Lightning Strike in New Jersey, June 11, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED TYPO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
320 PM EDT MON JUN 11 2001

RADAR SHOWING LINE OF TSRA/S STRETCHING FROM FINGER LAKES REGION OF
NY SW TO THE PA BORDER ATTM. EXPECT CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT ALONG THIS
LINE AS AFTERNOON PROGRESSES...AS S/W CONTINUES TO MOVE E. THE
GREATEST THREAT FOR TSRA WILL BE ACROSS NRN ZONES...CLOSER TO THE
S/W. MODELS A BIT SLOWER THAN PREV RUNS WITH ERN MOVEMENT OF S/W SO
WILL NOW HAVE PRECIP ENDING SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT FROM NW-SE.

PREVIOUS ETA RUNS HAD ANOTHER S/W MOVING ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF CWA
TUE AFTERNOON INTO TUE NIGHT. 12Z ETA NOW KEEPS THIS FEATURE FARTHER
N ACROSS SRN NEW ENGLAND. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE AVN...AND WILL
THEREFORE REMOVE MENTION OF PRECIP DURING THIS PERIOD. HOWEVER...
WILL INTRODUCE A LOW CHC OF TSRA ACROSS NRN ZONES WED AFTERNOON AS A
VORT MAX MOVES SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION.

THE MOST NOTICEABLE ASPECT OF THE WX THIS WEEK WILL BE THE
INCREASINGLY HUMID AIRMASS WHICH WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION ON A SW
FLOW. TEMPS WILL RISE TO AROUND 90 IN PHL ON TUE AND WED. DPTS WILL
RISE FROM THE MID 60S ON TUE TO NEAR 70 ON WED WITH HEAT INDEX
VALUES APPROACHING 100 DEG AT TIMES. THIS HOWEVER REMAINS JUST BELOW
HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA...BUT FUTURE SHIFTS WILL NEED TO
RE-EVALUATE.

REMNANTS OF ALLISON MAY SPREAD ACROSS CWA THU AND FRI...AND MAY ALSO
HELP TO KEEP TEMPS BELOW HEAT ADVISORY/WARNING CRITERIA FOR THE END
OF THE WORK-WEEK.

AS FOR TEMPS...HIGHS GENERALLY CLOSER TO THE WARMER MAV'S. ON
WED...H850 TEMPS ABOUT 2 DEG WARMER THAN ON TUESDAY...BUT THE
INCREASED CLOUD COVER SHOULD HELP TO KEEP TEMPvS SIMILAR BOTH DAYS.
ETA SOUNDINGS INDICATE FULL SUN HIGHS AT PHL OF 88 ON TUE AND 93 ON
WED. MINS GENERALLY ACCEPTED.

NOTHING ON THE MARINE.

.PHI...NONE.

JAQ/TFG

NJZ001-007>010-PAZ055-062-120400-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #398 EXPIRES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1100 PM EDT MON JUN 11 2001

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS EXPIRED...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM HAS
ESPIRED. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COULD STILL DEVELOP SOUTH AND EAST
OF ALLENTOWN PENNSYLVANIA UNTIL 3 AM BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE. DUE TO
MOIST UNSTABLE AIR OVER THE REGION...SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD STILL
CONTAIN BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT OUR
WEB SITE ATw WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/ER/PHI (IN SMALL LETTERS).

RNS