Flood, Middle Tanana Valley
- When
- July 27, 10:30 AM AST to July 31, 11:00 AM AST
- Where
- Middle Tanana Valley forecast zone
- Property damage
- $400,000
- Reported by
- OFFICIAL NWS OBS.
Record rainfall occurred over the central interior of Alaska in late July bringing rivers and streams above their banks. Rainfall amounts of one to three inches fell in the Denali area.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AFG wrote it up.
Record rainfall occurred over the central interior of Alaska in late July bringing rivers and streams above their banks. Rainfall amounts of one to three inches fell in the Denali area. The heaviest rain fell across the Fairbanks North Star Borough, where totals ranged from 3 to 6 inches from the 26th through the 28th. During a 24-hour period from July 26 to 27th, Fairbanks received 2.56 inches of rain, equaling 25% of the average annual precipitation. The July monthly total for Rain at Fairbanks was 5.96 inches, a new July record and 4th highest among all months on record. Damage amounts include $81,000 in repairs reported by the State of Alaska are an estimateAll this rain resulted in some of the highest water levels seen on the Chena and Chatanika Rivers since the disastrous flood of 1967. The high volume of water coming down the Chena River resulted in the lowering of the flood gates at the Chena Flood Control Project by the US Army Corps of Engineers Tuesday morning the 29th. Water levels on the Chena River dropped enough by Thursday the 31st to allow the Corps to raise the gates and let the river flow unrestricted. Without the flood project in place, much of the low-lying areas around Fairbanks would have likely flooded. The meteorological conditions resulting in this rainfall were very different from the 1967 flooding. In August 1967, strong southwest flow over the state pushed a substantial amount of subtropical air from the Pacific Ocean into Alaska. Ex-typhoon Hope got picked up in this flow and supplied more moisture, while a stationary frontal boundary over the central interior allowed rainfall to persist for nearly a week. Above average snowfall the previous winter, along with above average summer precipitation preceded the August 1967 flooding.The flooding of late July 2003 was preceded by a below average winter snow pack and summer precipitation. in the middle of July, a strong upper level Low Pressure center over the Arctic Ocean dropped south over Alaska, resulting in vigorous northwest flow at upper levels over northern Alaska. Although usually a dry flow pattern, the northwest flow picked up moisture from the largely ice-free Chukchi Sea and moisture was also enhanced due to a tropical system that had moved into China the previous week. The moisture from this tropical system made its way to the Russian Arctic where it was picked up in the northwest flow. During the height of the event, a jet stream at upper levels approaching 140 mph was moving across the southern interior of Alaska. This is when the heaviest rain fell in the Fairbanks area, during the 12 hours from midnight Saturday July 26 to noon Sunday July 27. The topography of the Chena basin provided additional lift of this moist airmass in the Fairbanks area...and as in 1967, a frontal boundary stalled over the central interior. Flash flooding occurred at:Zone 221 - Elliott Highway Mile 57 was closed due to the Tolovana River flooding, as reported by the State of Alaska Department of Transportation.Zone 222 - Streams draining into the Chatanika River were flooding in the areas near mile 40 of the Steese highway. Several road washouts occurred on the Stese Highway. At least one road in the hills just north of Fairbanks had water flowing over it from an overbank stream.Zone 225 - Some rock slides along the Parks Highway; Carlo Creek south of Denali Park overflowed its banks on early on the 28th and flooded cabins, roadways, and businesses, as well as eroding sections of the Parks Highway. The River flooding occurred at:Zone 221: Minor flooding occurred at Nenana. Zone 222: Several houses and cabins along the Chatanika River were flooded, as well as some cabins on the upper Chena River. Several feet of water covered Mile 37.2 Chena Hot Springs Road and this forced the Alaska Department of Transportation close the road late on the 27th. The swift moving water ripped up pavement and covered the road with trees and debris. A few houses, roads, and yards adjacent to the Little Chena River were also flooded. Flood waters crested on the Chatanika River at the Steese Highway bridge and on the upper Chena River at the Mile 40 bridge on Monday the 28th, and on the Little Chena River on the 29th. Some groundwater and minor overbank flooding occurred at Steamboat Landing in North Pole. Minor flooding occurred in the urban sections of Fairbanks. Damage amounts include $81,000 reported by State of Alaska Division of Parks and Recreation to repair various campground and access road damages, estimated $150,000 for repair of flooded properties on the Chatanika and Little Chena Rivers, and from groundwater flooding in the Steamboat Landing subdivision, with the remainder estimated for repair of roads and highways in the area; These estimates are only guesses and could be higher.Zone 223: Minor flooding occurred on the Salcha River at the Richardson Highway Bridge as the river level just reached flood stage. The boat launch/campground just off the highway received minor flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 27, 5:10 AM AST, 5 hours 20 minutes earlier.
