Damaging Wind in Arkansas, March 9, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
314 AM CST SAT MAR 9 2002

FORECAST CONCERNS: RAIN/SVR THREAT EARLY...TEMPS ALL PERIODS.

CURRENTLY UNDER THE GUN WITH SVR WX THIS MRNG...SO THIS WILL BE
BRIEF. FIRST AREA OF CONVECTION AFFECTING CNTRL AR ATTM...WITH
SECOND LINE OF STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH FRONT NOW WORKING INTO WRN
AR. TEMPS STILL RUNNING WELL INTO THE 60S AHEAD OF THE FRONT...
WITH THE MERCURY FALLING QUICKLY INTO THE 30S AND 40S BEHIND FROPA.

WITH LITTLE TIME TO LOOK AT MUCH OF THE MODEL DATA...WILL
CONCENTRATE MAINLY IN FIRST PERIOD TRENDS FOR THIS FCST. BIGGEST
CHALLENGE IS TRYING TO TIME FROPA ACROSS THE FA THIS MRNG AND WHAT
THE TEMPS WILL DO TODAY. ATTM IT LOOKS LIKE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
INTO WRN ZONES BEFORE DAYBREAK...MOVE ACROSS CNTRL AR BETWEEN 12Z
AND 15Z AND THEN OUT OF ERN AR BY AFTN. WILL KEEP CHC POPS IN FOR
THIS MRNG MOST AREAS.

MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE HIGH TEMPS AT 12Z OR SHORTLY THEREAFTER THIS
MRNG DEPENDING ON FROPA. WILL GO A BIT HIGHER THAN MOS FOR MAX TEMPS
TODAY OVER ERN ZONES AND STAY CLOSE ELSEWHERE. EXPECT FALLING TEMPS
THE REST OF THE DAY. WILL EXTEND WIND ADVY FOR ENTIRE AREA TODAY.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. EXPECT A DECENT COOLDOWN
TNGT WITH MOST AREAS SEEING SUBFREEZING TEMPS.

NEXT SYSTEM STILL ON TRACK TO AFFECT THE AREA LATER ON MONDAY INTO
EARLY ON TUESDAY. NO CHANGES TO EXTENDED PLANNED.  ..44..

.LZK...
WIND ADVISORY TODAY ENTIRE FA. ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-
030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069.

ARZ003>007-012>015-021>024-030>032-037>044-052>054-090600-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1020 PM CST FRI MAR 8 2002

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CST SATURDAY MORNING...

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 13 HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MUCH OF NORTH-CENTRAL...
CENTRAL AND WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS UNTIL 200 AM SATURDAY MORNING.

AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED EARLIER THIS EVENING
OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. THE ACTIVITY FORMED IN ADVANCE
OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WAS STILL OVER OKLAHOMA AT MID EVENING.

THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE REST
OF ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES EASTWARD. WITH WARM
AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS IN PLACE ACROSS THE STATE...SOME OF THE
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE BECOMING SEVERE.

THE PRIMARY THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS.
HOWEVER...THE WIND PROFILE OVER THE REGION INDICATES SOUTHEAST WINDS
AT THE SURFACE AND SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT. THIS CHANGE IN WIND
DIRECTION WITH HEIGHT WILL RESULT IN THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

STORM SPOTTERS...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS...AND AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS SHOULD STAYED TUNED FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION LATER THIS
EVENING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
122 AM CST SAT MAR 09 2002

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0945 PM    WALDRON                   AR   WIND DAMAGE
03/08/02   SCOTT                          TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY
                                          HAM RADIO OPERATOR.

1045 PM    1 S ST JOE                AR   WIND DAMAGE
03/08/02   SEARCY                         TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY
                                          LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL.

0105 AM    DARDANELLE                AR   .75 INCH HAIL
03/09/02   YELL                           REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL.

0110 AM    RUSSELLVILLE              AR   .75 INCH HAIL
03/09/02   POPE                           REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL.

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ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>033-037>045-052>056-091200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
135 AM CST SAT MAR 9 2002

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
ARKANSAS THROUGH 6 AM...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WAS PUSHING THROUGH EASTERN OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS
MORNING. ALONG THE FRONT...A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
HAD DEVELOPED...WITH THE LINE ADVANCING QUICKLY TOWARD ARKANSAS.
THERE WERE ALREADY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD
OF THE FRONT IN WESTERN ARKANSAS...WITH ISOLATED REPORTS OF SEVERE
WEATHER.

GIVEN THAT A SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS A THREAT ACROSS THE NATURAL
STATE...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED FOR MUCH OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS THROUGH 6 AM. THE WATCH INCLUDES AREAS
NORTH AND WEST OF HOPE...PINE BLUFF...NEWPORT AND PARAGOULD.

STORMS THAT DEVELOP IN THE WATCH AREA WILL HAVE A TENDENCY TO
MOVE QUICKLY...WITH A FAST MOVEMENT INCREASING THE POTENTIAL OF
WIND DAMAGE. DIME SIZE HAIL OR LARGER MAY OCCUR AS WELL.

PEOPLE ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR
SEVERE WEATHER EARLY THIS MORNING. BE READY TO FIND A PLACE OF SAFETY
IF A WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

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