Tornado and Hail in Michigan, May 30, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1122 AM EDT THU MAY 30 2002

HAVE NOT HAD MUCH TIME TO LOOK AT THINGS THIS MORNING AS HAVE BEEN
VERY BUSY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING THIS MORNING WITH
A SHORTWAVE PASSING THROUGH THIS MORNING AND THIS SHOWS UP WELL AS
DRYING ON WATER VAPOR PUSHING INTO WESTERN U.P. NEXT SHORTWAVE SHOWS
UP AS ANOTHER AREA OF DRYING ON WATER VAPOR NEAR THE MN/MAN AND ONT
BORDER AND THIS WILL BE THE NEXT WEATHERMAKER FOR CWA THIS
AFTERNOON. APPEARS AS IF SOME ELEVATED CONVECTION BASED OFF OF
VISIBLE SATELLITE STARTING TO POP UP IN NE MN AND THIS SHOULD BE
INTO CWA THIS AFTERNOON. STILL LOOKING AT THINGS...BUT AGREE WITH
SPC OUTLOOK AND FEEL PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WIND. TEMPS LOOK OKAY AND WILL UPDATE ZONES TO ADD SEVERE WEATHER
WORDING IN FOR THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT SEVERE CONVECTION TO FORM
AFTER 4 PM.

.MQT...NONE.

MICHELS

MIZ001>007-009>014-310000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1220 PM EDT THU MAY 30 2002

...SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING ACROSS WEST AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS ALL
OF WEST AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE AFTER 4 PM AND LAST INTO THE EVENING...WITH LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OVER UPPER MICHIGAN THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST AT 25
MPH. COLD AIR ALOFT WILL HELP TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. ANY HAIL OR
HEAVY RAINFALL THAT DOES OCCUR WILL ALSO BRING SOME STRONGER WIND
DOWN TO THE SURFACE WHICH COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AFTER 4 PM ACROSS WESTERN AND
CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR
FAVORITE MEDIA SOURCE FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

MICHELS