Damaging Wind in New Jersey, August 2, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
855 PM EDT FRI AUG 2 2002

SEVERE TSTM WATCH WILL EXPIRE IN 5 MINUTES. WRNGS ARE CUR CVR MOST
OF THE ONGOING SVR ACTVTY. WITH GUST FRONT FLYING AHEAD OF CELLS
DO NOT EXPECT MUCH MORE SVR WX. WILL CLR CONVECTION FROM FAR NWRN
ZNS AND WILL CLEAN UP OTHER CTYS AS CONVECTION ENDS.

TFG

PREV AFD ********************************************************

AS OF 200 PM SCT CONVTN HAS FIRED JUST N OF SUSSEX N AND JUST S OF
SUSSEX S. WL CARRY A REST OF TDA PERIOD FOR MOST IF NOT ALL ZONES
FOR CHC TRW...THEN A CHC ALL ZONES TNGT IN VIEW OF SOME UPPER
SUPPORT AND SFC FNT ENTERING THE AREA FM THE NW. SERN ZONES MAY HAVE
LESS CHC AFT THE EVENING BUT THIS CAN BE ADDRESSED ON EVE UPDATE.
ANY TSTMS MAY BE QUITE STG IN VIEW OF HI INSTABY AND CAPES.

FNT HANGS UP IN CNTRL PTNS OF THE CWA SAT AND WASHES OUT. PVA DRIFTS
THRU THE AREA SAT AND BEST MSTR DRIFTS S OVR SRN ZONES. WL CARRY A
CHC OF MAINLY AFTN TRW RDG/TTN/NEW BRUNSWICK LINE AND S..OTHERWISE
PTLY CLDY/PTLY SUNNY. CUD BE SOME EVENING CLDS SPCLY CNTRL/S SAT BUT
MO CLR CONDS ARE XPCD SAT NITE AS ANY CONVTV DEBRIS WANES...WITH
MOSUNNY SKIES FCST FOR SUN. NEXT FNT LOOKS TO BE MON NITE / ERY TUE
SO WL CONFINE POPS THERE FOR THE XTDD PD...WITH NICER WX AND MORE
SEASONABLE TEMPS TUE THRU FRI.

TEMPS...SLGTLY LESS HOT CONDS ARE XPCD TO PREVAIL SAT (ALTHO WARMER
THAN WE HAD FCST PREVIIOUSLY) AS NO REAL AMS CHG TAKES PLACE FOR
CNTRL/SRN ZONES...MAYBE A FEW DEGS COOLER FOR NWRN ZONES. WL CONT
THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WRNG FOR HIGHLY URBANIZED AREAS IN AND ARND PHL
THRU SAT...SINCE HEAT INDICES AGAIN REACH ARND 100 SAT...AND MINS
TNGT WON/T BE APPRECIABLY LWR THAN LAST NITE...WITH CONTD HI DPTS.
NEW NPWPHI WL BE ISSUED. PERHAPS A CPL DEGS LESS SUN FOR BOTH T AND
TD.

NOTHING UP FOR THE MARINE.

MPO   65  88  63  88 /  30  10   0   0
ABE   69  92  66  91 /  30  20   0   0
RDG   71  93  68  92 /  30  30   0   0
PHL   75  94  73  93 /  30  30   0   0
12N   68  90  65  90 /  30  10   0   0
SMQ   72  93  69  92 /  30  20   0   0
TTN   73  93  71  92 /  30  30   0   0
MIV   73  92  72  91 /  30  30   0   0
ACY   77  90  76  89 /  30  30   0   0
ILG   74  93  72  92 /  30  30   0   0
DOV   73  92  72  92 /  30  30   0   0
GED   74  93  73  93 /  30  30   0   0
ESN   74  93  73  92 /  30  30   0   0

.PHI...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING THROUGH SAT FOR THE HIGHLY URBANIZED
       AREAS IN AND ARND PHL...CAMDEN...TRENTON AND WILMINGTON
       (PAZ067>071...NJZ015-017-018-019 AND DEZ001).
MARINE...NONE.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016>019-021>025-027-PAZ067-070-071-030445-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
942 PM EDT FRI AUG 2 2002

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM PHILADELPHIA TO BARNEGAT NEW
JERSEY WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 50 MPH AS THEY MOVE
SOUTH TONIGHT.  SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY VERY HEAVY
RAIN AND VIVID CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.  THE STORMS WILL WEAKEN
AND MOVE OFF TO THE SOUTH AND EAST BY OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

RPW