Arizona, 2003

Flood in Arizona, July 28 to 31, 2003

July 28 to 31, 2003 · NWS TWC · 1 event in 1 county or zone

During several days of heavy precipitation from thunderstorms in the evenings, water began to rise out of banks along the Vamori Wash on the 28th. Sells Wash also experienced rising water, as Highway 86 was flooded during the early morning of the 28th.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$40,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TWC wrote it up.

During several days of heavy precipitation from thunderstorms in the evenings, water began to rise out of banks along the Vamori Wash on the 28th. Sells Wash also experienced rising water, as Highway 86 was flooded during the early morning of the 28th. Emergency Managers also reported culverts nearly full on Highway 21 and a bridge near Kom Vo by 145 pm MST. Also by 200 pm MST, there was water across Highway 21 along Vamori Wash. On the 29th, there was 18-24 inches of water running across Highway 21 with water overflowed its banks in all directions. The staff gage reported 9.6 feet of water in the Vamori Wash. Numerous areas of debris was on Highway 31 towards the village of Cowlic, with flows of 2 feet during the peak event. A dike west of Cowlic breached in one location with flow to the pond fed by the Vamori Wash.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 28, 2:30 AM MST, 6 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 28, 2:30 AM MST, 6 hours 30 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
230 AM MST MON JUL 28 2003

.SYNOPSIS...PLENTY OF MOISTURE COMBINED WITH AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE
WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTHEAST ARIZONA THROUGH THE COMING WEEK AND INTO
NEXT WEEKEND.

.DISCUSSION...A PAIR OF WEAKNESSES IN THE FLOW...ONE THROUGH CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND ANOTHER SOUTH OF THE BORDER HAVE SERVED AS A FOCUS TO
CONVECTION OVERNIGHT...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTING
NORTH AND WEST OF TUCSON. IMPRESSIVELY STRONG AND WET STORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH SUPERCELLS AROUND THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
IMPULSE NEAR THE BORDER EARLIER IN THE EVENING. SOME DRYING AND
PERHAPS WEAK SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF THESE FEATURES WITH GOES
PRECIPITABLE WATER ESTIMATES DOWN TO NEAR 1 INCH OR A LITTLE LESS
NEAR THE NEW MEXICO BORDER AND SURFACE DEWPTS DOWN INTO THE LOWER
50S. MAY SEE A LITTLE LESS WIDESPREAD ORGANIZATION TO STORMS
TODAY...BUT THEY WILL STILL BE AROUND AND PLENTIFUL IN THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. EMPHASIS EAST OF TUCSON MAY BE SEVERE...WHILE FROM
TUCSON WESTWARD MORE TOWARD HEAVY RAIN WITH A FLOW THAT MAY
ENCOURAGE TRAINING.

OTHERWISE...H7 THETA-E RIDGE HANGS IN SOMEWHERE IN THE VICINITY.
PLENTY OF FUEL FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. M

.TWC...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 28, 7:00 AM MST, 2 hours before
AZZ019-029>035-291400-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
700 AM MST MON JUL 28 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

HOWEVER...ANOTHER ROUND OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY SOME STORMS AND STRONG WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE. FOR MORE DETAILS CHECK FOR AN UPDATE OF THIS
OUTLOOK AROUND NOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

SEASONAL SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE NORMAL IMPLIED THREAT OF
HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MEYER

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, C Pima

When
July 28, 9:00 AM MST to July 31, 11:30 PM MST
Where
C Pima forecast zone
Property damage
$40,000
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, July 2003

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5330429.