Arizona, 2003

Flash Flood in Arizona, September 9, 2003

September 9, 2003 · NWS FGZ · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 9, 10:00 AM MST, 3 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 9, 10:00 AM MST, 3 hours 15 minutes before
NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1000 AM MST TUE SEP 9 2003

.SYNOPSIS...FREQUENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF
THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DRIER NORTHERLY FLOW WILL MOVE OVER
ARIZONA BY THURSDAY...WITH NO MORE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED LATE THIS
WEEK AND INTO THE COMING WEEKEND. COOL TEMPERATURES WILL ACCOMPANY
THE RAIN TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...WITH CONDITIONS RETURNING TO NORMAL
BY THE WEEKEND.

.DISCUSSION...A LONG-WAVE TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN UNITED
STATES TODAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH A SERIES OF SHORT-WAVE DISTURBANCES
MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW. PLENTY OF TROPICAL MOISTURE HAS MOVED INTO
NORTHERN ARIZONA AND ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM ARE SURE
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN. THE BEST COMBINATION OF UPSLOPE
FLOW...MOISTURE AND UPPER DYNAMIC WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MOGOLLON
RIM...YAVAPAI AND GILA COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ANOTHER
AREA TO WATCH WILL BE FAR NORTHEAST ARIZONA WHERE MOISTURE...DYNAMICS
AND COLD AIR ALOFT WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE ANOTHER AREA OF FOCUS FOR
HEAVY STORMS.

THE LONG-WAVE TROUGH MOVES TO THE EAST ON THURSDAY WITH A DRIER AIR
MASS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA.

MCCOLLUM

.NOTE...EFFECTIVE WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 1 2003...THE TEMPERATURES AND
PROBABILITIES OF PRECIPITATION TABLE (BELOW) WILL NO LONGER BE
APPENDED TO THIS PRODUCT. THE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH PREVAILING
DAYTIME WEATHER...WILL BE AVAILABLE IN THE RECENTLY ADOPTED TABULAR
STATE FORECAST (SFT). THE SFT PROVIDES THESE FORECASTS THROUGH 7
DAYS. THE WMO HEADER FOR THIS PRODUCT IS FPUS65 KPSR. THE PRODUCT
IDENTIFIER IS PHXSFTAZ. USING THE INTERNET...YOU CAN ACCESS THE SFT
DIRECTLY AT HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/CGI-BIN/GPRODUCT.PL?FLGPHXSFTAZ

.FGZ...FFA UNTIL 8 PM MST AZ ZONES 8/10/11/12/16/16/17/18/37/38/39/40.

.CODED TEMPERATURES/POPS FOR SELECTED CITIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA

CITY             TEMPERATURES HI/LO           PROBABILITY OF PRECIP
                 TDY TON   WED     THU        TDY TON   WED   THU
FLAGSTAFF        065/051 066/043 068/039      070 050 040 020 020 000
WINSLOW          080/062 079/052 079/048      030 030 020 010 000 000
PRESCOTT         075/058 077/052 078/048      060 050 040 020 000 000
PAGE             085/068 082/063 082/059      030 020 020 000 000 000
WINDOW ROCK      070/052 070/046 072/042      060 040 040 030 020 000
CANYON DE CHELLY 076/059 076/053 078/049      040 030 030 030 020 000
COTTONWOOD       086/066 088/060 089/056      050 040 030 020 000 000
GRAND CANYON     066/052 067/044 069/040      050 040 030 020 000 000
GREER            062/050 063/042 065/038      070 050 040 030 030 000
HEBER            070/054 071/046 073/042      070 050 040 020 020 000
JACOB LAKE       062/051 063/043 065/039      040 030 030 020 000 000
NAVAJO N.M.      068/058 068/052 070/048      050 040 030 020 000 000
PAYSON           079/058 081/052 082/048      060 050 040 020 000 000
SEDONA           083/065 085/059 086/055      060 050 040 020 000 000
SELIGMAN         078/051 080/045 081/041      040 030 030 020 000 000
SHOW LOW         071/060 072/052 074/048      040 040 030 030 020 000
ST. JOHNS        076/058 075/048 075/044      040 040 030 030 020 000
WUPATKI N.M.     082/064 081/054 081/050      040 030 020 010 000 000
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 9, 10:00 AM MST, 3 hours 15 minutes before
AZZ004>018-037>040-100200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1000 AM MST TUE SEP 9 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN
GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARIZONA
UNTIL 8 PM MST...

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING
TROPICAL MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH THIS
EVENING. FREQUENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER
NORTHERN ARIZONA...SOME RAIN WILL BE VERY HEAVY. AREAS ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE MOUNTAINS WILL RECEIVE THE
MOST RAINFALL.  IN ADDITION...MOISTURE HAS MOVED INTO NORTHEAST
ARIZONA IN THE AREA OF BLACK MESA...CHINLE VALLEY AND THE CHUSKA
MOUNTAINS. SOME AREAS IN THE WATCH AREA WILL RECEIVE TOTALS
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEFINITION OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER...A WEATHER EVENT POSING A THREAT
TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 9, 8:31 AM MST, 4 hours 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
0831 AM MST TUE SEP 09 2003

TIME(MST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0800 AM    BELLEMONT                 AZ   TORNADO
09/09/03   COCONINO                       TREES DOWN ALONG HWY 180
                                          NORTH OF THE CITY OF
                                          FLAGSTAFF AT 815 AM MST

DF

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 122 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:14 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Navajo

When
September 9, 1:15 PM MST to 2:00 PM MST
Where
Navajo County, White Cone
Reported by
TRAINED SPOTTER
Coordinates
35.400, -110.321 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy rain and flooding washed out several roads in the White Cone area.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, September 2003

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5337047.