Hail and Damaging Winds in Oklahoma, May 23, 2001

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
245 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2001

UPPER LOW LOCATED OVER MN/WI THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE TO
INFLUENCE THE WEATHER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT WOBBLES OVER THE
MIDWEST.  COLDER AIR ALOFT HAS LED TO SOME INSTABILITY SHOWERS AS
CLOSE AS SOUTHWEST MO THIS AFTERNOON...AND MAY SEE ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING ALONG WEAK
SURFACE TROUGH THAT WILL BE DROPPING TO THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
AREA TONIGHT.  SATL ALSO SHOWING AN IMPULSE OVER THE DAKOTAS THIS
AFTERNOON ROTATING AROUND THE UPPER LOW...SO WILL KEEP LOW POPS
GOING THROUGH THE NIGHT RATHER THAN CONFINE TO JUST THIS EVENING.
WITH UPPER SYSTEM WOBBLING A LITTLE CLOSER FOR THURSDAY WILL ALSO
KEEP THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ALREADY IN THE FORECAST FOR
THURSDAY WITH MAYBE A FEW SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWERS AROUND.
PROBABLY BETTER CHANCES IN FAR NORTHEAST AREAS.

SEE NO REASON TO MAKE ANY BIG CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED PART OF THE
FORECAST WITH A GENERALLY DRY WEEKEND...THEN AT LEAST A CHANCE OF
PRECIP BY MEMORIAL DAY INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK.

COOLER TEMPS IN STORE FOR THURSDAY...THEN DAYTIME HIGHS WILL
MODERATE AGAIN FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.

FCSTID = 4
TUL   49  70  46  74 /  20  20  10  10
FSM   50  70  45  74 /  20  20  10  10
MLC   50  70  46  75 /  20  20  10  10
BVO   46  68  43  72 /  20  20  10  10
FYV   44  65  40  68 /  20  20  10  10
BYV   44  65  40  68 /  20  20  10  10
MIO   45  67  42  70 /  20  20  10  10
MKO   49  70  46  74 /  20  20  10  10
F10   49  70  46  74 /  20  20  10  10
HHW   50  70  47  75 /  20  20  10  10

.TSA...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241100-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2001

EARLY THIS AFTERNOON A COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED FROM SOUTHEAST KANSAS
TO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA.  THIS COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON AND ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA
THIS EVENING.  ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS LIMITED...ENOUGH COLD
AIR IS LOCATED ALOFT TO THE MAKE THE ATMOSPHERE UNSTABLE.  A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MAY FORM ALONG THE COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON.  WITH
THE DRY LOW LEVELS AND WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES...ANY THUNDERSTORMS
THAT FORM MAY BE ABLE TO PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS.  SHOULD
THUNDERSTORMS FORM THEY WILL LIKELY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AFTER
SUNSET.