1 tornado, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 10, 2:15 PM EST, 4 hours earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 215 PM EST SUN NOV 10 2002 CURRENTLY: WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAK EXITING SHORTWAVE MOVING EAST ACROSS THE NE FL PENINSULA AND COASTAL S CAROLINA. UPSTREAM...A LONG WAVE TROUGH IS DIGGING ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE NATION WITH A WATCH BOX OVER THE MIDWEST...JUST NORTH OF THE HIGH RISK AREA. AT THE SURFACE A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE ATLANTIC WATERS ACROSS THE SRN FL PENINSULA. MEANWHILE A FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION...SW TO TEXAS. MODELS/ZFP: IN THE UPPER LEVELS A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN SHAPING UP AS A STRONG JET (120+ KNOTS) AT 300MB DIVES OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE BUILDING INTO THE WEST COAST AND CARVES OUT AN IMPRESSIVE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. AT THE SURFACE...DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL PUSH TO THE SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT WITH 1000-500MB MEAN RH VALUES GENERALLY 70-80+ PERCENT BY LATE IN THE DAY ON MONDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE MODELS ALL INITIALIZE THE POSITION OF THE FRONT SIMILARLY...BUT SOME DISCREPANCIES CREEP IN...AND BY LATE MONDAY THE ETA/NGM ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT...BUT AVN IS A BIT FASTER WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT...AND HAS IT GENERALLY EXTENDING NE-SW ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF MY CWA...WHILE THE OTHER TWO HAVE IT JUST BEGINNING TO ENTER THE NW SECTIONS OF THE CWA BY THAT TIME. BY OVERNIGHT MONDAY...THE FRONT IS STILL ADVERTISED TO BE SOMEWHERE IN THE GENERAL VICINITY OF THE CWA...BUT THE AVN DEVELOPS A WAVE ON THE FRONT SOUTH OF LOUISIANA AND THE FRONT SLOWS DOWN AND LIFTS NORTH AS A WARM FRONT. THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT DOESNT PUSH THRU UNTIL LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING ACCORING TO THE AVN. ETA/NGM ARE A BIT FASTER SINCE THEY DONT SHOW THE WAVE DEVELOPMENT THAT THE AVN SHOWS...AND THEY SHOW THE FRONT THRU THE CWA BY MIDDAY TUESDAY. ACCORDING TO THE LATEST MODEL DIAGNOSTIC AND PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSIONS (PMDHMD & PMDSPD)...THEY ARE LEANING TOWARD THE UKMET/CAN/GFS SOLUTION OF DEVELOPING THE WAVE ON THE FRONT AND SLOWING THE SYSTEM DOWN A BIT...THEREFORE WILL FOLLOW THEIR RECOMMMENDATION. IF GFS DOESNT PAN OUT WE CAN ALWAYS PAINT A MORE OPTISMISTIC PICTURE REGARDING THE CLEARING OUT OF THE WEATHER...BUT FOR NOW WILL KEEP A MENTION OF POPS IN FOR TUESDAY NIGHT FOR EASTERN SECTIONS. (SEE SPECIFIC POPS FORECAST NUMBERS BELOW). IN ADDITION...THIS IS SETTING UP TO BE A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT... MAINLY FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS ALL MODELS ARE SHOWING PLENTY OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AS THE FAVORABLE QUADRANT OF A VERY STRONG 300-250MB JET IS PROGGED TO BE OVER THE NORTHERN DIXIE STATES AND INTO THE TN VALLEY. PWS WILL RISE TO BETWEEN 1.50 TO 1.8 INCHES BEFORE THE FROPA...AND LIS GENERALLY -4 TO -6. AVN IS ALSO SHOWING A 40-50 KNOT JET AT 850MB ACROSS OUR CWA EARLY TUESDAY. SPC HAS A MODERATE RISK ON DAY2 EXTENDING FROM THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF MY FORECAST AREA TO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS. MARINE: WINDS SHOULD REMAIN AT SCEC LEVELS BEFORE FROPA...AND SINCE I AM GOING WITH AVN SOLUTION WILL GENERALLY FOLLOW AVN WINDS...BUT WILL UNDERCUT SPEEDS SLIGHTLY. SCA WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS GUSTY NW WINDS MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT. FIRE WX: NO CONCERNS. EXTENDED (THU - SUN): HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT BUILDS IN ON THU ACCORDING TO MEDIUM RANGE MODELS. HOWEVER...GFS SHOWS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROF OVER THE CENTRAL AND SRN PLAINS LATE THURSDAY THAT DIGS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY AND WESTERN GULF WATERS AND EVENTUALLY SWINGS ACROSS THE GULF WATERS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA BY LATE SUNDAY. AT THE SURFACE GFS DEVELOPS A LOW OVER CUBA LATE SATURDAY AND LIFTS IT TO EAST OF THE FL PENINSULA LATE SUNDAY AS UPPER LEVEL ENERGY KICKS IT NE. A DRY FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE FRIDAY WITH REINFORCING HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. IF GFS