Missouri, 2002

Flood in Missouri, March 27 to 29, 2002

March 27 to 29, 2002 · NWS PAH · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 27, 1:35 AM CST, 7 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 27, 1:35 AM CST, 7 hours 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
135 AM CST WED MAR 27 2002

QUIET WEATHER TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE TO MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION. SATELLITE SHOWS SOME HIGH CLOUDS FROM THE SW U.S. INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. THAT SHOULD BE ABOUT IT FOR CLOUDS TODAY. THE HIGH
WILL SLIDE TO THE EAST TONIGHT...ALLOWING FOR S TO SE LOW LEVEL FLOW
TO DEVELOP...SO TEMPS SHOULD NOT BE AS COOL AS THIS MORNING. A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SETS UP FROM MINNESOTA...SOUTH ACROSS IOWA AND CENTRAL KANSAS
INTO OKLAHOMA BY THURSDAY MORNING. IT IS FORECAST TO SHIFT SE TOWARD
THE AREA...WITH UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT DIVING SE AS WELL. STILL LOOKS
LIKE A CHANCE OF RAIN BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OVER MAINLY SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...MAYBE INTO SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. ANY RAIN ACTIVITY SHOULD
MOVE ESE ACROSS THE FA THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING THURSDAY...EXITING
SW INDIANA AND WEST KENTUCKY BY MIDNIGHT. POPS STILL IN CHANCE
CATEGORY FOR NOW.

IN THE EXTENDED...THE NEW AVN LOOKS REAL SUSPECT EJECTING SO MUCH
MOISTURE AND QPF INTO THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY. AN UPPER
LOW CURRENTLY OUT OVER THE PACIFIC...WELL OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE SW U.S. LATE THIS WEEK...AND ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN U.S. THIS WEEKEND BEFORE GETTING CAUGHT UP IN THE MAIN BRANCH
OF THE JET ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE U.S. BY MONDAY. TYPICALLY
THESE SYSTEMS MOVE OUT MORE SLOWLY THAN THE MODELS SUGGEST. THE AVN IS
THE FASTEST. FIRST...IF THE CUTOFF REMAINS IN TACT...DECENT S/WV
RIDGING SHOULD BE OUT AHEAD OF THE FEATURE...RESULTING IN A MORE
CONFLUENT FLOW ACROSS OUR AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...AS WE WILL STILL
BE INFLUENCED BY THE NORTHERN BRANCH...TROF. THUS ANY MOISTURE THAT
SPREADS EAST FROM THE UPPER LOW SHOULD HIT A WALL SO TO SPEAK...AND
DIMINISH. SO WE LIKE THE CURRENT FORECAST...HOLDING RAIN OFF TIL LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...AS THE UPPER LOW SHOULD FINALLY ARRIVE
BY THEN. ONCE IT GETS CAUGHT UP IN THE MAIN FLOW...IT SHOULD EJECT EAST
FAIRLY RAPIDLY...TAKING MOISTURE AND ANY RAIN EAST OF THE AREA BY LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT. WILL CONTINUE WITH THE QUIET WEATHER TREND EARLY NEXT
WEEK. MAY HAVE TO TAKE A LOOK AT TUESDAY. FOR NOW...WILL ADD MORE CLOUDS.

GUIDANCE NUMBERS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
LINE UP WITH GOING FORECAST...SO WILL FOLLOW.

.PAH...NONE.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, New Madrid

When
March 27, 9:00 AM CST to March 29, 2:00 PM CST
Where
New Madrid forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS,ASOS,MESONET,ETC
Coordinates
36.595, -89.652 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Mississippi River rose above flood stage at New Madrid on March 27 and crested about one half foot above flood stage the next day. Minor flooding of mainly agricultural low-lying bottomlands occurred.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Missouri in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, March 2002

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5280649.