Funnel Cloud in Florida, May 31, 2002

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
950 AM EDT FRI MAY 31 2002

...ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS...

A FAVORABLE SETUP REMAINS IN PLACE FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT THIS
AFTERNOON. MORNING SOUNDINGS MODIFIED FURTHER FOR AFTERNOON HEATING
YIELDS CAPES AROUND 3500 J/KG WITH LI OF -9. WIND SPEEDS AT STORM
LEVEL DOWN TO THE SURFACE HAVE DECREASED FROM THIS TIME YESTERDAY.
INITIAL STORM DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY TO TAKE PLACE ALONG THE EAST
COAST SEA BREEZE WITH LOCAL LAKE BREEZES AND CONVECTIVE OUTFLOWS
INTERACTING BY EARLY AFTERNOON. IT IS UNCERTAIN IF A LARGE SCALE
BREEZE CONVERGENCE OVER THE INTERIOR WILL OCCUR LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.

ONSET OF THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE...OR LACK OF IT MOVING OVER THE
INTERIOR WILL FACTOR INTO THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORM
DEVELOPMENT BY LATE AFTERNOON.

EXPECTED SLOW STORM MOTIONS WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE OF LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN...WET MICRO BURSTS AND LARGE HAIL ON THE HAZARDOUS
OUTLOOK. PRECIP COVERAGE LOOKS GOOD ON CURRENT PACKAGE AND NO
ADJUSTMENTS ARE ANTICIPATED ATTM.

MARINE...STORMS MOST LIKELY TO AFFECT INTERIOR LOCATIONS BUT THERE
IS STILL A CHANCE OF CONVECTIVE WIND GUSTS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST. ACTIVITY ALONG THE TREASURE COAST SHOULD CONTINUE TO DRIFT
NORTH THROUGH MIDDAY. OTHERWISE WIND WAVES WILL DOMINATE.

.MLB...NONE.

PUBLIC/MARINE...PENDERGRAST
AVIATION/FIRE WX...SPRATT

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
312000-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
537 AM EDT FRI MAY 31 2002

...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE GULF AND ATLANTIC
SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES BY EARLY AFTERNOON.  A COLLISION OF THE EAST
AND WEST COAST BOUNDARIES WILL OCCUR ONCE AGAIN OVER INTERIOR
SECTIONS BY EARLY EVENING...AND LEAD TO NUMEROUS STORMS.

WITH RATHER STRONG WINDS ALOFT AND SOME DRY AIR IN THE MID LEVELS
OF THE ATMOSPHERE...A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...MAINLY OVER THE INTERIOR COUNTIES.  SLOW STORM
MOTION WILL RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WITH FLOODING OF POORLY
DRAINED AREAS POSSIBLE.

ALL STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES.  DO NOT GET
CAUGHT OUTSIDE AS A STORM APPROACHES.

THE GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS AVAILABLE
AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/HWOFILES/HWOMAIN.HTML

RL

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
312100-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1045 AM EDT FRI MAY 31 2002

...STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE...

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG SEA AND LAKE
BREEZE BOUNDARIES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
DUE TO WEAK STEERING WINDS THE STRONGER STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN UP TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR
ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

WITH DRY AIR IN THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE...A FEW STORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND EXCESSIVE
LIGHTNING. BRIEF TORNADOES OR WATERSPOUTS MAY SPIN UP ALONG
THUNDERSTORM BOUNDARIES.

PERSONS PLANNING OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES SHOULD ALLOW TIME TO GET INDOORS
SHOULD STORMS DEVELOP OR MOVE TO THEIR AREA. LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY
OCCUR WELL IN ADVANCE OF ARRIVAL OF THE PRECIPITATION. STANDING
WATER ON ROADWAYS WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. MOTORISTS
SHOULD SLOW DOWN WHEN DRIVING ON SLICK ROADS.

SKYWARN NET CONTROLS ARE REQUESTED TO SELF ACTIVATE SHOULD A SEVERE
WEATHER WARNING BE ISSUED IN THEIR AREA.

THE GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS AVAILABLE
AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/HWOFILES/HWOMAIN.HTML

JP