Damaging Wind and Lightning Strike in Maryland, May 27, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
354 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2001

JUST ABOUT AS ADVERTISED...MARINE LAYER LEFT MOST OF AREA WITH BATCH
OF RN THAT COVERED AREA YDA INTO ERLY TDA. H5 CLSD LO IS MOVG TWD
THE NE AND WL MOV SLOWLY ACRS NY STA. MDLS INDICATE THAT THIS
FEATURE WL WEAKEN AS IT DOES SO.

MEANWHILE...S/W TROF THAT BROUGHT SOME SVR WX TO MDWEST YDA IS NOW
IN OUR NECK OF THE WOODS.  S/S HELPED TEMPS TO WARM THIS AFTN MOST
AREAS AND PREVIOUS RN HAS HELPED ADD DWPTS TO AREA THUS MAKING AREA
PRIME FOR TRW DVLPMNT AND SVR TRW STILL A GD PSBLTY.

THIS FEATURE MOVS ON TNGT AND A BREAK SETS IN AS UP LO MOVS ACRS NY
STA ON MON. MDLS HINT THAT ALL MSTR SWEPT OUT AND THUS WUD XPCT
NOTHING ON THE HOLIDAY. HOWEVER...WL CONT A CHC FOR LT DAY AND ERLY
NGT TIME RW/TRW. MON NGT.  AFTER THAT MDLS SUGGEST THAT MAIN H5 UP
LO PULLS INTO CANADA WITH A WEAKER EXTENSION TRYING TO DROP DOWN TWD
NY STA.  HAVE OPTED TO LEAVE PRECIP OUT OF FCST TUE ALL ZNS...THO
THIS SYS CUD TRIGGER SOMETHING UP ACRS NRN ZNS.  AFTER THAT FAIR WX
THRU MIDWK UNTIL NXT SYS ARND FRI BRNGS CHC PRECIP.

ON THE MARINE...NOTHING UP.

WWA 297 AND 298 CONT FOR CWA--EXPIRATION TIME 7PM.

.PHI...NONE.

JWH

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-NJZ001-007>010-015>019-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071-
272100-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1112 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2001

...SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OKLAHOMA HAS PLACED PART OF
THE REGION IN A SLIGHT RISK AREA FOR SEVERE WEATHER LATER TODAY.

AT THIS TIME...THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO SEE ANY POSSIBLE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...CECIL AND KENT COUNTIES MARYLAND AND ACROSS WESTERN AND
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF NEW JERSEY.

A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE
UPPER MIDWEST THE PAST FEW DAYS. THIS LOW WILL BEGIN TO DRIFT SLOWLY
TOWARD THE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. AS IT DOES...A STRONG
DISTURBANCE FROM THIS LOW WILL APPROACH THE AREA.  THIS FEATURE DID
PRODUCE SOME SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE CENTRAL MIDWEST ON
SATURDAY...AND IS EXPECTED TO DO SO AGAIN LATE TODAY IN THE MID
ATLANTIC REGION.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS
OF 58 MILES AN HOUR...THREE QUARTER INCH OR LARGER SIZE HAIL...AND
IN SOME INSTANCES TORNADOES.

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/ER/PHI IN SMALL LETTERS.

JWH

PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071-280115-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
110 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2001

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA.

THE EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES IN THE WATCH AREA INCLUDE...
CARBON...MONTGOMERY...BERKS...CHESTER...PHILADELPHIA...DELAWARE...
NORTHAMPTON...BUCKS...LEHIGH...AND MONROE.

SKIES ACROSS THE REGION HAVE BECOME PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY AND THE
ATMOSPHERE UNSTABLE. AS A RESULT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AT 30 TO 35 MPH.

AT 115 PM...A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED OVER THE
CENTRAL PART OF PENNSYLVANIA. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE
LIKELY TO DEVELOP FARTHER EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED AND APPRECIATED.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS WHICH MAY CONTAIN DAMAGING WIND
IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH AND HAIL 3/4 INCH OR GREATER IN DIAMETER IN AND
CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN MAY
ALSO ACCOMPANY ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED AND WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION PLEASE TUNE TO
THE NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR THE NWS MT. HOLLY WEB SITE AT
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/ER/PHI

EBERWINE

DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016>018-021-280145-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT- SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
138 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2001

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
FOR PARTS OF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES.

THE COUNTIES IN THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDE...

IN NEW JERSEY...
SALEM...CUMBERLAND...GLOUCESTER...AND CAMDEN AND INCLUDING THE
WATERS OF THE UPPER DELAWARE BAY AND RIVER.

IN DELAWARE...
NEW CASTLE...AND KENT AND INCLUDING THE WATERS OF THE DELAWARE
BAY.

IN MARYLAND...
CECIL...QUEEN ANNES...CAROLINE...KENT...AND TALBOT AND INCLUDING THE
WATERS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY.

SKIES ACROSS THE REGION HAVE BECOME PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY AND THE
ATMOSPHERE UNSTABLE. AS A RESULT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AT 30 TO 35 MPH.

AT 145 PM...THUNDERSTORMS ARE INTENSIFYING OVER NORTHERN VIRGINIA
AND WESTERN MARYLAND. THESE STORMS WILL BE MOVING EAST INTO AN
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED AND APPRECIATED.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS WHICH MAY CONTAIN DAMAGING WIND
IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH AND HAIL 3/4 INCH OR GREATER IN DIAMETER IN AND
CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN MAY
ALSO ACCOMPANY ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED AND WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION PLEASE TUNE TO
THE NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR THE NWS MT. HOLLY WEB SITE AT
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/ER/PHI

EBERWINE