: 3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 12, 8:26 PM CST, 5 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 12, 8:26 PM CST, 5 hours 9 minutes before

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA
826 PM CST WED MAR 12 2003

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH JUST ISSUED FOR NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
CWA...INCLUDING TULSA METRO AREA. THUNDERSTORMS JUST NOW INITIATING
ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE CWA...ALONG A LINE STRETCHING SOUTHWEST
FROM SURFACE LOW IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS. WILL QUICKLY UPDATE ZONES TO
INCLUDE THE WATCH. WILL ALSO RAISE AREA MINIMUMS ABOUT A CATEGORY AS
IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THE CAA WILL LAG FROPA FAR ENOUGH TO HOLD MINS
UP. IN ADDITION...WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT CLOUD COVER A BIT.

TUL   59   68   43   74  / 60    5    5    5
FSM   60   73   46   74  / 50   20   10    5
MLC   62   72   49   77  / 50   10   10    5
BVO   53   67   37   73  / 60    0    5    5
FYV   57   67   37   71  / 60   10   10    5
BYV   56   64   38   70  / 70   10    5    5
MIO   56   64   39   72  / 70    5    5    5
F10   62   71   46   75  / 50    5   10    5
HHW   64   73   50   77  / 50   30   10    5

FORECAST ID= 06

.TSA...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 12, 1:00 PM CST, 12 hours 35 minutes before

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-131200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CST WED MAR 12 2003

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
AREA 1...EXTREME NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS

PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS...70

IF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP...
  PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS...70
  TIME OF INITIAL EVENT...700 PM
  PROBABILITY OF A TORNADO/F2 OR GREATER TORNADO...5/2
  PROBABILITY OF GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL OR LARGER...50
  PROBABILITY OF 73 MPH WIND OR GREATER...15

AREA 2...REMAINDER OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS

PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS...40

IF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP...
  PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS...50
  TIME OF INITIAL EVENT...700 PM
  PROBABILITY OF A TORNADO/F2 OR GREATER TORNADO...5/2
  PROBABILITY OF GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL OR LARGER...40
  PROBABILITY OF 73 MPH WIND OR GREATER...15

DISCUSSION...
A SURFACE BOUNDARY STRETCHED FROM NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA THROUGH CENTRAL
KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DRY LINE ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
PANHANDLES. SURFACE DEW POINTS HAVE SOARED INTO THE 50S AND 60S
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON.
THE IMPROVING MOISTURE COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S WILL
RESULT IN CAPES AROUND 2000 TO 2500 J/KG BY LATE AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...A CAPPING INVERSION SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY SHOULD
EFFECTIVELY LIMIT CONVECTION FOR MOST OF THE AFTERNOON.

INITIAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON
ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...NEAR THE
AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BUILD
SOUTHWEST-WARD ALONG THE COLD FRONT/DRY LINE INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
DURING THE EVENING. THIS ACTIVITY IS THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A
COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT.

IMPRESSIVE WIND SHEAR PROFILES AND INSTABILITY ARE SUPPORTIVE OF
SUPERCELLS...WITH THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT BEING LARGE HAIL.

.SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY AFTER 6 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
DRY AND WARM WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH THE NEXT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVING BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY

GIVEN PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR AN OCCURRENCE
ANYWHERE IN THE DEFINED AREA.

RELATED GRAPHICAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 12, 9:25 PM CST, 4 hours 10 minutes before

OKZ054>063-130600-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
925 PM CST WED MAR 12 2003

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST ALL OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA UNTIL 2 AM...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...

OSAGE...PAWNEE...WASHINGTON...TULSA...NOWATA...ROGERS...CRAIG...MAYES
...OTTAWA...DELAWARE...CREEK...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAID...OKFUSKEE
...OKMULGEE...MUSKOGEE...SEQUOYAH...MCINTOSH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL
...LATIMER AND LE FLORE.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA DURING THE REST OF THE EVENING INTO THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS.  LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL OCCUR WITH
SOME OF THE STORMS.

STAY TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR FURTHER INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

Special weather statement, Mar 12, 9:53 PM CST, 3 hours 42 minutes before

OKZ064-130445-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
953 PM CST WED MAR 12 2003

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR CREEK COUNTY UNTIL 1045 PM
   CST...

AT 953 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES
NORTHWEST OF MILFAY...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.
THE COMMUNITIES OF BRISTOW...MILFAY...SLICK AND DEPEW WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM THROUGH 1045 PM CST.

Local storm report, Mar 12, 10:43 PM CST, 2 hours 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1043 PM CST WED MAR 12 2003

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1000 PM    MILFAY                    OK   1.00 IN HAIL
03/12/03   CREEK                          REPORTED BY TRAINED
                                          SPOTTER

PS

Special weather statement, Mar 12, 10:47 PM CST, 2 hours 48 minutes before

KSZ099>101-MOZ088-093>095-101>104-OKZ054>063-130800-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1047 PM CST WED MAR 12 2003

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #35 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...OSAGE...WASHINGTON AND PAWNEE...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #35 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CST
FOR...NOWATA...OTTAWA...CRAIG...DELAWARE...ROGERS...MAYES AND TULSA
COUNTIES...

Local storm report, Mar 12, 11:34 PM CST, 2 hours 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1134 PM CST WED MAR 12 2003

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0957 PM    MILFAY                    OK   0.88 IN HAIL
03/12/03   CREEK                          REPORTED BY TRAINED
                                          SPOTTER

PS

Special weather statement, Mar 12, 11:35 PM CST, 2 hours before

OKZ056>058-060>063-130800-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1135 PM CST WED MAR 12 2003

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 36 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...CREEK AND WAGONER...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 36 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CST
FOR...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH
...SEQUOYAH...PITTSBURG...HASKELLLATIMER AND LE FLORE.

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 44 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 07:36 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 hail. Local standard time, as filed.

Hail, Crawford

When: March 13, 1:35 AM CST
Where: Crawford County, Leecreek
Measured: 1 in hail
Reported by: AMATEUR RADIO
Coordinates: 35.683, -94.350

Hail, Sebastian

When: March 13, 2:25 AM CST
Where: Sebastian County, Rye Hill
Measured: 1 in hail
Reported by: AMATEUR RADIO
Coordinates: 35.267, -94.367

Hail, Franklin

When: March 13, 2:35 AM CST
Where: Franklin County, 5 mi SW of Ozark
Measured: 0.75 in hail
Reported by: AMATEUR RADIO
Coordinates: 35.450, -93.900

What these are

Hail: Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

Every storm in Arkansas in 2003 Every state in 2003 This day in weather history Warnings in Arkansas, March 2003

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5347996, 5347997, 5347998.