Texas, 2002Flash Flooding in Texas, October 7 to 8, 2002
October 7 to 8, 2002 · NWS EWX · 3 events in 3 counties and zones
3 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $100,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 3
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 7, 8:42 PM CST, 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 7, 8:42 PM CST, 3 minutes before
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
942 PM CDT MON OCT 7 2002
AFTER A COUPLE HOURS OF INDECISION, HAVE FINALLY DECIDED TO HOIST A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE I-35 CORRIDOR AND ALL POINTS WEST. WAS
MONITORING THE SOUTHWARD EXTENT OF THE SHORTWAVE AND COMPARING THIS
FEATURE TO THE 18Z MODEL FORECASTS TO SEE HOW WELL THE LARGE COMPLEX
OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH VAL VERDE COUNTY WOULD HOLD UP. IT
APPEARS THE 18Z MESO-ETA AND AVN WERE SLIGHTLY TOO CONSERVATIVE AND
THE EARLY SIGNS FROM THE 00Z MESO-ETA INDICATE A DEEPER SHORTWAVE
THAN WAS PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED. CONVECTION IS QUITE HEALTHY 100
MILES SOUTHWEST OF EAGLE PASS THUS EXPECT THIS RAIN AREA TO SPREAD
INTO THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. RAINS OVER
THE EASTERN HILL COUNTRY ARE IN A SLOW DECLINE, BUT WILL RESULT IN
RAPID RUNOFF PROBLEMS AS THIS SHORTWAVE BEGINS TO AFFECT THIS AREA
TOWARD DAYBREAK. LOW LEVEL JET WILL PROBABLY TRIGGER ADDITIONAL
STORMS AHEAD OF THE WESTERN COMPLEX TO COMPLICATE MATTERS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS CORRESPOND TO DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES TO SUGGEST
SLIGHT UNDERESTIMATION PROBABLY ON THE ORDER OF 20 PERCENT. THE
HIGHEST REPORT SO FAR WAS 3.03 NEAR HUNT IN KERR COUNTY WITH SEVERAL
REPORTS OVER 2 INCHES IN KERR, GILLESPIE, LEE, BASTROP, AND FAYETTE
COUNTIES.
-UPDATE-
JUST GOT A REPORT OF 7 INCHES IN THE TOWN OF COMFORT AS A TINY
SLIVER OF HEAVY RAIN TRACKED ALONG THE KERR AND KENDALL COUNTY. THIS
POINTS CLOSER TO AN UNDERESTIMATION OF ABOUT 30-40 PERCENT. THE CELL
HERE WAS A UNIQUELY STATIONARY STORM, SO THE MORE ORGANIZED ACTIVITY
TO THE WEST WILL PROBABLY NOT STUMP THE ESTIMATES QUITE AS MUCH.
WILL ADJUST FORECAST ZONE AREAS SLIGTHLY WHICH WILL RESULT IN A FEW
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST FOR LATER PERIODS. FORECAST PARAMETERS FROM
THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE DID NOT VARY MUCH, SO THE DIFFERENCES SHOULD
BE SLIGHT. OTHERWISE, THE CHANGES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST WILL MAINLY
REFLECT AN INCREASE IN POPS OVER THE HILL COUNTRY IN THE FIRST
COUPLE PERIODS.
.EWX...FFA THRU TUES AFTN ALONG AND WEST OF I-35.
18/3/KW
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 7, 5:00 AM CST, 15 hours 45 minutes before
TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-081200-
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
600 AM CDT MON OCT 7 2002
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT. NO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...SPOTTY
HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A STALLED COLD FRONT
OVER THE REGION. NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
HOWEVER...SPOTTY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THUNDERSTORMS.
Flash Flood, Kendall
- When
- October 7, 8:45 PM CST to 11:00 PM CST
- Where
- Kendall County, Countywide
- Property damage
- $10,000
- Reported by
- LAW ENFORCEMENT
- Coordinates
- 29.945, -98.712 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Scattered evening thunderstorms produced general 1 to 2 totals across the county, with isolated amounts to 7 inches at Comfort. The Sheriff's Department reported several roads closed in the extreme western part of the county during the late evening.
Flash Flood, Gillespie
- When
- October 7, 9:30 PM CST to 10:30 PM CST
- Where
- Gillespie County, Southwest Portion
- Property damage
- $10,000
- Reported by
- LAW ENFORCEMENT
- Coordinates
- 30.318, -98.946 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Scattered thunderstorms through the evening hours over southwestern Gillespie County produced general 1 to 2 inch rainfall with isolated totals to 4 inches. Flash flooding forced the closing of roads in the southwestern part of the county through the late evening hours.
Flash Flood, Kerr
- When
- October 7, 9:30 PM CST to October 8, 1:00 PM CST
- Where
- Kerr County, Countywide
- Property damage
- $80,000
- Reported by
- LAW ENFORCEMENT
- Coordinates
- 30.062, -99.350 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Scattered thunderstorms from evening into the following morning produced general 2 inch rainfall over the county, with widespread amounts to 3 inches and isolated totals to 5 inches. The Kerr County Sheriff's Department reported numerous roads across the county closed from late evening through noon on October 8.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flood in Texas, October 7, 2002$5.0 million · 1 event
- Flash Flooding in Texas, October 7 to 8, 2002$2.2 million · 7 events
- Damaging Wind and Lightning Strike in Mississippi, October 7, 2002$30,000 · 2 events
- Flooding in New Jersey, October 7 to 9, 20025 events
- Damaging Winds in South Carolina, October 7, 200250 kt wind · 3 events
- Damaging Winds in Tennessee, October 7, 2002$10,000 · 2 events
- Flooding in Delaware, October 7, 20022 events
- Heavy Rain in Puerto Rico, October 7, 2002$10,000 · 2 events
- Damaging Wind in New York, October 7, 2002$1,000 · 56 kt wind · 1 event
- Damaging Wind in Alabama, October 7, 2002$4,000 · 50 kt wind · 1 event
- Waterspout in South Atlantic Coastal Waters, October 7, 20021 event
- Flood in North Carolina, October 7, 20021 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5319094, 5319095, 5319096.