Hail in North Carolina, April 19, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...ROUTINE DELAYED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
130 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2002

MODELS ARE PRETTY SIMILAR IN DEVELOPING A SFC LOW OVER SE VA TOMORROW
AND MOVING OFF THE COAST LATE. FRONT WILL MAKE ITS WAY S SAT NIGHT
THEN BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY JUST S OF OUR CWA SUNDAY. THEN AIR MASS
CHANGING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH MONDAY. MULTIPLE VORT MAXES
MOVING THRU THE REGION PRIOR TO THE COLD FRONT MOVING THRU MONDAY
WILL MAKE TIMING OF PCPN VERY DIFFICULT BUT IT LOOKS LIKE BEST
CHANCE WILL BE LATE TOMORROW INTO TOMORROW NIGHT. THEN AGAIN LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AND ALONG THE COLD
FRONT.

H85 THETA-E RIDGE MOVES INTO OUR CWA AFTER 00Z TONIGHT AND ALL THE
WAY TO THE COAST BY 12Z SAT SO WILL MAINTAIN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
TSTMS FOR TONIGHT. ANOTHER THETA-E RIDGE MOVES OVER OUR CWA SUNDAY
EVENING.

TEMPS...FWC CONTINUES TO RULE.

EXTENDED...AFTER COLD FRONT MOVES THRU MONDAY NOT MUCH CHANCE OF PCPN
UNTIL THU NIGHT INTO FRI AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES THRU BUT THIS
ONE WILL NOT TAP INTO GULF MOISTURE SO JUST SLIGHT CHANCE. BACK TO
MORE SPRINGLIKE TEMPERATURE WITH LOWS BACK INTO THE 40S INLAND AND
HIGHS AROUND 60-65 TUE...65-70 WED...UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S THU &
FRI.

.MHX...NONE

WS

NCZ090-092-093-098-192130-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT-MOREHEAD CITY NC
436 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2002

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ONSLOW...JONES...CRAVEN AND
DUPLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM EDT...

AT 436 PM EDT...THERE WERE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF TRENTON TO 8 MILES EAST OF WALLACE...MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR TRENTON AT 455 PM EDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS TO BE AFFECTED BY THE STORMS INCLUDE JACKSONVILLE AND
NEW BERN.

WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER UPDATES ON THE WEATHER SITUATION ACROSS THE AREA.

CTC