Missouri, 2002

Flood in Missouri, May 14 to 15, 2002

May 14 to 15, 2002 · NWS PAH · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 14, 1:35 PM CST, 1 hour 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 14, 1:35 PM CST, 1 hour 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
235 PM CDT TUE MAY 14 2002

MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM FOR TONIGHT WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG.
ATTENTION WILL THEN BE FOCUSED ON WHEN TO RE-INTRODUCE POPS AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR MORE FLOODING RAINS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

A FEW CUMULUS LINGERING OVER THE EVANSVILLE AREA THIS AFTERNOON
SHOULD DISSIPATE RAPIDLY WITH LOSS OF HEATING...LEAVING BEHIND
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT.  IN ADDITION...THE SURFACE HIGH WILL BE
DRIFTING ACROSS THE AREA...SO LIGHT WINDS AND A GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING SCENARIO WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST AREA.
WITH THE WET GROUND...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR DENSE FOG...BUT
GUIDANCE DOES NOT EVEN HINT AT IT.  LOOKS AS THOUGH A WEAK WARM
ADVECTION PATTERN OFF THE SURFACE...COUPLED WITH A DEVELOPING WEAK
SOUTHEAST SURFACE WIND WILL KEEP CONDITIONS FROM BECOMING OVERLY
SATURATED TONIGHT.  THE EVENING SHIFT WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THE
SITUATION...BUT FOR NOW WILL NOT MENTION ANY FOG IN THE ZONES.

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA
TOMORROW...AS MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS.  ONGOING WARM ADVECTION
PATTERN MAY TRY TO FORCE SOME ELEVATED CONVECTION IN THE NORTH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BUT AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT ANY SUCH ACTIVITY
WILL BE NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.  CHANCES WILL BE BETTER LATER ON
THURSDAY AS AN IMPULSE MOVES EASTWARD INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES.
WILL BEGIN POPS ON THURSDAY WITH LOW CHANCE POPS NORTH AND SLIGHT
CHANCES SOUTH.

AS THIS LEAD IMPULSE CONTINUES EASTWARD IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT
SOUTH...JUST NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY EVENING.
CONVECTION WILL BECOME LIKELY AS THE FRONT AND A MORE SIGNIFICANT
MID AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACH THE AREA.  THE AVN DEVELOPS A
SURFACE LOW AND RIPS IT EASTWARD ALONG THE FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLY FRIDAY.  CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE WILL
BE AVAILABLE TO THIS SYSTEM...SO ANOTHER HEAVY RAIN EPISODE WILL BE
POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.  FOR NOW PLAN ON ISSUING A
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK THIS AFTERNOON...ANTICIPATING A WATCH FOR THE
THIRD AND FOURTH PERIODS FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOONS FORECAST.  AS FOR
THE ZONES WILL INCREASE THE POPS TO LIKELY ALL ZONES THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY...BUT IT IS TOO FAR OUT TO MENTION HEAVY PRECIPITATION AT
THIS TIME.

THE AVN CARVES OUT A RATHER DEEP TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY...AND AS AN IMPULSE SWEEPS ACROSS ILLINOIS AND
INDIANA...THERE WILL BE CHANCE OF CONVECTION IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE AREA.  THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL BE DRY...WITH
THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH BEING A BIT SLOW TO MOVE OUT OF THE
REGION.  HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IN THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST IS LOW.

GENERALLY WENT NEAR COOLER MAV TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE THROUGH THE
FORECAST.

.PAH...NONE.

DRS

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Ripley

When
May 14, 3:00 PM CST to May 15, 8:00 AM CST
Where
Ripley forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS,ASOS,MESONET,ETC
Coordinates
36.653, -90.864 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Minor flooding occurred along the Current River at Doniphan. The river crested at 13.7 feet at Doniphan, where flood stage is 13 feet.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Missouri in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, May 2002

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5295787.