Alaska, 2003

Flood in Alaska, April 25 to 30, 2003

April 25 to 30, 2003 · NWS AFG · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Snowmelt and icemelt caused water to rise on the Tanana River and Piledriver Slough, and resulting in minor flooding of various properties beginning the night of the 25th. Ice buildup on roads and properties was created first by an Ice Jam event on the Tanana River during November 2002, and then surface water and groundwater flooding in early January 2003, resulting in up 2-foot thick layers of…

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$2.0 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AFG wrote it up.

Snowmelt and icemelt caused water to rise on the Tanana River and Piledriver Slough, and resulting in minor flooding of various properties beginning the night of the 25th. Ice buildup on roads and properties was created first by an Ice Jam event on the Tanana River during November 2002, and then surface water and groundwater flooding in early January 2003, resulting in up 2-foot thick layers of ice on the Old Richardson Highway and on properties near the Piledriver slough. On April 29th, another ice jam formed on the nearest branch of the Tanana River, next to the partial one that had formed and remained since November. This caused water from the Tanana River to flow into Piledriver Slough. The water in Piledriver Slough then went overbank and flooded properties and some homes, threatening other homes. By late afternoon on the 29th, water continued to rise breaching a dike on the Tanana River and rapidly raising water levels in the area. Water continued to rise into the beginning of May, flooding about 100 homes in all and threatening another 50 homes. The Old Richardson Highway was impassible, which is the main road serving many of the residents in this subdivision. During the first few days of May water levels fluctuated, but homes remained flooded or surrounded by water. On the morning of May 3rd, the Ice Jam shifted and gradually moved downstream, and water levels began dropping significantly. By late afternoon on May 4, the water was completely contained inside the Tanana River, and Piledriver Slough had also dropped significantly. Many surrounding areas still had ponded water due to the high groundwater level. The Fairbanks North Star Borough Department of Emergency Services and Salcha Rescue activated an Incident Command Center in the area and helped those residents requesting evacuation. Property Damage is an estimate. Event continued into May.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 25, 1:30 PM AST, 5 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 25, 1:30 PM AST, 5 hours 45 minutes before
NORTH ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
230 PM ADT FRI APR 25 2003

UPPER LEVEL HIGH OVER WESTERN CANADA REMAINS THE DRIVING FEATURE FOR
NORTHERN ALASKAN WEATHER...AND SHOULD BE SO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW
ALOFT OVER NORTHWEST BERING SEA WILL MOVE NORTH AND WEAKEN...ONLY TO
BE REPLACED BY ANOTHER LOW SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS SECOND LOW IS FORECAST
TO SURVIVE INTACT INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA BY MONDAY. THE NET RESULT WILL BE
LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE IN THE UPPER FLOW OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA
FOR SOME DAYS TO COME.

AT THE SURFACE...OLD OCCLUSION ALONG ABOUT 155W WILL DISSIPATE IN PLACE
NEXT 18 HOURS. RIDGE BUILDING ALONG 160W BUILDING TO 1032 HIGH OVER
THE EASTERN BROOKS RANGE WITH RIDGE SOUTHWEST INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF
ALASKA. NEW 990 MB LOW 250 MILES NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA WILL BE A 997 LOW
150 MILES WEST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND BY 4PM SAT. THE ASSOCIATED LOW WILL
MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN BERING SAT NIGHT AND THEN INTO WESTERN ALASKA ON
SUNDAY.

MODELS TODAY QUITE SIMILAR IN THE SHORT RANGE...WITH BIG UPPER HIGH
WEAKENING A BIT BUT HOLDING IN PLACE. SOME DIFFERENCES DEVELOP BY MONDAY
AS AVN TRIES TO BREAK THROUGH MORE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN INTERIOR THAN ETA. MID RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO HAVE
TROUBLE...WITH SIGNIFICANT MODEL TO MODEL AND RUN TO RUN VARIATION. SEEMS
BEST TO KEEP CONDITIONS NOT TOO FAR FROM PERSISTENCE.

FOR THE NORTH SLOPE...LOW PRESSURE OVER CHUKOTKA AND CHUKCHI SEA WILL
KEEP MARGINAL WIND ADVISORY FOR CAPE LISBURNE AND VICINITY. OTHERWISE
NOT A LOT OF CHANGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

FOR THE WEST COAST...INCOMING LOW WILL SPREAD ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW
TO SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND LATE SATURDAY AND THEN TO THE MAINLAND SATURDAY
NIGHT OR SUNDAY. NO ADVISORY LEVEL WEATHER EXPECTED WITH THIS. LITTLE
CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

FOR THE INTERIOR...SLIGHT AIRMASS COOLING EAST OF 155W FORECAST BY ALL
MODELS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND THIS IS PROBABLY OVERDONE A BIT. OLD
FRONTAL BAND DISSIPATING WILL ALLOW FOR MORE SUNSHINE CENTRAL ZONES
OVER THE WEEKEND. CONVECTION NOT AN ISSUE TO TO WARM AIRMASS ALOFT.
NO PRECIP ANYTIME SOON.

