Damaging Wind in Texas, August 27, 2002

SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
940 AM CDT TUE AUG 27 2002

WEATHER MAKER FOR THE FORECAST AREA TODAY IS THE MCS OVER NORTHEAST
TEXAS THIS MORNING MOVING SOUTHEAST AT NEARLY 40 MPH. THIS COMPLEX
HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE. LAPS/MSAS ANALYSIS DOES
SHOW MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY AXIS FROM THIS SYSTEM SOUTHEAST TO THE
COAST OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH MCS INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA AFTER NOON TIME AND LIKELY REACHING THE COAST BY 4 PM.
SINCE COMPLEX WILL BE HEADING INTO AREA OF HIGH MOISTURE AND
EXPECTED HIGH CAPES...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR MCS TO MAINTAIN
ITSELF AND PRODUCING THE POSSIBILITY FOR SEVERE WEATHER OVER THE
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AND SPC IS MONITORING THIS
AREA FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A WATCH.

CURRENT ZONES GENERALLY REFLECT THIS SITUATION. ONLY CHANGE AT THIS
TIME WILL BE TO RAISE POPS OVER EXTREME SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA (ROUGHLY
KPOE TO KLCH WESTWARD) TO AGREE WITH POPS AND SEVERE WORDING OVER
SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.LCH...OZONE ACTION DAY FOR HARDIN...JEFFERSON...AND ORANGE COUNTIES
IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS FOR TUESDAY...TXZ201...215 AND 216.

.UPDATED NUMBERS...
     TU  WE    TH   FR T  W  T F
AEX  95 72/96 72/95 71 2 -1 -1 -
BPT  94 75/94 74/94 74 5 -2 -2 -
LCH  94 74/94 74/94 73 5 -2 -2 -
LFT  93 74/93 74/92 73 2 -1 -1 -

7-RUA

LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-271500-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
450 AM CDT TUE AUG 27 2002

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX OVER OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING IS
MOVING RAPIDLY TO THE SOUTHEAST AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
SOUTHEAST TEXAS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AS A RESULT OF DAYTIME
HEATING...AND TROPICAL MOISTURE IN PLACE...SEVERAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL BE FROM DAMAGING WINDS.

HEAT INDICES TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE THE CENTURY MARK
BEFORE THE NOON HOUR PEAKING BETWEEN 2 TO 5 PM AT 105 TO 110
DEGREES. THE HEAT INDEX IS EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW THE CENTURY MARK
AROUND 7 PM. THOSE WORKING OUTSIDE SHOULD DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS.

OZONE ACTION DAY FOR HARDIN...JEFFERSON...AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN
SOUTHEAST TEXAS TODAY.

ADDITION WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT FOOOSTAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL TELEVISION OR RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.
ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE OBTAINED THROUGH OUR HOME
PAGE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LCH.

K. KUYPER

LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-272200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1010 AM CDT TUE AUG 27 2002

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
EXTREME SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON...

A COMPLEX OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHEAST TEXAS LATE
THIS MORNING IS MOVING RAPIDLY TO THE SOUTHEAST. THIS COMPLEX IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE LAKES AREA OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA SHORTLY AFTER NOON TIME AND REACH THE COAST BY 5
PM.

AS A RESULT OF DAYTIME HEATING...AND TROPICAL MOISTURE IN PLACE...
SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE...ESPECIALLY FROM A
LEESVILLE TO LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA LINE AND WESTWARD. DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL REDUCING
VISIBILITIES TO BELOW 1 MILE AND PRODUCING BRIEF MINOR STREET
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL TELEVISION OR RADIO FOR
LATER STATEMENTS. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE OBTAINED
THROUGH OUR HOME PAGE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LCH.

RUA