NORTH ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
610 AM ADT SUN JUL 27 2003
A COLD FRONT FROM CYOC TO PATA TO PAEM WILL MOVE SOUTH TO A LINE
FROM PAEG TO PAFA TO PABE AT 4PM TODAY THEN WEAKEN ALONG A LINE
FROM PAEG TO PAIN TO PABE AT 4AM MON. THIS FRONT HAS BEEN MOVING
FAIRLY STEADILY SOUTHWARD FOR THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS AS A SERIES
OF QUICK MOVING WAVES HAS MOVED EAST ALONG IT. THE FOCUS OF THE
SUPPORT ALOFT AT PRESENT IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW ALOFT OVER
THE SEWARD PENINSULA. THIS FEATURE CAME IN DRY (OR NEARLY SO)
OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA AND THE SEWARD PENINSULA...BUT IS EXPECTED
TO GENERATE A LOT MORE RAIN SOUTH OF THE FRONT TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE 90 KT JET ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT HAS CLEARLY PROVIDED A
LOT OF SUPPORT AS WELL.
RAINFALL TOTALS HAVE MOSTLY BEEN IN THE 0.75 TO 1.25 INCH RANGE
OVER ZONES 215...216...221...222...AND 225. WE MAY SEE AS MUCH
AGAIN OVER 222 AND 225 TODAY...AND EVEN MORE OVER 225 TONIGHT.
EXPECT SUBSTANTIAL RAINFALL TODAY AS WELL OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF ZONES 215 AND 216 THOUGH NOT LIKELY AS MUCH HAS HAS ALREADY
FALLEN. CERTAIN DRAINAGES ARE KNOWN TO BE FLOOD PRONE IN SUCH
CIRCUMSTANCES...AND FLOOD WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED. SEE LIST
BELOW.
THE WEATHER WILL TAME DOWN (BRIEFLY) OVER NORTHERN ALASKA TONIGHT
(EXCEPT IN ZONES 225 AND 226). NORTHWEST ALASKA AND THE WESTERN
ARCTIC COAST WILL SEE INCREASING WINDS AHEAD OF A STORM COMING
IN OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA ON MONDAY...BUT THE SERIOUS WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED UNTIL MONDAY NIGHT.
A LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER MAINLAND RUSSIA NORTHWEST
OF KAMCHATKA TONIGHT AND MOVE NORTHEAST INTO THE EAST SIBERIAN
SEA AT 4AM MON AS ABOUT 996 MB. IT WILL TURN EAST THEREAFTER...
PASSING NORTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND AT 4PM MON TO BE 150 MILES NORTH
OF PABR AT 4AM TUESDAY...STRENGTHENING TO 977 MB. GALE FORCE
WINDS ARE LIKELY OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA AHEAD OF IT...AND COASTAL
FLOOD WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED FOR ZONES 201 AND 202...AND FOR
ZONE 207 NORTH OF CAPE KRUSENSTERN.
.AFG...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...FLASH FLOOD WARNING ZONES 221...222...225
FLASH FLOOD WATCH ZONE 216
FLOOD WATCH (CHENA AND CHATANIKA RIVERS) ZONE 222
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MON NIGHT...ZONES 207 (NORTH OF
KRUSENSTERN)...201...202.
HIGH WIND WATCH ZONES 201-202.
MARINE...SCA AREAS 14...11A...11B.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
DJH JUL 033 flood, 3 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Alaska in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, July 2003
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5379076, 5379074, 5379073, 5379075, 5379077, 5379078.