Hail in Kansas, May 24, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
138 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2002

HEAVY PRECIPITATION IN SOUTHERN ZONES MAIN CONCERN...

THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO REFIRE THIS AFTERNOON WITH ONE CELL
ALREADY NOTED ALONG THE OKLAHOMA BORDER SOUTH OF WICHITA AS OF THIS
WRITING.  WILL CONTINUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY IN
THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED COUNTIES...WHICH IS THE SOUTHERN PART OF
THE CWA.

SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF OUR CWA TONIGHT
ALTHOUGH SOUTHERN FRINGE COUNTIES NEAREST THE FRONTAL ZONE MAY HAVE
A CLOSE CALL.

ALL ACTIVITY SHOULD BE OUT OF THE CWA BY LATE TONIGHT EXCEPT FOR THE
FAR EAST AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES WHERE HAVE CONTINUED WITH A CHANCE
POP FOR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

DRY WEATHER THEREAFTER UNTIL ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION STARTS
MEMORIAL DAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH DAYTIME THURSDAY.

FOR TEMPERATURES HAVE FOLLOWED A BLEND OF THE LATEST GUIDANCE
CONSENSUS WITH GOING FORECAST.

.TOP...FLOOD WATCH FOR EAST CENTRAL KANSAS UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY.
       KSZ037-054>056-058-059

34

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-242230-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1210 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2002

...A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY NOT BE NEEDED ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL...NORTHEAST OR EAST CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL LIKELY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAS DIMINISHED
SOMEWHAT. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER EAST CENTRAL KANSAS HAS BEEN
SAGGING FARTHER TO THE SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN KANSAS. CONSEQUENTLY...
THE STRONGEST...AND POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...WILL LIKELY BE
TO THE SOUTH OF EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

ALTHOUGH THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER HAS DIMINISHED...VERY HEAVY
RAINS ARE STILL A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY FOR EAST CENTRAL KANSAS LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. AS A RESULT...A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL KANSAS...MAINLY ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 56.

ALL THE RAIN WILL COME TO AN END BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE FRONT
CAUSING THE RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS...WILL PUSH WELL TO THE SOUTH OF
THE AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TOPEKA.

PB