Hail and Damaging Winds in Maine, July 15, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
225 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2002

ZONES...
MAIN CONCERN IS SEVERE WEATHER THREAT THROUGH 8 PM. SPC WILL BE
PUTTING UP A WATCH FOR SOUTHWEST ME AND SOUITHERN NH.

FIRST LINE OF CONVECTION MOVING OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AT THIS
TIME.  IT PRODUCED A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS BUT NO REPORTS OF ANY
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER RECEIVED.  A SECOND LINE IS DEVELOPING JUST
AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT.  THIS LINE EXTENDS ACROSS THE
MOUNTAIN ZONES OF WESTERN ME AND NH.

WILL PUT IN A THROUGH THIS EVENING PERIOD FOR ZONES...AND MENTION
POSSIBLE STRONG /OR SEVERE/ THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 8 PM FOR SOUTHERN
...CENTRAL AND COASTAL ZONES...DEPENDING ON WHERE THE WATCH IS
ISSUED.

BEHIND THE FRONT AS THE STRONG 500 MB CUTOFF DRIFTS SOUTHEASTWARD A
NEW AIR MASS MOVES IN WITH COOLER AND LESS HUMID CONDITIONS.
LIMITED RH BEHIND THE FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL CUTOFF MOVES OUT FAIRLY
QUICLY SO NOT MUCH CLOUD FORMATION DURING TUESDAY.

A NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTATED WARM FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESAY NIGHT BRINGING A CHANCE OF RW/TRW.  THIS WILL PERIST
THROUIGH THU/EARLY THU NIGHT WHEN A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.  A
RETURN TO DRIER...COOLER...LESS HUMID WX ON FRIDAY.

FOR POPS AND TEMPS...USING FWC/MAV COMPROMISE IN THE SHORT RANGE AND
MEX IN THE LONG RANGE.

CWF...
WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS.  WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING.

PRELIMINARY PWMWRKZFP/PWMWRKCWF AVBL IN AWIPS.  HAVE NOT YET ADDED
THE PERIOD TO COVER CURRENT CONVECTION IN THE PWMWRKZFP PRODUCT.

FCSTID = 2

.GYX...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.

SJC

MEZ012>014-018>028-NHZ003>010-013-014-152200-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1020 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2002

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
WESTERN MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE THIS AFTERNOON...

THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES
WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN AND SOUTHERN MAINE AND NORTHERN
...CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NEW HAMPSHIRE TODAY.  SOME OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTAIN DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MAINE AND
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NEW HAMPSHIRE.

BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND MAY ALSO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS...HAIL...
HEAVY RAIN...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND ABRUPT WIND SHIFTS.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE TODAY
AND OFF THE COAST THIS EVENING.  THIS FRONT WILL BE THE DRIVING
FORCE BEHIND THE STRONG AND POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON.

SEEK SAFE SHELTER IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES.  TAKE NECESSARY
PRECAUTIONS NOW...HAVE A WEATHER RADIO AT HAND IF OUT OF DOORS OR
BOATING.  BOATERS SHOULD HEAD FOR SAFETY BEFORE THE THREAT OF
THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
UPDATES AND ANY SEVERE WEATHER WATCHES OR WARNINGS.

SJC

MEZ012-013-019>021-NHZ003>006-152000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
300 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2002

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM...

AT 300 PM WEATHER RADAR SHOWED A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING
SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MAINE AND NORTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE.  THESE STORMS HAVE HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE AS THESE STORMS MOVE
THROUGH CENTRAL NEW HAMPSHIRE AND THE FOOTHILLS AND INTERIOR CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN MAINE THROUGH 4 PM.  THIS INCLUDES SOUTHERN OXFORD...
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN...KENNEBEC...ANDROSCOGGIN AND NORTHERN CUMBERLAND
COUNTIES IN MAINE AND CARROLL AND GRAFTON COUNTIES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

SEEK SAFE SHELTER IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES.

IF POSSIBLE...REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...LARGE HAIL OR DAMAGING WINDS
...TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY THE
INFORMATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY. STAY TUNED TO

NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS.

SJC