1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 10, 9:55 AM MST, 5 hours 5 minutes earlier.
NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
955 AM MST TUE SEP 10 2002
.SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS ARIZONA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. EXPECT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
CONTINUE TODAY AND TOMORROW...BEFORE DIMINISHING IN COVERAGE LATER
IN THE WEEK. SOME STORMS MAY CONTAIN VERY HEAVY RAIN TODAY. EXPECT A
DRYING TREND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES BY THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...THEN RISE TO NORMAL
BY THE WEEKEND.
.DISCUSSION...WEAK UPPER LOW OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL BEGIN TO
SLOWLY EJECT N-NE TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. BEST FORCING
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL BE OVER WESTERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR
EASTERN ARIZONA. BEST INSTABILITY WITH THE LOW WILL BE OVER WESTERN
ARIZONA WHERE SKIES HAVE ALREADY STARTED THE DAY PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH
PW VALUES ARE SPREAD NEARLY UNIFORMLY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.
EXPECT STORMS THAT DEVELOP WINSLOW EAST WILL BE LONG-LIVED AND
EVENTUALLY WILL FORM A LARGE AREA OF RAIN CENTERED AROUND THE NEW
MEXICO BORDER. STORMS THAT FORM OVER YAVAPAI COUNTY MAY BECOME VERY
STRONG TODAY...AND MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN AS
THEY MOVE NORTHWARD. CONTINUED DYNAMICS FROM THE EJECTING LOW MAY
CAUSE ACTIVITY TO LAST WELL INTO THE NIGHT. WILL MONITOR CONDITIONS
FOR A POSSIBLE FFA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. ALL OTHER PRODUCTS COVER
TRENDS WELL...AND WILL NOT UPDATE FOR NOW. PETERSON.
.FGZ...NONE
.CODED TEMPERATURES/POPS FOR SELECTED CITIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA
CITY TEMPERATURES HI/LO PROBABILITY OF PRECIP
TDY TON WED THU TDY TON WED THU
FLAGSTAFF 067/047 068/045 066/041 050 070 050 040 040 030
WINSLOW 076/056 077/054 077/052 050 070 050 030 040 030
PRESCOTT 075/054 077/053 077/053 050 070 050 040 040 030
PAGE 079/060 078/060 076/058 040 060 040 030 030 020
WINDOW ROCK 070/048 069/046 070/043 050 070 060 040 040 030
CANYON DE CHELLY 076/055 075/053 076/050 050 070 060 040 040 030
COTTONWOOD 086/062 088/061 088/061 050 070 050 040 040 030
GRAND CANYON 068/048 069/046 067/042 050 070 050 040 040 030
GREER 064/046 065/044 063/040 050 070 060 040 040 030
HEBER 072/050 073/048 071/044 050 070 050 040 040 030
JACOB LAKE 064/047 065/045 063/041 050 070 050 040 040 030
NAVAJO N.M. 068/054 067/052 068/049 040 060 050 030 030 020
PAYSON 079/054 081/053 081/053 050 070 050 030 040 030
SEDONA 083/061 085/060 085/060 050 070 050 040 040 030
SELIGMAN 078/047 080/046 080/046 040 060 040 030 030 020
SHOW LOW 073/056 074/054 072/050 050 070 060 040 040 030
ST. JOHNS 072/052 073/050 073/048 050 070 050 030 040 030
WUPATKI N.M. 078/058 079/056 079/054 050 070 050 030 040 030AZZ004>018-037>040-101930- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 945 AM MST TUE SEP 10 2002 ...WIDESPREAD HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA TODAY... DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE COMBINED WITH A WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL BRING MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MUCH OF THE REGION TODAY. HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING STORMS HAVE ALREADY AFFECTED PORTIONS OF THE LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY...INCLUDING WINSLOW...THIS MORNING. COVERAGE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY. THE PRIMARY THREAT FOR TODAYS STORMS WILL BE HEAVY RAIN. COLDER AIR AT THE HIGHER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE EXISTS IN PORTIONS OF WESTERN ARIZONA. THIS WILL BRING A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL TO MAINLY YAVAPAI AND COCONINO COUNTIES...IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINS. WITH THE SATURATED OR NEAR SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS AROUND THE STATE...THE THREAT FOR FLOODING WILL REMAIN MODERATE TODAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH TODAYS STORMS WILL RANGE FROM A FEW TENTHS TO AS MUCH AS 3 INCHES WITH THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. BURNED AREA RAIN OUTLOOK... RODEO-CHEDISKI BURN AREA...EXPECT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTHEAST OVER THE BURN AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. FLOODING POTENTIAL OVER THE FIRE SITE IS MODERATE TODAY. INDIAN BURN AREA...EXPECT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTHEAST OVER THE BURN AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. FLOODING POTENTIAL IN THIS REGION IS MODERATE TODAY.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Cibecue Creek was up 7 feet in town. Side washes were also flooding in town. Water entered two homes. Indian Route 12 was flooded at milepost 10. By 5:45 PM, the water began receding. By 6:10 PM, the water was down to 2-3 feet in the Cibecue Creek and the road re-opened.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arizona in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, September 2002
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5320954.