Damaging Wind in Georgia, November 11, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
125 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

UPDATED ZONES TO REFLECT NEW TORNADO WATCH.

FCSTID = 33

.GSP...
GA...NONE.
NC...WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT FOR NC/NE GA MTNS.
SC...NONE.

HG

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-101300-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
605 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT INTO
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHERN GEORGIA TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE FRONT TONIGHT...SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY
PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

ON TUESDAY...LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION.
DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM...HEAVY
RAINFALL MAY RESULT ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA ON TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NED

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-111000-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1000 PM EST SUN NOV 10 2002

...SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY OVERNIGHT IN THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND
NORTHEAST GEORGIA...

WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT
MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL TENNESSEE THIS EVENING. THIS STORM SYSTEM...
WHICH HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND
DEADLY TORNADOES...WILL APPROACH THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA OVERNIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF UNSTABLE AIR IN PLACE OVER THE
REGION...COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS THROUGH A DEEP LAYER OF THE
ATMOSPHERE...ARE EXPECTED TO KEEP THIS STORM SYSTEM TOGETHER AS IT
MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.

ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO THE MOUNTAINS OF
NORTH CAROLINA AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH 5 AM. IF THE SQUALL
LINE HOLDS TOGETHER... THEN THE SEVERE THREAT WILL SPREAD TOWARD THE
INTERSTATE 77 CORRIDOR BY DAYBREAK.

ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP OVERNIGHT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...LARGE HAIL...AND
POSSIBLY TORNADOES.

SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO ACTIVATE QUICKLY OVERNIGHT.
DISPATCHERS SHOULD ENSURE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ARE
AWARE OF THIS INFORMATION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET IN
CASE ANY WATCHES OR WARNING ARE ISSUED.

HG

NCZ051-058-110600-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1208 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING THE SOUTHWEST
NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...WILL BE MOVING INTO THE SMOKIES SHORTLY AFTER 1 AM.
AREAS FROM AROUND ROBBINSVILLE TO BRYSON CITY WILL EXPERIENCE
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH. IF STORMS CONTINUE TO
MAINTAIN THEIR STRENGTH AS THEY APPROACH THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

55

GAZ010-017-110645-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
102 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING THE NORTHEAST GEORGIA
MOUNTAINS...

A LARGE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA WILL CONTINUE
MOVING EAST THROUGH 2 AM...SPREADING INTO THE MOUNTAINS.
STRONG WIND FIELDS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION COMBINED WITH
AN INCREASED COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY RESULT IN WIND
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH THROUGH 2 AM. FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING MAY RESULT IN SOME POWER INTERRUPTIONS.

55

NCZ033-048>050-052-053-059-063>065-110740-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
137 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...

STORMS SPREADING IN FROM EAST TENNESSEE WILL CONTINUE
TO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 50 MPH ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.
A FEW TREES COULD BE DOWNED AND POWER INTERRUPTIONS
ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
THROUGH 3 AM.

55

GAZ010-017-018-026-110745-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
209 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING EXTREME
NORTHEAST GEORGIA...

FAST MOVING THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA...
MOVING TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH...WILL BE HEADING
INTO EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA BY 3 AM. THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG...POSSIBLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT EARLY THIS MORNING. IF STORMS MAINTAIN THEIR
STRENGTH...WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED WITHIN THE HOUR.

55

SCZ001-004-110815-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
243 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL APPROACH THE
WESTERN UPSTATE...

FAST MOVING THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING NORTHEAST GEORGIA...
MOVING TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH...WILL BE HEADING
INTO THE WESTERN UPSTATE...ESPECIALLY OCONEE COUNTY...AFTER
3 AM. THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG...POSSIBLY DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT EARLY THIS MORNING. IF STORMS
MAINTAIN THEIR STRENGTH...ADDITIONAL WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED
SHORTLY.

55