Flash Flooding and Hail in Virginia, August 18, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
230 PM EDT SAT AUG 18 2001

PCPN RPDLY DVLPNG ALONG STALLED FRNTL BNDRY DRAPPED ACROSS FA
ATTM. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH APPRCHG S/W MOVG NE FROM CAROLINAS
TO SPELL RTHR WET NIGHT AHEAD...SPCLLY SERN AREAS WHERE POPS
WILL BE GREATEST. S/W FROM GT LAKES RGN TO DROP SE AND CARVE
OUT ERN TROF THRU MON. THIS SCENARIO WILL PUSH STALLED BNDRY
BACK NW AS A WRM FRNT SUN...PUTTING FA BACK INTO WRM & TRPLCL
AIRMASS WITH CHC POPS INTO SUN NITE. FRNT ASSCTD WITH LOW PRS
LIFTG NE WILL CROSS RGN MON...BUT SLOW ENUF TO KEEP CHC POPS
MOST OF THE DAY. HIGHS IN 80S...MINS U60S-M70S.

ONCE SYSTM CLRS COAST AND TROF COMPLETELY LIFTS OUT...WRN ATLNTC
RIDGE TO DOMINATE WX...THUS KEEPING FA WRM & DRY THRU WEEKS END.

CWF...NO FLAGS XPCTD. FLOW BECOMES SW BY SUN BUT WNDS REMAIN AOB
15 KTS.

FCSTID = 44
SBY   69  85  70  86 /  50  50  50  30
OXB   71  83  73  85 /  50  50  50  30
ECG   72  88  73  88 /  60  50  50  40
ORF   74  87  74  88 /  60  50  50  40
PHF   73  86  73  86 /  60  50  50  40
AKQ   71  87  72  88 /  60  50  50  40
RIC   70  85  70  88 /  50  40  40  30
FVX   71  86  71  88 /  50  50  40  30

.AKQ...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.