IS CORRECT SHOULD BE A LITTLE BREEZY DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE EXTENDED AS GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT OFF THE EAST COAST OF FL...AND HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MID ATLANTIC REGION WITH NE FLOW ACROSS THE CWA. MEX NUMBERS SHOWING SMALL POPS MAINLY SAT & SUN...BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY MENTION OF POPS JUST YET...SINCE SYSTEM SHOULD BE TOO FAR SOUTH TO AFFECT US...IF GFS IS CORRECT. PRELIM NUMBERS... TLH 068/080 064/071 3677 PFN 071/078 065/069 5787 DHN 068/076 059/064 5787 ABY 068/078 060/065 4788 VLD 067/081 064/073 3677 CTY 068/083 065/075 2567 .TLH... AL...NONE. GA...NONE. FL...NONE. MOLLERE
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-101945- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1040 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2002 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. HOWEVER...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST (SEE DAYS 2 THRU 7 BELOW). SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE INCREASED ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AND MARINERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION IF HEADING OUT ONTO THE GULF WATERS TODAY. .RIP CURRENTS... A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EXISTS TODAY ALONG THE SURF ZONE OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THIS ALERT IS ISSUED IN COOPERATION BETWEEN THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND THE PANAMA CITY BEACH PATROL. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY. WINDS OF THIS SPEED AND DIRECTION ARE CONDUCIVE TO GENERATING RIP CURRENTS. A RIP CURRENT IS A STRONG NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH THROUGH THE SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...WADE SIDEWAYS PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL YOU ARE OUT OF ITS PULL. TO ESCAPE...RIDE THE CURRENT OUT BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM TO SHORE OUTSIDE THE NARROW CURRENT. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND LOCAL OFFICIALS. WATCH YOUR CHILDREN. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS...JETTIES...AND UNGUARDED BEACHES. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS THIS EVENING OVER THE ABOVE MENTIONED LOCATIONS...AND SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST ON MONDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM ON THE FRONT AS IT PUSHES INTO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE MONDAY NIGHT. THIS LOW WILL INTENSIFY AND TRACK RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH TUESDAY DRAGGING A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE ENTIRE REGION. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WARM AND HUMID AIR WILL CREATE AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. IN ADDITION...WINDS AT UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL ALIGN THEMSELVES IN SUCH A WAY AS TO CREATE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SQUALL LINE OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS THE ENTIRE REGION HIGHLIGHTED FOR A SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS THE SQUALL LINE CROSSES THE AREA FROM LATE MONDAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY. WINDS ON THE COASTAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO PROMPT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES DURING THIS PERIOD AS WELL. THE THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY UNTIL THE WIND SHIFTS TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT ON TUESDAY. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL REMAIN AT CAUTIONARY LEVELS OUT ON THE GULF COASTAL WATERS AT LEAST THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...A RETURN TO COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS IS IN STORE FOR THE MIDDLE AND END OF THE WORK WEEK. A SLIGHT WARMUP IS INDICATED FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE VIA OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TLH/ OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TELEVISION OR RADIO STATIONS. 5-MOLLERE
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.
A waterspout moved ashore and caused minor damage to an unoccupied house near intersection of 5th and West Gorrie Street on Saint George Island. Reported by the Franklin County Sheriff.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Florida, 2002Warnings in Florida, November 2002
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5321699.