Damaging Wind in Louisiana, January 29, 2001

SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
134 AM CST MON JAN 29 2001

MODELS APPEAR TO BE WELL INITIALIZED AT 00Z AND OUT PUTS ARE
SIMILAR FOR OUR AREA.

AT UPPER LEVELS SIGNIFICANT DIVERGENCE IS PROGGED FOR THE AREA TODAY
AHEAD OF MID AND UPPER TROUGH PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT. NOSE
OF UPPER JET IS PROGGED OVER NORTHERN LOUISIANA OR THE NORTHWESTERN
EXTREMES OF THE LOCAL AREA THIS MORNING INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI BY
EVENING. THIS IS A LITTLE FAR NORTH TO AID STORM PRODUCTION EXCEPT
OVER THE NORTHERN EXTREMES OF THE AREA. STRONG LOW TO MID LEVEL LIFT
WILL TRAVERSE THE AREA TODAY. MODERATE LIFT WILL RETURN TUESDAY
NIGHT. 50 KT LOW LEVEL JET PROGGED TO TRAVERSE EAST ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY SHOULD PROVIDE PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FOR STORM
PRODUCTION. SURFACE NORTH TO SOUTH COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND OVER THE
WESTERN EXTREMES OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING AND SHIFT TO THE
EAST OF THE AREA BY EVENING. BEHIND THE FRONT...DRY AIR SHOULD
PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

WILL CALL FOR CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 90 PERCENT TODAY
THEN 0 POPS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. A SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP EAST INTO THE WESTERN EXTREMES OF THE AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING AND TRAVERSE EAST OVER THE AREA TODAY. SEVERE STORMS...
PRIMARILY PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...ARE A POSSIBILITY TODAY.
FRONT IS PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH SO QUICKLY THAT FLOOD PRODUCING
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED...BASIN AVERAGE 24 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
PEGGED AT AN ONLY AN INCH TO AN INCH AND A QUARTER FOR OUR AREA.

.LCH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HIGH ISLAND TO ATCHAFALAYA RIVER...
    ...GMZ450-455-470-4o75

.PRELIMINARY NUMBERS...
AEX 62/43/67/44 9000
BPT 66/44/69/46 9000
LCH 67/46/69/46 9000
LFT 70/47/69/46 9000

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES, LA
719 AM CST MON JAN 29 2001

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0518 AM    JASPER                    TX   WIND DAMAGE
01/29/01   JASPER                         LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED
                                          TREES BLOWN DOWN AT HOPKINS
                                          DRIVE

0533 AM    BROOKELAND                TX   WIND DAMAGE
01/29/01   JASPER                         LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED
                                          TREES BLOWN DOWN ALONG
                                          HIGHWAY 96 AT BROOKELAND

0545 AM    EVADALE                   TX   WIND DAMAGE
01/29/01   JASPER                         LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED
                                          TREES BLOWN DOWN AT JONES
                                          ROAD IN EVADALE

0603 AM    BURKEVILLE                TX   WIND DAMAGE
01/29/01   NEWTON                         TREES BLOWN DOWN ACROSS
                                          HIGHWAYS 87 AND 692 AT
                                          BURKEVILLE

GMZ450-455-470-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-
291500-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
730 AM CST MON JAN 29 2001

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 9 CONTINUES UNTIL 900 AM THIS
MORNING FOR CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 9 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...  HARDIN...JASPER...
JEFFERSON...NEWTON...ORANGE...TYLER

A LINE OF SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM FLATWOODS IN
NORTHWEST RAPIDES PARISH TO DEQUINCY IN NORTHERN CALCASIEU PARISH TO
HACKBERRY IN CAMERON PARISH. THE LINE EXTENDED OFFSHORE FOR 60
NAUTICAL MILES. THE LINE WAS MOVING EAST 40 MPH...WHILE THE
INDIVIDUAL STORMS WERE RACING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH OR MORE.

SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS IN THE LINE WILL PRODUCE WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 50 MPH WHICH WILL BLOW OVER TREES AND DAMAGE POWER LINES. THEREG
IS A DANGER TO MOTORISTS FROM TREES FALLING ACROSS ROADWAYS.

THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER HAS ENDED OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
THOSE COUNTIES HAVE BEEN CLEARED FROM THE WATCH.

SPARKS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES, LA
813 AM CST MON JAN 29 2001

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0645 AM    GRANT                     LA   WIND DAMAGE
01/29/01   ALLEN                          TREES DOWN REPORTED BY
                                          LOCAL TELEVISION STATION.

0730 AM    BOYCE                     LA   WIND DAMAGE
01/29/01   RAPIDES                        SEVERAL TREES DOWN
                                          INCLUDING ONE ACROSS A
                                          TRAILER REPORTED BY FIRE
                                          CHIEF.

GMZ455-475-LAZ028-029-031>033-042>045-051>055-292000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
930 AM CST MON JAN 29 2001

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 10 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR
RAPIDES...ALLEN...JEFF DAVIS AND CAMERON PARISHES...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 10 CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
PARISHES UNTIL 2 PM...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...SAINT LANDRY...
ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...UPPER SAINT MARTIN...VERMILION...IBERIA...
SAINT MARY AND LOWER SAINT MARTIN...

AT 920 AM...A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM
THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF AVOYELLES PARISH TO THE COAST NEAR PECAN
ISLAND IN VERMILION PARISH AND INTO THE GULF BEYOND 60 MILES SOUTH
OF WHITE LAKE. THE LINE WAS MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THIS LINE. THESE WINDS
CAN KNOCK DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES. THERE IS A DANGER TO MOTORISTS
FROM TREES FALLING ACROSS ROADWAYS.

BEHIND THIS LINE...SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BUT NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR
RAPIDES...ALLEN...JEFF DAVIS AND CAMERON PARISHES.

RUA