Hail and Damaging Winds in Kentucky, April 24, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
230 PM EDT WED APR 24 2002

NOT MUCH SENSIBLE WEATHER GOING ON OVER CENTRAL KENTUCKYS CWA AS WE APRCH
MID AFTN.

MODELS SIMILAR ONCE AGAIN AND OFFER A GOOD LIKELYHOOD OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT AS CDFNT ADVANCES SOUTHEAST INTO THE
LOWER OHIO VALLEY.

TIME SECTIONS ALL INDICATE GOOD DRYING BE THE WEE HOURS AS SFC WIND BECOMES
NWLY..

FOLKS AT THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER INDICATE THE POSSIBILITY OF
SEVERE WX DVLPG OVR WRN KY AND PTS WEST WHERE MORE THE ATMOSPHERE
WAS SOMEWHAT MORE UNSTBL.

AS MENTIONED B4...MODELS INDICATE GOOD DRYING AND PCPN CHCS BASICLY OVER
WITH THE INFLUX OF A NEW AIR MASS AFTR MIDNIGHT.

.SDF...NONE
RDC

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-250242-

CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH-CENTRAL INDIANA SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
500 PM EDT WED APR 24 2002

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY WEST OF A LINE STRETCHING
FROM TRIMBLE TO CASEY COUNTIES.

DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL INDIANA LATER THIS
EVENING. THE LOW WILL DRAG A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY LATE THIS EVENING.

A COMPLEX OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...LOCATED IN CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...WILL DEVELOP FURTHER EARLY THIS EVENING. THE
COMPLEX WILL MOVE INTO SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
GENERALLY WEST OF INTERSTATE 65...BETWEEN 600 PM AND 800 PM EDT. THE
GREATEST THREAT FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. THERE IS ALSO A POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES
ACROSS THE AREA...GENERALLY WEST OF INTERSTATE 65.

THE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY EVOLVE INTO A SQUALL LINE WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS LATER THIS EVENING. THE
SQUALL LINE WILL TRACK EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 AFTER 800 PM EDT. THE
THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL LIKELY DIMINISH DURING THAT TIMEFRAME.

THIS IS A PRELIMINARY OUTLOOK. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR THE LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION. SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS
EVENING.

JMB

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-250242-

CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH-CENTRAL INDIANA SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
500 PM EDT WED APR 24 2002

...CORRECTED...

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL
KENTUCKY THIS EVENING.

DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL INDIANA LATER THIS
EVENING. THE LOW WILL DRAG A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY LATE THIS EVENING.

A COMPLEX OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...LOCATED IN CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...WILL DEVELOP FURTHER EARLY THIS EVENING. THE
COMPLEX WILL MOVE INTO SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
GENERALLY WEST OF INTERSTATE 65...BETWEEN 600 PM AND 800 PM EDT. THE
GREATEST THREAT FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. THERE IS ALSO A POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES
ACROSS THE AREA...GENERALLY WEST OF INTERSTATE 65.

THE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY EVOLVE INTO A SQUALL LINE WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS LATER THIS EVENING. THE
SQUALL LINE WILL TRACK EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 AFTER 800 PM EDT. THE
THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL LIKELY DIMINISH DURING THAT TIMEFRAME.

THIS IS A PRELIMINARY OUTLOOK. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR THE LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION. SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS
EVENING.

JMB