North Carolina, 2002

Flood in North Carolina, September 15, 2002

September 15, 2002 · NWS ILM · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wilmington, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 15, 2:18 PM EST, 1 hour 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 15, 2:18 PM EST, 1 hour 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON, NC
318 PM EDT SUN SEP 15 2002

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY BEGINNING TO SHOW A CYCLONIC FLOW OVER NW
GA...AND SFC ANALYSIS CONFIRMS THAT SFC LOW HAS BEGUN TO FORM. THE
H5 TROUGH AXIS OVER THE MID WEST WILL SHIFT E TONIGHT TO THE ERN
OHIO VALLEY...ALLOWING THE SFC LOW TO MOVE NE ACROSS THE CAROLINAS.
THE MODELS DO NOT SHOW A WELL DEFINED LOW TONIGHT...BUT THE ETA DOES
HAVE A SHORT WAVE CROSSING THE REGION. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE FAIRLY
CONSISTENT GIVING THE REGION POPS IN THE LIKELY RANGE AND SEE NO
REASON TO STRAY. HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE...AS A
THETA-E RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE CWA IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE LOW. A
GOOD AMOUNT OF UVM ALSO DEVELOPS JUST OFFSHORE.

H8 WINDS SHIFT W ON MON ALLOWING SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR TO MOVE IN. WILL
HAVE CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE CWA...HIGHEST E. THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT
DOES NOT MAKE IT ACROSS THE REGION UNTIL MON NIGHT AND WILL CARRY A
SLIGHT CHANCE POP THROUGH THAT TIME. WILL HOLD ONTO THE SLIGHT
CHANCE ACROSS SRN ZONES TUE AND TUE NIGHT AS THE FRONT THEN STALLS
JUST S OF THE CWA.

WARM FRONT STARTS TO HEAD BACK TOWARD THE REGION WED. WITH AN
ONSHORE FLOW GETTING BETTER DEVELOPED WILL INCREASE POPS TO THE
CHANCE CATEGORY BEGINNING WED. GFS SHOWS A SHORT WAVE CROSSING THE
REGION WED NIGHT INTO THU...WITH A GOOD ONSHORE FLOW AT BOTH THE SFC
AND MID-LEVELS. HOWEVER...THE BEST OMEGA MOVES NW OF THE CWA DURING
THIS TIME PERIOD. WILL CONTINUE CHANCE POPS. SFC FLOW BACKS TO THE
S-SW THU NT INTO FRI AS H5 RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE SERN U.S.

UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARDS TO MID-LEVEL FLOW BEGINS TO DEVELOP BY
THE END OF THE WEEK...AND THIS HAS MAJOR EFFECTS ON THE FCST. GFS
ENSEMBLES ARE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH REGARDS TO THE STRENGTH AND
SPEED OF THE H5 TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. FRI INTO THE
WEEKEND. THE OPERATIONAL GFS DEPICTS A MORE AMPLIFIED TROUGH...AND
IS MORE PROGRESSIVE THAN THE ENSEMBLE MEAN. BECAUSE OF THIS...THE
GFS TRIES TO BRING THE COLD FRONT THROUGH HERE SAT NIGHT. SINCE THE
GFS HAS BEEN TRENDING SLOWER EACH RUN WITH THIS FEATURE...WILL GO
WITH A SLOWER MOVING FRONT KEEPING IT W OF THE REGION SUN...SIMILAR
TO HPC. THE UNCERTAINTY WILL ALSO PLAY A ROLE INTO WHAT HAPPENS WITH
THE TROPICAL LOW THAT THE GFS HAS MOVING ACROSS FL TO THE SE COAST
SAT/SUN. HPC FEELS THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE TO THE N-CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. WITH ALL OF THIS IN MIND...WILL KEEP
MINIMAL POPS IN THE FCST FOR THE WEEKEND...MAINLY FOR DIURNAL
CONVECTION. ALSO ADJUSTED WEEKEND HIGHS UP FROM MEX GUIDANCE WITH
FRONT NOT FCST TO CROSS THE REGION.

MARINE: LOW PRESSURE ENCROACHING ON EXTREME W SC AT TIME. THIS LOW
WILL TRACK ENE...REMAINING JUST W OF INTERSTATE 95 AS IT MOVES
THROUGH SC AND SOUTH CENTRAL NC OVERNIGHT. WIND AND SEAS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE NEAR EXERCISE CAUTION THRESHOLDS AND WILL KEEP THAT
HEADLINE WITH THIS ISSUANCE. GOOD INSTABILITY/THETA E RIDGING AND
SURFACE MOISTURE FLUX CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BLOSSOMED AS EXPECTED. THIS ACTIVITY
SHOULD CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT AND THEN BEGIN TO WANE BY MORNING AS
LOW PULLS WELL NORTH. LINGERING TROUGH AXIS VERY NEAR THE AREA ON
MONDAY SHOULD PROVIDE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION.

COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM NW EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
TUESDAY MORNING...BUT WEAK BOUNDARY WILL BE VERY SHALLOW AND WILL
STALL JUST TO SOUTH. FRONT WILL THEN MOVE BACK TO NORTH ON WEDNESDAY
AND WINDS WILL COME AROUND TO SE AND THEN SW ON FRI AS HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGING DOWN E COAST MOVES WELL OFF THE COAST AND TROUGH TO WEST
BEGINS TO BE FELT.

AT THIS TIME...LOW PRESSURE IN THE TROPICS EXPECTED TO MOVE WELL
SOUTH OF THE AREA AND INTO GULF OF MEXICO LATE IN FORECAST PERIOD.

NO FLAGS THIS PACKAGE.

FCSTID =
ILM   73  87  71  88 /  70  50  20  10
LBT   71  87  69  88 /  70  30  20  10
FLO   72  88  70  89 /  70  30  20  20
MYR   74  86  72  86 /  70  40  20  20

.ILM...
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

PUBLIC: JAQ
MARINE: DIGIORGI

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, New Hanover

When
September 15, 3:45 PM EST to 6:00 PM EST
Where
New Hanover County, Wilmington
Reported by
NEWSPAPER
Coordinates
34.181, -77.866 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The remnants of Tropical Storm Hanna spawned thunderstoms that dumped over two inches of rainfall in a short period of time, causing standing water on South Third Street near Greenfield Lake.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in North Carolina in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, September 2002

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5315461.