2 thunderstorm wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 3, 2:30 PM EST, 0 minutes earlier.
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 330 PM EDT SAT AUG 3 2002 CURRENT WX... SFC-H50...RW/TRW MOVING NE ACROSS THE CWA...ECSB IS VERY PROMINENT ON RADAR AND ON VSBL SAT IMAGERY. SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE L/M70S. DEEP ELONGATED TROF AXIS OVER THE NRN PENINSULA IS VERTICALLY STACKED THROUGH H50 WITH WEAK CIRCULATION CENTERS STRADDLING THE NRN PENINSULA IN THE H70-H50 LAYER. STRONG H50 VORT AXIS COLOCATED WITH THE TROF. IMPRESSIVE H70 OMEGA LIFT OVER THE SRN PENINSULA ASSOC WITH A LOCAL H25 DIVG MAX. FCST DISC... WX FEATURES ARE COMING TOGETHER TO PRODUCE ACTIVE WX THIS AFTN AND EARLY EVENING. CURRENT RW/TRW ARE PROGRESSING ACROSS THE CWA AT A DECENT CLIP...AT ITS CURRENT RATE WILL MOST LIKELY COLLIDE W/THE ECSB BY LATE AFTN. MESOSCALE BOUNDARY COLLISIONS WILL RESULT IN STRONG TRW WHICH WILL TAP MOST OF THE AVAILABLE CONVECTIVE ENERGY. EVENING PD LOOKS TO BE RELATIVELY TRANQUIL AS THE LINGERING PRECIP BURNS OUT. MOST CONVECTIVE PRECIP OVER NRN CWA WILL BE SPENT BY LATE AFTN...BUT MAY SEE LINGERING STRATIFORM RAIN INTO EVENING DUE TO HIGHER MOISTURE VALUES. SRN CWA HAS LESS AVAILABLE MOISTURE...BUT BETTER LIFT AND LATER MESOSCALE BOUNDARY COLLISIONS. EVENING POPS WILL BE CHC/SCT AT BEST. OVERALL...THE ETA/AVN MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE PRETTY CLOSE WITH THE EVOLVUTION OF THE DEVELOPING WX PATTERN THROUGH 00Z TUE. BOTH DEVELOP INDEPENDENT CLOSED SFC-H70 LOWS OVER THE GOMEX AND OFF THE SE U.S. COAST WHILE REBUILDING THE SFC-H50 ATLC RIDGE AXIS OVER THE FL STRAITS/SRN FL PENINSULA. HOWEVER...SUBTLE DIFFERENCES IN THEIR EVOLUTION SPELL OUT VERY DIFFERENT RESULTS FOR THE FCST. BOTH MODELS SEE THE DRY AIR POCKET OVER THE CENTRAL/NRN BAHAMAS THAT IS APPARENT ON SAT WV IMAGERY. HOWEVER...AVN CONTINUES TO UNDER ESTIMATE THE MOISTURE FIELD AND INITIALIZES TOO LOW. THE 12Z MYNN RAOB MEASURED 1.8 PW WHILE AVN INDICATED AROUND 1.5. RESULTING AVN NUMERICAL POPS ARE TOO LOW. ETA INITIALIZED MUCH CLOSER...WILL OPT FOR ETA NUMERICAL POPS ON SUNDAY. ON MONDAY...LOW FCST CONFIDENCE AS MODELS CONTINUE TO DIVERGE. WHILE THEIR PLACEMENT OF THE ATLC SFC-H70 LOW DIFFERS BY ONLY 200MI OR SO...THEIR CENTER POSITIONS SPELL OUT VERY DIFFERENT RESULTS. AVN DEVELOPS THE LOW UP NEAR THE NC OUTER BANKS...GIVING THE CWA A WRLY FLOW UP THROUGH H70 BEFORE VEERING TO THE NW THROUGH H50. ON THE OTHER HAND...ETA DEVELOPS THE LOW ABOUT 300MI DUE EAST OF KJAX... GIVING THE PENINSULA A TRUE NW FLOW THROUGH THE LAYER. WHILE DEEP LAYER NW FLOW CLIMATOLOGICALLY PRODUCES THE LOWEST POPS...ETA MAINTAINS A MUCH STRONGER AND BETTER ORGANIZED H50 VORTICITY FIELD WITH THE ATLC LOW THAN AVN. ETAS STRONGER H50 PVA RESULTS IN HIGHER POPS THAN AVN. DIFFERENCES ARE TOO SUBTLE TO TRY AND NAIL DOWN ATTM...WILL CONTINUE WITH MIDDLE OF THE ROAD POPS UNTIL THE SITUATION COMES INTO FOCUS. WX BEYOND TUESDAY IS DEPENDENT ON HOW THE LOW PRESSURE CENTERS DEVELOP. AS THE MODELS DIVERGE BEYOND SUN AS FAR AS FL IS CONCERNED...TRYING TO PINPOINT THE EXACT DETAILS THIS FAR OUT IS A WASTE OF TIME. WILL DEFAULT TO CLIMATOLOGY. MARINE...WITH THE ATLC RIDGE AXIS BUILDING BACK TO THE N...S/WRLY SFC/LOW LVL WINDS WILL PREVAIL AOB 15KTS. TYPICALLY...THIS FLOW RESULTS IN SEAS BLO 3FT...AND THE SITUATION THROUGH THU WILL BE NO DIFFERENT. WINDS/SEAS WILL BE LOCALLY HIGHER NEAR TSTORMS...BUT OVERALL CONDITIONS WILL BE WELL BLO THE NEED FOR ANY HIGHLIGHTS FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. PRELIMINARY NUMBERS... DAB TE 073/091 073/090 073 352 MCO TE 074/092 074/092 074 352 MLB TT 075/091 075/091 075 253 81 THX FOR COORD KTPA .MLB...NONE. PUBLIC/MARINE...BRAGAW AVIATION/FIRE WX...CRISTALDI
The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 21 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:46 UTC.
2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A man was injured by flying debris while taking down tents and tables at a picnic site. A Coast Guard official estimated thunderstorm winds over 50 mph.
Thunderstorms winds from the west blew across Sebastian and the Intracoastal Waterway overturning three moored vessels. They were a 38 foot trimaran, a 28 foot sailboat and a 54 foot steel research vessel. About 20 trees were blown down on a spoil island east of the overturned vessels.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, August 2002
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5316833, 5316834.