Hail and Damaging Winds in Ohio, November 10, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
245 PM EST SUN NOV 10 2002

PCPN FM SHRTWV WHICH CROSSED RGN ERLYR TDA HAS CLRD CWA AND NOW WE
AWAIT CNVCTN RPDLY FIRING UP FM LWR MI TO SERN MO. WITH STG FLO
ALF...MAIN THREAT STILL APPEARS TO BE FM DAMAGING WINDS IN TSTMS.
WL GO WITH CAT POPS OVRNGT AND WL PLAY UP MENTION OF GUSTY WINDS AND
DOWNPOURS IN TSTMS FOR ZNS. CDFNT SHUD PUSH THRU CWA AFT MIDN.
WL KEEP CHC POPS FOR MON MRNG ALL XCP S CNTRL OH ZNS SIMILAR TO PREV
ZNS.

GFS CONTS TO SHOW SFC LO MOVG NEWD ACRS SERN U.S. TUE/TUE NGT WITH
PCPN BRUSHING SERN HALF CWA. SO WL KEEP CONTINUITY AND MENTION CHC
POPS SERN PTN CWA TUE INTO TUE NGT.

FCSTID =   14
PIT   56  61  39  48 /  90  30  10  30
HLG   57  63  40  49 /  90  30  10  30
MGW   57  63  40  49 /  90  30  10  30
ZZV   55  61  39  49 /  90  10  10  10
PHD   54  60  38  49 /  90  10  10  10
FKL   52  57  35  44 /  90  30  10  30
DUJ   52  57  35  44 /  90  30  10  30
LBE   57  62  38  47 /  90  40  10  40
BTP   54  59  37  46 /  90  30  10  30
IDI   56  60  37  46 /  90  40  10  40
ODM   53  59  34  44 /  90  40  10  40

.PBZ...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-
029>032-WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041-101300-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
620 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA...EAST
CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND GARRETT COUNTY MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS THE
ENTIRE AREA.  WHILE THESE STORMS CAN FORM ANYWHERE ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA...THE REGION MOST LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED IS ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70...OR ROUGHLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ZANESVILLE
OHIO...TO WHEELING WV...TO WASHINGTON PA.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING DAMAGING STRAIGHT-LINE
WINDS OF 60 MPH OR MORE AS THEY MOVE ACROSS THE AREA.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-
029>032-WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041-110300-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
545 PM EST SUN NOV 10 2002

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDNIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAYS THAT THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTAIN
STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS OVER THE HEAD OF THE OHIO
REGION THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.  THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS WILL EXCEED 60 MPH...CAUSING DAMAGE.  LARGE
HAIL IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN AMOUNTS
MAY EXCEED ONE INCH IN A SHORT PERIOD...CAUSING WATER PONDING IN LOW
LYING AREAS. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL POSE AN
ADDITIONAL THREAT FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS.

A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED OVER WESTERN OHIO LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...AND THE LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD EASTERN
OHIO AND WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. IF THE
ATMOSPHERE REMAINS UNSTABLE...THE LINE OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
MOVE ACROSS WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND WESTERN MARYLAND BEFORE
MIDNIGHT.

IF THE LINE REMAINS UNSTABLE AFTER DARK...THE SKYWARN NET MAY HAVE
TO BE ACTIVATED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.