Heavy Rain, Winchester (C)
- When
- May 26, 4:00 PM EST to 6:00 PM EST
- Where
- Winchester (C) County, Winchester
- Reported by
- TRAINED SPOTTER
- Coordinates
- 39.186, -78.163 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
An area of thunderstorms formed over the northern Shenandoah Valley during the evening of the 26th. This area of storms produced very heavy rainfall, dangerous lightning, and periodic bursts of hail as it remained nearly stationary over the area between 5 and 8 PM EDT.
Every event with a place to put it; 6 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LWX wrote it up.
An area of thunderstorms formed over the northern Shenandoah Valley during the evening of the 26th. This area of storms produced very heavy rainfall, dangerous lightning, and periodic bursts of hail as it remained nearly stationary over the area between 5 and 8 PM EDT. Up to 3 inches of rain fell across the area in less than 4 hours. In Shenandoah County, 2.60 inches of rain fell in Mount Olive in two hours. Route 623 and 653 were closed by high water. In Strasburg, Back Road was closed when a creek overflowed onto the roadway. Roads were also closed by flooding in Woodstock. In Rappahannock County, Route 522 and 635 near Flint Hill and Huntley were closed by high water. A total of 2.65 inches a rain was reported at Massie's Corner. In Page County, a lightning strike started a structure fire in Luray.In Frederick County, heavy rain falling at a rate of up to 2.5 inches an hour caused flooding across the western and central portions of the county. At least 10 roads were closed by high water from rising creeks and streams. Water and debris covered Route 522 after Issac Run overflowed north of Winchester. West of Winchester on Route 50, Hogue Creek overflowed onto Route 50 and forced the closure of 2 of the 4 lanes of traffic. Near Stevenson, Interstate 81 was flooded at mile marker 320 and all southbound lanes had to be closed for an hour. A tractor trailer crossing this section of roadway hydroplaned off the road. Other roads closed by high water included North Hayfield Road, Northwestern Pike, North Mountain Road, and Ebenezeer Road. Basements were flooded in Winchester. Tavenner Run overflowed its banks in Gainesboro and destroyed a small private access bridge, an above ground pool, and a fiberglass fishing boat. Pieces of the boat were found in the creek after the water subsided. Saturated soil allowed a tree in Cross Junction to fall across a road. Enough hail fell to turn the ground white in Stevenson, Cross Junction, Gainesboro, and Winchester. Drifts of hail up to 4 inches deep could still be found in Gainesboro the next morning.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 26, 1:16 PM EST, 2 hours 44 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON 216 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2001 KLWX 88D OTS DUE TO FAILED PART. PART ON ORDER AND SHUD ARRIVE THIS EVENING. ALL THREE MDLS HV SIMILAR SOLNS THIS FCST PD. AXIS OF H5 S/W WHICH WAS PROVIDING LIFT TO SHRAS/TSRAS OVR ERN ZONES THIS AFTN PROGGED TO BE OVR CNTRL FA BY 00Z TNGT AND NE OF THE FA BY 06Z. ASSOCD RH WL BE OVR NE PTN OF FA BY 00Z THEN ATMOS DRIES OUT A BIT OVERNGT. WL CONT LIKELY POPS FOR THE EVE OVR ERN FA. OTHERWISE SKIES SHUD BE PC. HVIEST PCPN HAS NOT BEEN OVR THE MD ZONES W/LOWEST FFG SO NO NEED FOR FFA YET. WL CONT TO MONITOR. DWPTS IN U50S AND L60S WL KEEP TEMPS FM FALLING MUCH TNGT. THUS PREFER MAV TEMPS OVR LOWER FWC TEMPS. ON SUN...A FAIRLY STG VORT LOBE PROGGED TO PIVOT ARND GRT LAKES/OH VLLY UPR LOW INTO THE WRN ZONES. AREA OF HI RH AND DECENT UVV PROGGED TO ACCOMPANY THIS FEATURE AS IT ROTATES THRU THE NW PART OF THE FA. H85 WNDS WL INCR TO 25-30 KT. MDLS ALSO HV A SFC TROF MOVG E THRU FA DUR THE AFTN. THESE FACTORS SUPPORT THE FWC/MAV CHC POPS. PCPN WL MAINLY BE CONFINED TO THE AFTN. HIEST PROB WL BE IN NW. WL GO W/COMPROMISE BETW FWC/MAV FOR TEMPS SUN. SFC BDRY WL BE APPCHG ERN ZONES SUN EVE SO WL CONT CHC POPS THERE. WL OTHERWISE HV PC FOR SUN NIGHT. UPR LOW PROGGED TO SHIFT NE AND OPEN UP ON MON. H85 FLOW WL BE WESTERLY AND AMS WL CONT TO DRY OUT. WL HV P/S OR M/S. GUID TEMPS SUN NIGHT AND MON LUK RSNBL. IN THE EXTENDED PD...OLD MRF AND 12Z AVN BOTH HAD STG VORT PIVOTING THRU THE RGN ON WED BUT RH WAS LIMITED. WL GO MSTLY CLDY INSTEAD OF PC TO ACCT FOR THIS...OTRW XTENDED PD LUKS QUIET AND REFLECTS CURR FCST. .LWX... DC...NONE. MD...NONE. VA...NONE. WV...NONE. ARTHUR
DCZ001-MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-VAZ025>031-036>042-050>057- WVZ050>053-055-270300- SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE-WASHINGTON 1150 AM EDT SAT MAY 26 2001 THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE...ALL OF MARYLAND...THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA. AN UPPER ATMOSPHERIC DISTURBANCE WILL ACT UPON A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS CAUSING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH WINDS IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH AND HAIL LARGER THAN DIMES. THERE IS ALSO THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO. HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE THUNDERSTORMS. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THE STORMS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/ER/LWX ARTHUR
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 flash flood, 3 hail, 2 lightning, 1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Nickel sized hail was reported.
Lightning started hay bales on fire 10 miles north of Winchester.
Nickel sized hail fell.
Quarter sized hail accumulated up to 2 inches just northeast of Winchester.
Lightning started a structure fire.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2001Every state in 2001This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, May 2001
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5249163, 5249160, 5249161, 5249162, 5249164, 5247945, 5249165, 5247946, 5247947.