Michigan, 2002

High Wind in Michigan, August 17, 2002

August 17, 2002 · NWS MQT · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 high wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Marquette, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 17, 2:45 AM EST, 5 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 17, 2:45 AM EST, 5 hours 45 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
345 AM EDT SAT AUG 17 2002

CONCERNS WITH THIS PACKAGE REVOLVE AROUND CHANCES FOR SHRA/TSRA
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THIS MORNING...THEN HIGH WIND POTENTIAL
THROUGH THIS EVENING.

LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND H4 RUC ANALYSES SHOW A STRONG
SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED IN OTHERWISE ZONAL FLOW OVER THE NORTHERN TIER OF
THE CONUS. THE LEAD PV ANOMALY ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE IS
CURRENTLY SWINGING THROUGH EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...WITH DISTINCT
SUBSIDENCE AND DRYING NOTED TO ITS SOUTH OVER SOUTH DAKOTA AND INTO
WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. THE RESULTANT SURFACE PRESSURE RISE MAXIMA
IS LOCATED OVER SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA PER THE 06Z MSAS
ANALYSIS. SURFACE WIND GUSTS ACROSS CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA HAVE BEEN
IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...WITH A FEW GUSTS
AROUND 60 MPH NOTED AS WELL. TO THE EAST...A LARGE AREA OF SHRA/TSRA
IS ONGOING OVER EASTERN MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST WISCONSIN. THIS
PRECIPITATION IS BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO UPPER MICHIGAN...AND SOME
THUNDER SHOULD BEGIN TO MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE WESTERN CWFA OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS AS THE NEGATIVE H85-H5 DIFFERENTIAL THETA-E VALUES
MOVE INTO THE AREA AHEAD OF THE H85 THETA-E RIDGE AND APPROACHING
H7-H5 DRY SLOT.

CONVECTION WHICH RECENTLY FIRED ALONG THE COLD FRONT OVER NEBRASKA
AND IOWA APPEARS TO BE CUTTING OFF SOME OF THE INFLOW INTO THE
CONVECTION OVER MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN...WHICH MAY BE SUPPORTING
THE RECENT WEAKENING TREND NOTED WITH THAT CONVECTION.
HOWEVER...THERE REMAINS SUFFICIENT MOISTURE...INSTABILITY AND
FORCING AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE AND SURFACE COLD FRONT TO PRODUCE
PCPN...SO WE WILL SEE A PERIOD OF SHRA/TSRA THIS MORNING. CANNOT
DISCOUNT THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER GIVEN THE IMPRESSIVE
45-65KT WINDS BELOW 5K FT ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.
HOWEVER...WITH LAPS ANALYSES STILL SHOWING A SURFACE BASED INVERSION
IN PLACE...ONLY THE STRONGER STORMS SHOULD HAVE A CHANCE TO
TRANSPORT SEVERE WINDS TO THE SURFACE AS THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE THROUGH THIS MORNING.

THE 00Z MODEL RUNS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...AND WILL ESSENTIALLY GO WITH A BLEND OF ETA/AVN
GUIDANCE...LEANING TOWARD THE ETA IN THE SHORT TERM THEN TRENDING
TOWARD THE AVN BEYOND 48 HOURS.

