Flood in Indiana, February 9, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
215 PM EST THU FEB 8 2001

WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL INCREASE WINDS OVER THE FORECAST AREA
LATER TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS MAY BE A PROBLEM TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...ESPECIALLY ALONG A COLD FRONT TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WERE SCATTERED OVER THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. A FRONT WAS FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WAS OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S.

SHOWERS WERE DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. THOSE SHOWERS
SHOULD GET INTO THE FORECAST AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. ETA SHOWS
SOME DRIER AIR LATER IN THE EVENING...THEN HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY
LATER TONIGHT. WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

MODELS DIFFER ON TIME OF FRONTAL PASSAGE TOMORROW. PREFER THE FASTER
ETA AND NGM OVER THE AVN. UPPER TROUGH IS BEING EJECTED BY TROUGH
DIGGING DOWN THE WEST COAST.

MODELS HAVE 850 MB WINDS REACHING 50 KTS LATER TONIGHT...AND
REMAINING STRONG INTO FRIDAY EVENING. CONVECTION ALONG THE COLD FRONT
TOMORROW AFTERNOON COULD BRING THOSE STRONG 850 MB WINDS TOWARD THE
SURFACE.

SOME SHOWERS COULD LINGER UNDER THE UPPER TROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES LOOK. THEY MAY BE A BIT COOL TONIGHT AS DEW
POINTS HAVE ALREADY PUSHED INTO THE 50S. EAST PART OF AREA WILL NOT
SEE COLDER AIR UNTIL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. COLD ADVECTION WILL DROP
TEMPERATURES FRIDAY NIGHT AND PREVENT THEM FROM RISING ON SATURDAY.

.IND...NONE.