Hail and Damaging Winds in South Carolina, May 13, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
304 PM EDT MON MAY 13 2002

DISC:  19Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THE COLD FRONT ALONG/JUST WEST OF
THE MOUNTAINS.

SATELLITE SHOWS SOME CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
REGIONAL RADAR COMPOSITE SHOWS SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS STILL WEST OF
THE AREA MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST. ONCE THE EVENING ACTIVITY GOES
BY...WEATHER WILL BECOME MUCH MORE TRANQUIL AND PLEASANT FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH PATTERN OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MID AND UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THIS
AFTERNOON WILL GRADUALLY WESTERLY AND NORTHWEST WITH TIME. SHORT
WAVE ACROSS THE KY/TN VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA LATER TONIGHT. AIRMASS HAS BECOME WEAKLY TO MODERATELY UNSTABLE
THIS AFTERNOON...WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA CURRENTLY UNDER A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH THROUGH EARLY EVENING. EXPECT BAND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT TO PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS
THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. AT THE
SURFACE...COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AND OFF
THE COAST BY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WINDS RATHER BRISK THIS AFTERNOON...WILL
GRADUALY DIMINISH AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EASTWARD. GUIDANCE
POPS AND LOCAL POPS VERY CLOSE FOR EVENING PRECIPITAION...ALSO
FAIRLY CLOSE WITH TEMPS THROUGH MID WEEK.

FCSTID = 22
CAE   57  78  49  80 /  40   0   0   0
AGS   55  80  47  82 /  40   0   0   0
SSC   57  79  49  80 /  40   0   0   0
OGB   57  80  49  82 /  40   0   0   0

.CAE...
GA...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 600 PM EDT MONDAY FOR ZONES
GAC040...GAC063...GAC064...GAC065.
SC...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 600 PM EDT MONDAY FOR ZONES
SCC003...SCC037...SCC039...SCC063...SCC065...SCC071...SCC079...
SCC081.

LCV