North Carolina, 2002Flash Flood in North Carolina, August 31, 2002
August 31, 2002 · NWS MHX · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
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- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 31, 2:30 AM EST, 3 hours 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 31, 2:30 AM EST, 3 hours 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
330 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2002
***AFTER MONITORING WHAT IS HAPPENING DOWN IN ILM...THINK IT WOULD
BE BEST TO ISSUE FFA FOR MY CWA AS WELL ALTHOUGH FEEL THAT IMMED
COAST HAS BEST THREAT ATTM.***
PREVIOUS AFD:
...SOGGY PATTERN TO HOLD...
THE FORECAST FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND WILL BE DIFFICULT AS THE MODELS
HAVE BEEN STRUGGLING WITH PLACING THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINS...AND
THE MOVEMENT OF THE SFC WSHFT/TROUGH. SIG DIFFERENCES DEVELOP
BETWEEN THE ETA/AVN FOR SUN-MON FURTHER COMPLICATING THE FORECAST.
WHAT LOOKED LIKE A DRIER LABOR DAY WEEKEND A COUPLE OF DAYS AGO NOW
LOOKS TO BE MUCH WETTER.
MODEL POPS FOR TODAY HAVE SOARED FROM PREVIOUS RUNS. THE COMBINATION
OF A SHEAR AXIS ALOFT...UPPER DIFL DUE TO PROXIMITY TO THE JET
ENTRANCE REGION...AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR THE SFC WSHFT
SHOULD PRODUCE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS TODAY. LACK OF WIDESPREAD
COVERAGE ON AREA 88-DS CURRENTLY LED ME TO GO SLIGHTLY BELOW
GUIDANCE POPS. I FLIRTED WITH THE IDEA OF GOING WITH A FLOOD WATCH
AS PWS REMAIN AOA 2 BUT TOUGH TO DETERMINE WHERE AXIS OF HEAVIEST
RAINS WILL SET UP. WEDGE PATTERN INLAND LIKELY TO INHIBIT DEEP
INLAND PENETRATION OF SFC CONVERGENCE FTR. IN ADDITION THERE IS A
LARGE SWATH OF REAL ESTATE INLAND WHICH HAS NOT RECEIVED MUCH RAIN
DURING THIS WET WEEK. I LIKE ILM IDEA OF ISSUING AN SPS INSTEAD.
THE ETA IS CONSISTENT IN SWINGING AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER FROM
NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS TOWARDS SC LATE SUNDAY AROUND THE WESTERN ATLC
UPPER HIGH. ALTHOUGH WEAKER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS THE ETA HAS BEEN
CONSISTENT. THE AVN 00Z RUN DID NOT HAVE THIS FTR. WILL LEAN TOWARDS
THE ETA SOLN ALTHOUGH I WISH CONFIDENCE WAS HIGHER. WILL USE MIDDLE
OF THE ROAD 50% POPS AND CALL PCPN SCT SO THE WHOLE WEEKEND DOES NOT
SOUND LIKE A TOTAL WASHOUT. WITH CLOUDS AND RAIN COOLED LOW
LEVELS...I GENERALLY FOLLOWED THE COOLER GUIDANCE. ANY SUCKER HOLES
IN THE CLOUD COVER THAT DEVELOP WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO LOCALLY REACH
MUCH HIGHER.
EFP: 00Z AVN DRIER FOR TUE/WED. WILL DECREASE POPS TO SLGHT CHANCE
BUT MAKE NO WHOLESALE CHANGES TO FORECAST.
MARINE: WILL LEAN HEAVILY ON ETA THIS RUN AS THIS JIVES ALSO PRETTY
WELL WITH THE NGM. DO NOT ANTICIPATE WINDS TO BE IN SCA CATEGORY BUT
E-SE SWELL WILL LIKELY REACH 6 FT TONIGHT AND REMAIN THROUGH MUCH
OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND ESPECIALLY N OF HATTERAS. WINDS SHOULD VEER
AROUND TO THE E LATE TODAY THEN SE SUN NIGHT AND S LABOR DAY. FCSTG
5 FT SEAS TODAY AND WILL HEADLINE SCSEC TODAY AND 6 FT TONIGHT
AND WILL HEADLINE SCA EXPECTED TONIGHT.
RIP CURRENT THREAT...INCREASED THREAT TODAY FOR ALL OUR BEACHES
DUE TO SWELL.
.MHX...FFA ENTIRE CWA.
JME/WS
Flash Flood, Pamlico
- When
- August 31, 5:45 AM EST to 8:00 AM EST
- Where
- Pamlico County, Merritt
- Reported by
- LAW ENFORCEMENT
- Coordinates
- 35.152, -76.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Heavy rains flooded many roads in and around Merritt stranding many residences in their homes for several hours.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flood and Hail in Minnesota, August 31, 2002$71,000 · 1 in hail · 12 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in North Dakota, August 31, 2002$25,000 · 3 in hail · 33 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Colorado, August 31, 2002$5,000 · 1 in hail · 12 events
- Hail in South Dakota, August 31, 20021.25 in hail · 8 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in North Dakota, August 31, 20021 in hail · 4 events
- Flash Flood and Hail in New Mexico, August 31, 20022.75 in hail · 3 events
- Damaging Winds in Montana, August 31, 200260 kt wind · 2 events
- Heavy Rain in North Carolina, August 31, 20021 event
- Flash Flood in North Carolina, August 31, 20021 event
- Flood in North Carolina, August 31, 20021 event
- Waterspout in Gulf of Mexico, August 31, 20021 event
- Hail in North Dakota, August 31, 20021.75 in hail · 1 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5314349.