Damaging Wind in Kentucky, March 13, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
145 AM EST TUE MAR 13 2001

NEW LINE OF CONVECTION FORMING ALONG COLD FRONT IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY
AT THIS TIME AS ADVERTISED. THIS LINE SHOULD REACH EASTERN KENTUCKY
BY ABOUT 09Z.

RATHER COMPLICATED SCENARIO THIS FORECAST PERIOD. ONCE THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SWINGS THROUGH THE AREA...ANOTHER VORT MAX WILL ROTATE
AROUND THE UPPER LOW CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES.
THIS WILL SKIM THE NORTHERN PART OF OUR CWA LATE IN THE FIRST PERIOD.
WILL BREAK OFF THE FAR NORTHERN COUNTIES FOR AN ENHANCED CHANCE OF
SHOWERS.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD INTO THE AREA RESULTING IN A
DECREASE IN CLOUDS AND BENIGN WEATHER IN THE SECOND AND THIRD
PERIODS. TEMPS WILL BE FAIRLY CLOSE TO CLIMATOLOGY.

ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA BY LATE IN THE FOURTH PERIOD.
MESOETA PROJECTS ONE OF THE SURFACE LOWS TO TRACK THROUGH THE GULF
COAST STATES AND PROVIDE AN OVERRUNNING EVENT FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY.
AT THE SAME TIME...ANOTHER SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES REGION. EXPECT TO SEE SOME LIGHT PRECIP START MOVING INTO OUR
SOUTHERN COUNTIES BY 12Z THURSDAY.

MAV AND FWC GUIDANCE TEMPS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT AND LOOK
REASONABLE. GUIDANCE POPS DO NOT AGREE WELL IN THE FIRST PERIOD.
WILL TEND TO GO WITH A COMPROMISE WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE
NORTHERN COUNTIES WHERE THE HIGHER POPS WILL BE FAVORED AS NOTED.

.JKL...NONE.

LCM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, KY
551 AM EST TUE MAR 13 2001

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0520 AM    HAZARD                    KY   1.00 INCH HAIL
03/13/01   PERRY                          NUMEROUS TREES WERE ALSO
                                          REPORTED DOWN ACROSS THE
                                          COUNTY. REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT