Lightning Strikes in New Jersey, August 13, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
340 PM EDT MON AUG 13 2001

RADAR MOSIAC LIGHTING UP THIS AFTERNOON WITH APPROACH OF SURFACE
COLD FRONT AND STAGNENT BOUNDARY ACROSS DELMARVA. BOTH 00Z AND
LATEST 12Z MODELS GENERALLY DOING QUITE WELL WITH PRECIPITATION
POTENTIAL AND LOCATION WITH BOTH OF THESE FEATURES. FLOOD POTENTIAL
STILL EXISTS TODAY ALTHOUGH IT IS LESS THAN LAST TWO DAYS ACROSS
MOST OF THE CWA. A SLIGHT EASTWARD FLUX IN U/L FLOW AND APPROACHING
COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH BEST PW/S SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CWA.
12Z RAOBS SHOWED KALB PW/S AT 1.45...NYC AT 2.14...AND KLWX AT 2.02
INCHES. TRAINING DELAWARE ECHOES NOW OFFSHORE. COLD FRONTAL
PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO MOVE AT A GOOD CLIP AT THE MOMENT. H8 JET
ASSOCIATED MORE WITH DELMARVA BOUNDARY HELPING TO INCREASE RAINFALL
IN THIS AREA...BUT IS STILL LESS IMPRESSIVE COMPARED TO YESTERDAY
DECREASING BLO 20 KTS. THIS PLACEMENT SHOULD ALSO HELP LIMIT
RAINFALL INTENSITIES ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT.

DEW POINTS CURRENTLY IN THE UPPER 60S TO MIDDLE 70S ACROSS THE CWA
WILL BE REPLACED WITH MIDDLE 50S TO LOWER 60S THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS AS DRIER AIR ADVECTS SOUTH FROM THE GREAT LAKES. MODELS ARE
PAINTING AFTERNOON PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CWA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS
IT REMAINS UNDER CYCLONIC FLOW. WITH DECREASING AMOUNTS OF SURFACE
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND FURTHER ADVECTION NOT EXPECTED UNDER THIS
CYCLONIC FLOW...WILL LIMIT TO SLIGHT POPS AND LEAVE PRECIPITATION
WORDING OUT OF PACKAGE.

WITH FROPA...H8 TEMPS DECREASE...ON AVERAGE...2 DEGREES C ACROSS CWA
BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANOTHER 1 DEGREE DECREASE ON WEDNESDAY.
THUS...TOO MUCH CHANGE NOT EXPECTED. RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL
BE LOWER THOUGH. SURFACE WINDS SHOULD SHIFT TO NORTH FOR ALL THE CWA
BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY...EXCEPT FOR COAST
WHERE AFTERNOON SEABREEZES ARE A GOOD BET. EVEN WITH SOMEWHAT LOWER
DEW POINTS TONIGHT...WILL INCLUDE PATCHY FOG ONE LAST TIME. THE CRUX
OF THE DRYER AIR WILL BE HERE ON WEDNESDAY.

AFTER A MAINLY RAIN-FREE WORK WEEK...THE EXTENDED WILL INCLUDE THE
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ON DAYS 4...5...AND 6. YET ANOTHER WET
WEEKEND POSSIBLE.

NOTHING TO NOTE ON THE MARINE DESK. SEAS CONTINUING IN THE 3 TO 5
FOOT RANGE.

MPO   57  76  55  75 /  30  10  20   0
ABE   64  80  61  79 /  30  20  20   0
RDG   64  80  61  79 /  40  20  20   0
PHL   69  82  65  81 /  40  20  20   0
12N   58  78  56  77 /  30  10  20   0
SMQ   68  81  63  79 /  40  20  20   0
TTN   69  82  65  81 /  40  20  20   0
MIV   70  82  65  81 /  40  20  20   0
ACY   69  78  69  78 /  40  20  20   0
ILG   67  82  63  80 /  40  20  20   0
DOV   70  82  65  81 /  40  20  20   0
GED   70  82  65  81 /  40  20  20   0
ESN   70  82  65  81 /  40  20  20   0

.PHI...
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
PA...NONE.

KRUZDLO

DEZ003-004-NJZ021>025-140200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - HEAVY RAINFALL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
207 PM EDT MON AUG 13 2001

...VERY HEAVY RAIN OCCURRING THIS HOUR...

RADAR WAS TRACKING AN AREA OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER SUSSEX COUNTY
DELAWARE. THE RAIN WAS FALLING AT A RATE OF 2 INCHES AN HOUR AND IS
LIKELY TO CAUSE FLOODING ON ROUTES 9 AND 1...THE ARTERIES TO THE
BEACH COMMUNITIES.

THIS AREA WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE DELAWARE BAY INTO CAPE MAY
COUNTY WITH AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES...BEFORE SPREADING INTO
EASTERN CUMBERLAND AND ATLANTIC COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY THE BARRIER
ISLANDS.

HIGH TIDE THIS AFTERNOON OCCURS AT 258 PM AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND 313
PM AT CAPE MAY AND 239 PM AT ATLANTIC CITY. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL
PRIOR TO AND AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE FURTHER ADDING TO THE STREET
FLOODING.

MOTORISTS ARE URGED NOT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODING WATERS.
ALSO..THESE STORMS ARE ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES. MARINERS ON THE DELAWARE BAY...BACK BAYS AND OCEAN
FRONT SHOULD HEAD BACK TO SHORE.

EBERWINE

NJZ008>010-140230-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - HEAVY RAIN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
223 PM EDT MON AUG 13 2001

...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...

A NARROW LINE OF VERY HEAVY RAIN STRETCHED ACROSS PARTS OF HUNTERDON
...SOUTHERN MORRIS...AND NORTHERN SOMERSET COUNTIES. THE RAIN WAS
FALLING AT A RATE OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES AN HOUR.

THE RAIN WAS FALLING OVER PARTS OF ROUTES 78 AND 287 AND IS LIKELY
TO CAUSE FLOODING ON OTHER ROADS AS WELL.

THE RAIN WAS DRIFTING SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH AND EAST AND WILL WILL
LINGER IN THE SAME GENERAL AREA FOR ABOUT 30 TO 40
MINUTES.

MOTORISTS ARE URGED NOT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS.

EBERWINE

NJZ014-019-020-026-132200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - HEAVY RAIN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
308 PM EDT MON AUG 13 2001

...THUNDERSTORMS BRINGING HEAVY RAIN...

RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM BURLINGTON
COUNTY...INTO OCEAN AND SOUTHERN MONMOUTH COUNTIES. THE RAIN MAY FALL
AT A RATE OF 1 TO 2 INCHES AN HOUR.

THE HEAVIEST RAIN WAS FALLING OVER THE PARKWAY NORTH OF EXIT 69 TO
TOMS RIVER AND ACROSS GBANEGAT BAY TO LAVALETTE AND ORTLEY BEACH.
ROADWAY FLOODING WILL OCCUR OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AND MOTORISTS
ARE URGED NOT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED STREETS.

THERE HAS ALSO BEEN A MARKED INCREASE IN THE NUMBER OF LIGHTNING
STRIKES WITHIN THE PAST HOUR.

EBERWINE