Flooding in Indiana, December 16 to 30, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
250 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2001

POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND SOME FLOODING IS THE BIGGEST CONCERN
FOR THE NEXT 30 HOURS. MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE BRINGING HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS OUR CWA STARTING LATER THIS AFTN THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING. HPC FORECAST ALSO REFLECTS THIS AS THEY INDICATE 24 HOUR
AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES FROM THE VINCENNES AREA TO JUST EAST OF
IND. ALL INGREDIENTS SEEM TO COME IN PLAY WITH A 50-60 KNOT 850 JET
SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER WITH ITS NOSE POINTING TOWARDS CENTRAL
INDIANA. THERE IS ALSO DIFFLUENCE AT H2 AND H3 LEVELS AND PRECIPTABLE
WATER UP TO 1.6 INCHES BY TNGT.  12 HOUR FFG GENERALLY AROUND 1.5
INCHES BUT JUST OVER 2 INCHES IN THE FAR NORTH.

WILL ISSUE A FLOOD WATCH FOR OUR SOUTHERN CWA FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT AND ELSEWHERE FOR TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING. MODELS
BRING A DRY SLOT NORTH INTO OUR CWA DURING THE DAY MONDAY.

WILL GO A CATEGORY BELOW FWC/MAV TEMPS TODAY WITH PRECIP MOVG IN AND
THE WRM FNT STILL JUST TO OUR SOUTH AT 00Z. ETA TRACKS SFC LOW ALONG
A EVV TO W CENTRAL OHIO LN BY MIDDAY MONDAY.  TEMPS SHOULD RISE SOME
OVERNIGHT TNGT ALONG AND EAST OF THIS LINE AND PROBABLY REMAIN NEAR
STEADY ELSEWHERE. WILL GO FAIRLY CLOSE TO FWC/MAV TEMPS MONDAY.

.IND...FLOOD WATCH THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
       BAK-HUF LINE. FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING
       REST OF OUR CWA.

HENDRICKSON