Hail in Texas, April 13, 2002

SOUTH PLAINS AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
145 AM CDT SAT APR 13 2002

MCS ACROSS THE PANHANDLE SHOULD MOVE EAST OR SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF EAST
NEXT FEW HOURS. SOME CONCERN NEW CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP A LITTLE
FURTHER SOUTH THIS MORNING, GIVEN POSSIBLE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND
PRESENCE OF LOW LEVEL JET. AS OF 06Z, ANY MCS OUTFLOW IS STILL NORTH
OF OUR AREA, AS PER LACK OF EVIDENCE ON 06Z MESONET OBS ACROSS
NORTHERN COUNTIES. BEST CHANCE OF STORMS TODAY SHOULD BE ALONG WEAK
BOUNDARY ACROSS EASTERN ZONES THIS AFTERNOON, AND ALONG MESOSCALE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY, WHEREVER IT ENDS UP. ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE EAST
THIS EVENING. DOES NOT LOOK FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION ON SUNDAY WITH
PROGGED WEAK ANTICYCLONIC LOW LEVEL FLOW, WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT,
AND LESS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. SOME ISOLATED, FAIRLY HIGH BASED, AND
SLOW MOVING CONVECTION LOOKS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. NO CHANGES
TO DAYS 3-7 THIS UPDATE.

PRELIMINARY:
FRI 77 52 83 54 / 30 05 10 10
TIA 78 53 85 55 / 30 10 10 10
CDS 75 56 85 58 / 50 20 10 10
BNF 83 55 87 55 / 30 10 10 10
LUB 80 55 87 55 / 30 10 10 10
ASP 80 58 85 60 / 40 30 10 10

.LUB...NONE.

TXZ021>026-028>032-131500-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
448 AM CDT SAT APR 13 2002

A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 10 AM FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES:

PARMER...CASTRO...SWISHER...BRISCOE...HALL...CHILDRESS...
LAMB...HALE...FLOYD...MOTLEY AND COTTLE

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL TELEVISION OR RADIO
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS
CONCERNING THIS POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.