Texas, 2002

Flood in Texas, October 24 to 27, 2002

October 24 to 27, 2002 · NWS EWX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 23, 8:35 PM CST, 4 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 23, 8:35 PM CST, 4 hours 17 minutes before
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
935 PM CDT WED OCT 23 2002

CONTINUED MARGINALLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS BECOMING MORE UNSTABLE
THURSDAY BODES WELL FOR CONTD CHANCE OF RAIN.  WILL CONTINUE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT...AS IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH RAIN
TO CAUSE FLOODING AFTER THE RAINS SINCE SEPTEMBER.  FORECASTS
AND 00Z ANALYSIS CONTD TO SHOW COMING OF ANOTHER AUTUMN RAIN
EVENT THURSDAY THRU SUNDAY.  LAST WAVE OF MAIN SYSTEM SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING BRINGS COOL FRONT FROM WEST WITH
CHANCE OF RAIN ON THE FRONT...THEN MOVING EAST OF AREA AS
CHC OF RAIN DECREASES OR NEARLY ENDS.  MEDIUM RANGE DATA THEN
SHOWS A COLD FRONT COMING IN THE MID TO LATE PART OF NEXT WEEK...
CAUSING UNSEASONABLY COOL WEATHER.  08/18/23

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION....
PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT CONTINUES TO LOOK LIKELY FOR EWX CWA
BEGINNING LATER TONIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND.  ALTHOUGH,
STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO EXACTLY WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL
FALL.

TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY...EXPECT TO HAVE A REPEAT OF LAST NIGHT WITH
CONVECTION DEVELOPING OUT WEST LATER THIS EVENING AS AN UPPER TROUGH
TOGETHER WITH LFQ AND RRQ OF AN UPPER JET APPROACH THE RIO GRANDE AND
INTERACTS WITH PWS OF 1.5 TO 2 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS AND REMNANT
SURFACE BOUNDARY ENHANCED BY LOW LEVEL JET.  AS A RESULT, WILL
REISSUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ENTIRE CWA FOR TONIGHT.  THE COLD FRONT
CURRENTLY APPROACHING I-20 BETWEEN ABILENE AND MIDLAND SHOULD STAY
NORTH OF CWA WHILE AWAITING UPPER TROUGH ALONG COASTAL CALIFORNIA.
LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL POPS.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...COLD FRONT EASES INTO THE EWX CWA
EARLY THEN STALLS AS CALIFORNIA TROUGH, LFQ AND RRQ OF AN UPPER JET
MOVE OVERHEAD LATE.  ADDING TO THE LIFT, THE 850 MB FRONT REMAINS
NORTH OF CWA THROUGH SATURDAY.   ADDING TO THE MOISTURE, WILL BE THE
REMNANTS OF NOW HURRICANE KENNA AND QUITE POSSIBLY SOME FROM NOW
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL, BOTH IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC.  OF NOTE, THE
GFS MODEL SHOWS AN 84 HOUR ACCUMULATED RAINFALL CENTER OF 8+ INCHES
IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.  LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL POPS.

SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE TROUGH AND COLD FRONTS MOVE EAST OF
THE CWA ON EARLY WITH RAINFALL CHANCES DECREASING.  HOWEVER, WEAK
SHORT-WAVES WILL KEEP AT LEAST SLIGHT POPS GOING.

FORECAST TEMPERATURES WILL TREND TOWARD THE COOLER NUMBERS OR BELOW
DUE TO CLOUDS, RAIN, AND LATER ON COLD FRONT.

THANKS TO SJT FOR COORDINATION.

PRELIMS...
AUS 063/070 059/065 056 78777
DRT 067/076 060/066 057 76555
SAT 065/073 060/066 057 78777

.EWX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH...ENTIRE CWA...THROUGH TONIGHT.

04/09/KW

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Gonzales

When
October 24, 12:52 AM CST to October 27, 7:24 AM CST
Where
Gonzales forecast zone
Reported by
OTHER FEDERAL AGENCY
Coordinates
29.457, -97.492 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Guadalupe River at Gonzales crested at 40.1 feet on October 26 at 430CST, where flood stage is 31.0 feet.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2002

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5319405.