.AFG...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALES 14 AND 9B. SCA/BWA 9A...10B..11A.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

RT APR 03

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 25, 6:30 PM AST, 45 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
730 PM ADT FRI APR 25 2003

AKZ222-251300-
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY
  INCLUDING FAIRBANKS - CHENA HOT SPRINGS ROAD - PARKS HIGHWAY
  FAIRBANKS TO NEAR NENANA - RICHARDSON HIGHWAY FAIRBANKS TO NEAR
  SALCHA - STEESE HIGHWAY FAIRBANKS TO SOURDOUGH - ELLIOTT HIGHWAY
  FAIRBANKS TO NEAR LIVENGOOD
730 PM ADT FRI APR 25 2003

...RECORD HIGHS ACROSS INTERIOR AND EASTERN ALASKA...

MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE CAUSED MANY HIGH
TEMPERATURE RECORDS TO FALL ACROSS THE TANANA AND YUKON VALLEYS
FRIDAY. MANY LOCATIONS JUST BARELY TIED THE OLD RECORDS BUT A FEW
SHATTERED OLDER RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES.

HERE ARE THE LOCATIONS AND THE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR APRIL 25.

LOCATION                HIGH        OLD RECORD    YEAR
EAGLE...................70            64          1994
NORTHWAY................67            65          1983
TOK.....................69            66          1994
HEALY...................61            55          1991

LOCATIONS TYING RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR APRIL 25.

LOCATION                HIGH        YEAR
BETTLES.................54          1994

OTHER HIGH TEMPERATURES REPORTED TODAY AROUND THE INTERIOR AND
EASTERN ALASKA WHICH DID NOT REPORT RECORD EVENTS.

LOCATION                HIGH TODAY        RECORD    YEAR
FAIRBANKS AIRPORT.......62                69        1997
EIELSON AFB.............63                67        1967
NENANA..................62                MM        MMMM
DENALI PARK.............57                59        1994

WITH THE CONTINUED CLEAR SKIES AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE
INTERIOR...MORE HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS COULD FALL ON SATURDAY OVER
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR.

RJ APR 03
Special weather statement, Apr 25, 7:05 PM AST, 10 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
805 PM ADT SAT APR 25 2003

AKZ222-251300-
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY
  INCLUDING FAIRBANKS - CHENA HOT SPRINGS ROAD - PARKS HIGHWAY
  FAIRBANKS TO NEAR NENANA - RICHARDSON HIGHWAY FAIRBANKS TO NEAR
  SALCHA - STEESE HIGHWAY FAIRBANKS TO SOURDOUGH - ELLIOTT HIGHWAY
  FAIRBANKS TO NEAR LIVENGOOD
805 PM ADT SAT APR 25 2003

...MORE RECORDS FALL ACROSS THE INTERIOR...

MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGH PRESSURE BROUGHT WARM TEMPERATURES TO MUCH
OF THE INTERIOR TODAY. SEVERAL HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS WERE EXCEEDED
OR TIED ACROSS THE TANANA VALLEY.

STATIONS SETTING NEW RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR APRIL 26.

LOCATION            HIGH SATURDAY            OLD RECORD/YEAR
BIG DELTA...............68                        66    1958
EIELSON AFB.............70                        68    1994
TOK.....................73                        67    1989
NORTHWAY................70                        69    1989
HEALY...................70 (ALLTIME APRIL RECORD) 56    1980
DENALI PARK.............64                        61    1980

LOCATIONS WHICH TIED THE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR APRIL 26.

TANANA..................63                        63    1958

THE HIGH TEMPERATURE REPORTED IN THE STATE SATURDAY WAS 76 DEGREES
AT SKAGWAY AT THE NORTHERN END OF THE LYNN CANAL IN SOUTHEAST ALASKA.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN SOUTHEAST ALASKA AS WELL AS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN
AND THE SUSITNA VALLEY ALSO EQUALED OR EXCEEDED HIGH TEMPERATURES
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AS THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA REMAINS IN PLACE OVER
THE ALASKA YUKON BORDER MORE WARM TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY ON SUNDAY.

RJ APR 03

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Deltana and Tanana

When
April 25, 7:15 PM AST to April 30, 11:59 PM AST
Where
Deltana and Tanana forecast zone
Property damage
$2.0 million
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, April 2003

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5350461.