Alaska, 2002

High Wind in Alaska, December 10, 2002

December 10, 2002 · NWS AJK · 1 event in 1 county or zone

An offshore Low resulted in a series of strong frontal passages in southern Southeast Alaska. On the roof of the Ketchikan Airport Terminal east-southeast wind gusts as high as 75 mph (65 knots) were measured.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$5,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.

An offshore Low resulted in a series of strong frontal passages in southern Southeast Alaska. On the roof of the Ketchikan Airport Terminal east-southeast wind gusts as high as 75 mph (65 knots) were measured. In the Ketchikan Harbor wind gusts to 62 mph (54 knots) occurred. Small tree and other minor damage was reported in the area.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 10, 3:31 PM AST, 1 hour 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 10, 3:31 PM AST, 1 hour 29 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
1045 AM AST TUE DEC 10 2002

.SYNOPSIS...
.SHORT RANGE...978 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF KETCHIKAN IS
TRACKING NORTHEAST REACHING 150 NM WEST OF KETCHIKAN AT 00Z
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN CENTRAL PRESSURE.  THE ASSOCIATED
OCCLUSION IS MOVING ONSHORE THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE FROM
DIXON ENTRANCE AT THIS TIME.  A STRONG BAND OF CONVECTIVE
CELLS EXISTS ON THE B.C. COAST BETWEEN PORT HARDY AND
PRINCE RUPERT, BUT SHOULD NOT BE AS STRONG AS THEY REACH
THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE
SECOND WRAP OF THE OCCLUSION.

THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR WITH THE SECOND WRAP OF
THE OCCLUSION, SEE THE AJK SECTION (NEXT PARAGRAPH).

.LONG RANGE...THE 12Z MODELS RUNS IN FAIR AGREEMENT...AND QUITE
SIMILAR IN TRACK OF THE MAJOR FEATURES ACROSS THE AREA.
DEVELOPING SYSTEM OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC MOVING INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF DURING WEDNESDAY AND CURVING NORTH ALONG 140 WEST.
THE SURFACE LOW PULLING BACK TOWARD THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
POCKET INTO THURSDAY. THE SURFACE FRONT PUSHING INTO THE
PANHANDLE AREA WEDNESDAY. A WAVE ON THE FRONT DEVELOPS AND PULLS
INTO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WEDNESDAY EVENING/NIGHT. EXPECT THE
TRANSITION OVER SHOWERS TO OCCUR BY THURSDAY MORNING.

SOME RIDGING OVER THE GULF TO OCCUR THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF THE NEXT INCOMING SYSTEM FOR THE WEEKEND.  THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING QUITE COMPLEX AS MULTIPLE LOWS DEVELOP AND BECOME THE
PRIMARY LOW, AS IT MOVES EAST.  THE SECOND LOW TAKING OVER AS THE
IT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF DEEPENING TO ABOUT 950 MB.  THE
THIRD LOW DEVELOPS AS WHAT LOOKS LIKE A TRIPLE POINT AND SWINGS
NORTH INTO THE CENTRAL GULF EARLY FRIDAY. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER
FRONT SHOULD LIFT INTO THE PANHANDLE FRIDAY EVENING/NIGHT.

A FOURTH LOW DEVELOPS AND MOVES INTO THE EAST CENTRAL GULF FRIDAY
NIGHT. LEAVING A BROAD COMPLEX MULTI CENTER LOW OVER THE GULF
WITH THE LOWS ROTATING ABOUT EACH OTHER.  IT APPEARS THE LOW
NUMBER 2 OR 3 WILL GET SLING SHOT AROUND THE LOWS AND INTO THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT WITH CURRENT MODEL
FORECAST.

EXPECT THIS LOW TO PERSIST IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF INTO MIDWEEK
KEEPING THE ONSHORE FLOW OF SHOWERS OR PERIODS OF RAIN WITH
VORTICITY LOBE ROTATING THROUGH.  THE TAIL END OF THE MRF SHOWS
ANOTHER LARGE STORM MOVING SLOWLY EAST ALONG 50N JUST SOUTH OF
THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN THROUGH THURSDAY THE 20TH.

AM NOT SEEING ANY SIGNIFICANT COOL DOWN THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK AND
AND A HALF. GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES SHOWING A MINOR COOL DOWN OVER
THE NEXT WEEK BUT THEY HAVE BEEN TRYING TO SAY THAT FOR ABOUT A
HALF A WEEK ALREADY.   WILL HAVE TO SEE A SIGNIFICANT PATTERN
CHANGE I THINK BEFORE I WILL HAVE ANY CONFIDENCE IN A WHITE
CHRISTMAS.

.AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORIES ZONES 27 THROUGH 28 FOR THIS
AFTERNOON.
MARINE...GALE SRN 1A3 (SUMNER STRAIT AND CLARENCE STRAIT),
AND 1B S OF CAPE EDGECUMBE.  SCA REMAINDER OF 1A3, AND ALL
OF 1A2. SCA REMAINDER OF 1B.

JT - BMB

Event by event

1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Southern Southeast Alaska Ernest Sound to Dixon Entrance

When
December 10, 5:00 PM AST to 8:00 PM AST
Where
Southern Southeast Alaska Ernest Sound to Dixon Entrance forecast zone
Measured
65 kt (75 mph)
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
AWOS,ASOS,MESONET,ETC

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, December 2002

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5321603.