Hail and Damaging Winds in Kentucky, August 2, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 2 2002

A CUT AND DRY FORECAST...ESPECIALLY DRY. PRIMARY QUESTION TO PONDER
IS WHETHER TO EVEN MENTION A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM THIS
EVENING AS FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. AT PRESENT NOT THE
SLIGHTEST HINT OF ANYTHING DEVELOPING...SO MAY END UP LEAVING A
MENTION OUT.

UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY MAINTAINING IRON
GRIP ON THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. SHORT WAVE MOVING EAST ACROSS ONTARIO
WILL FORCE COLD FRONT SOUTH OF THE GREAT LAKES...BUT RIDGE WILL
BRING FRONT TO A HALT WELL NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER. THUS THE
PESSIMISM IN FORECASTING THUNDERSTORMS. ONCE CANADIAN SHORT WAVE
MOVES EAST...UPPER RIDGE WILL STRENGTHEN AND HOLD SWAY OVER OHIO AND
MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS INTO NEXT WEEK.

TEMPERATURE QUESTIONS WILL BE WHETHER TO GO MID OR UPPER 90S DURING
THE DAY OR LOWER OR MID 70S AT NIGHT. ANY OF THOSE CHOICES WILL BE
CLOSE DURING THEIR PERIODS.

ABOUT TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK AVN AND MRF TRIES TO BRING SHORT WAVE
AROUND EASTERN CANADA TROUGH INTO NORTHEAST US. THIS WOULD BRING
SLIGHT BREAK TO CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...BUT
WEVE BEEN TORMENTED BEFORE BY FEATURES THAT LATER RUNS KEPT WELL
NORTH. SO ABOUT MONDAY WELL CHECK OUT THIS SUPPOSED BREAK IN THE
HEAT AND SEE HOW WERE FARING.

SDF...NONE.

REITMEYER