Flood, Alexander
- When
- January 26, 4:00 PM CST to January 31, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Alexander forecast zone
- Reported by
- AWOS,ASOS,MESONET,ETC
- Coordinates
- 37.192, -89.338 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Ohio River rose above flood stage along the Illinois side late in January. Flood stage was exceeded downriver from the confluence of the Tennessee River at Paducah.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
The Ohio River rose above flood stage along the Illinois side late in January. Flood stage was exceeded downriver from the confluence of the Tennessee River at Paducah. At Brookport, where flood stage is 37 feet, the river crested at 41.1 feet on January 31. This resulted in minor flooding of lowlands, including portions of Fort Massac State Park, where an access road was closed. Further downriver at Grand Chain and Cairo, the crest did not occur before the end of the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 26, 1:33 PM CST, 2 hours 27 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 134 M CST SAT JAN 26 2002 WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND SLOWLY RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT TO KEEP THE SHORT TERM PART OF THE FORECAST CONTINUE HIGH AND DRY. MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE WITH THIS PACKAGE WILL START ON TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AS THE NEXT SYSTEM CROSSES OUR CWA. 12Z ETA/AVN MODELS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY DIFFERENT ON TIMING/LOCATION OF THE UPCOMING SYSTEM. FAVOR THE SOMEWHAT SLOWER AVN SOLUTION... ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE FACT THAT THE DRIVING UPPER LOW WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE EXTREME SW US. 12Z AVN RUN SHOWS A SLIGHTLY SLOWER COLD FROPA ON TUESDAY...WITH THE FRONT STALLING BARELY TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR CWA. AS RESULT...THE NEW FORECAST TRACK WILL TAKE THE LOW ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN THIRD OF THE CWA. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR BETTER TEMPERATURE AND MOISTURE ADVECTION AS WELL AS A MORE UNSTABLE AIRMASS. AS A SURFACE LOW DEEPENS AND MOVES NE ALONG THE FRONT AND ACROSS THE CWA WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A TREMENDOUS AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WILL BE LIFTED UP AND OVER THE FRONT. THIS COMBINED WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE DEEPENING LOW AND IMPRESSIVE UVVS WILL MAKE THIS SYSTEM A FAIRLY EFFICIENT PRECIP PRODUCER...HOWEVER IF THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF THE LOW PANS OUT OKAY...THE BAND OF HEAVIEST PRECIP WILL BE NORTH AND WEST OF THE HEAVY PRECIP RECEIVED WITH OUR LAST SYSTEM. LIFTED AND SHOWALTER INDICES BOTH INDICATE THE POSSIBILITY OF THUNDER AT LEAST THROUGH MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY. WITH MASSIVE WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE A CHANCE OF LINGERING SHOWERS EXISTS THURSDAY MORNING. 1000-850MB CRITICAL THICKNESSES WOULD INDICATE THE LIGERING PRECIP ON THURSDAY POSSIBLY CHANGING TO FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS JUST BEFORE ENDING...BUT THE 1000-700MB CRITICAL THICKNESSES WOULD INDICATE AN ALL RAIN EVENT. DUE TO THIS UNCERTAINITY...WILL NOT MENTION A CHANGEOVER AT THIS TIME. COLD HIGH PRESSURE IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL KEEP FRIDAY AND SATURDAY SUNNY TO MOSTLY SUNNY AND COOL. MODEL TEMP GUIDANCE SIMILAR SO WILL FOLLOW CLOSELY. .PAH...NONE. PACKETT
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Illinois in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Illinois, January 2002
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5277246, 5277247, 5277248.