AS DISCUSSED ABOVE...WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION SHRA/TSRA AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT AND SHORTWAVE THIS MORNING. THE BEST QG FORCING IS
PROGGED TO SWING BY JUST TO OUR NORTH BETWEEN 09Z AND 18Z...WITH
DPVA AND ISENTROPIC LIFT AHEAD OF THE FRONT REPRESENTED BY A NICE
AREA OF H85-H5 Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE. ALTHOUGH THE STRONGEST FORCING
IS NORTH OF THE CWFA...SUFFICIENT FORCING AND MOISTURE FOR A PERIOD
OF PCPN EXTENDS WELL SOUTH THROUGH THE CWFA. ISENTROPIC DOWNGLIDE
AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE WILL ARRIVE QUICKLY BEHIND THE FRONT...WORKING
TO SCOUR OUT MUCH OF THE CLOUD COVER FROM WEST TO EAST BY THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS SUBSIDENCE WILL ALSO HELP IN THE TRANSPORT OF HIGHER
WINDS TO THE SURFACE FROM ALOFT. THE ETA IS CONTINUING TO SHOW AN
AREA OF 45-55KT WSW WINDS BETWEEN 2K AND 4K FEET FROM LATE MORNING
THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS IS PRIMARILY FOCUSED OVER THE WESTERN
CWFA...WITH THE HIGHEST PROGGED SURFACE WINDS IN THE EXPECTED AREA
ALONG THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SIDE OF THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA. THE
AFOREMENTIONED SUBSIDENCE AND NEARLY DRY ADIABATIC LAPSE RATE BELOW
4K FEET SHOULD ALLOW A FEW WARNING CRITERIA WIND GUSTS TO OCCUR OVER
THE KEWEENAW THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN PRESSURE
RISE/FALL COUPLET IS PROGGED TO SWING THROUGH BEHIND THE SURFACE
COLD FRONT THIS MORNING...BEFORE THE BETTER GRADIENT AND DEEP LAYER
HIGH WINDS WORK INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. WOULD EXPECT TO SEE
SOME POST FRONTAL HIGH GUSTS THIS MORNING AS THE ISALLOBARIC WIND
HELPS THINGS OUT. WE MAY THEN HAVE A LULL IN THE HIGHER WINDS BEFORE
THINGS PICK UP AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. WILL GO WITH A HIGH WIND
WARNING FOR HOUGHTON AND KEWEENAW COUNTIES...AND AN ADVISORY FOR
GOGEBIC...ONTONAGON...BARAGA AND MARQUETTE COUNTIES. WOULD EXPECT
THE HIGHEST WINDS IN MARQUETTE COUNTY TO BE CONFINED TO LOCATIONS
NORTH AND WEST OF NEGAUNEE...PARTICULARLY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN WEST
OF BIG BAY. HOWEVER...IT WILL BE QUITE BREEZY ACROSS THE ENTIRE U.P.
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

THE MAIN SHORTWAVE WILL PASS BY TO OUR NORTH TONIGHT...DRAGGING A
SECONDARY H5 VOT LOBE AND SOME COOLER AIR DOWN INTO THE AREA AS IT
DOES SO. THE ETA PROGS H85 TEMPERATURES OF AROUND 6C BY LATE TONIGHT
WITH THE AVN SHOWING AROUND 4C. IN EITHER CASE IT APPEARS WE SHOULD
SEE SOME COLD AIR STRATOCU ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWFA LATER TONIGHT.
THE GOING FORECAST INCLUDES THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS...AND SEE NO REASON TO REMOVE THAT FROM THE FORECAST AT THIS
POINT. EXPECT H85 THERMAL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED HIGH RH TO LINGER
OVER THE CWFA THROUGH SUNDAY BEFORE RETURN FLOW SETS UP BY MONDAY
MORNING. THIS SCENARIO SHOULD KEEP THINGS SOMEWHAT CLOUDY OVER THE
NORTHERN CWFA...WITH CLEARER SKIES TO THE SOUTH. THIS CORRESPONDS
WELL WITH THE GOING FORECAST...SO DO NOT PLAN ON ANY SUBSTANTIVE
CHANGES.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF PCPN STILL LOOKS LIKE IT WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL
WEDNESDAY AS A SHORTWAVE PROPAGATES THROUGH THE ZONAL FLOW ALONG THE
US/CANADIAN BORDER.

.MQT...HIGH WIND WARNING TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING
MIZ001-003...HIGH WIND ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING
MIZ002-004-005-009...GALE WARNING LAKE SUPERIOR.

TRH

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Menominee

When
August 17, 8:30 AM EST
Where
Menominee forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph)
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates
45.525, -87.510 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A 60 mph wind gust was reported in Menominee due to a wake low. Numerous trees and power lines were blown down.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Michigan in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Michigan, August 2002

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5315822.