Hail in Indiana, April 6, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
210 PM EST FRI APR 6 2001

RADAR CONTS TO SHOW TSRA MOVG ACRS NW AND WCNTRL INDIANA MAINTAINING
STRENGTH INTO MOST UNSTABLE AIR. SFC ANALYSIS HAS WRM FNT N OF FCST
AREA ACRS NRN INDIANA. PRIMARY FCST IS IMMEDIATE SVR WX THREAT AND
RAIN CHCS THRU FCST PERIOD.

SVR WX HAS PRECLUDED DETAILED MODEL ANALYSIS BUT QUICK LOOKS HAVE
SHOWN 12Z ETA/NGM/AVN MODELS QUITE ALIKE IN MOST FCST PARAMETERS. WL
USE A BLEND OF THE 3 MDLS...WITH SLGT PREFERENCE GIVEN TO THE ETA AS
NOTED IN NCEP DISCUSSION.

WL END PCPN THIS EVENING OVR FCST AREA WITH ANOTHER POSSIBLE SHOT
SAT MORN BEFORE DRIER AIR WRAPS IN. UPR FEATURE MAY BRING PCPN TO
FAR SRN AREAS AGAIN LATE SAT NGT AND SUN. THEN AS FRONT WAVERS BACK
AND FORTH ACROSS STATE MOST OF WEEK...DAILY CHCS FOR RAIN WHICH ARE
HARD TO REFINE AT THIS TIME. GIVEN THIS SCENARIO...EXPECT DAILY
TEMPS TO BE SLGTLY MILDER THAN CURRENT FCST.

WL ALSO GO WITH A BLEND OF MODEL TEMP AND POPS FCST THRU ALL
PERIODS.

.IND...NONE.
TUCEK

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-061950-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
149 PM EST FRI APR 6 2001

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING OVER NORTH
CENTRAL INDIANA AT 145 PM EST. THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE
MOVING TO THE EAST AT 30 MPH. THE PRECIPITATION WILL AFFECT THE
CITIES OF LAFAYETTE...KOKOMO AND FRANKFORT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE
QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIER SHOWERS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS WERE MOVING THE EAST
SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH AND WILL MOVE INTO WARREN AND FOUNTAIN COUNTIES
AFTER 100 PM EST. THESE STORMS CONTAIN HEAVY RAINS AND MAY CONTAIN
SMALL HAIL AND STRONG WIND.

RPG

INZ028-035>037-039-043>048-051>056-060-062130-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
243 PM EST FRI APR 6 2001

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR CENTRAL AND NORTHCENTRAL
INDIANA UNTIL 600 PM EST...

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING INTO WEST CENTRAL INDIANA AT 245 PM
EST. THE THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING TO THE EASTSOUTHEAST AT 35 TO 40
MPH AND WILL BE NEAR RILEYSBURG AND VEEDERSBURG BETWEEN 250PM AND
315 PM EST. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL APPROACH THE INDIANAPOLIS
METROPOLITAN AREA BETWEEN 400 PM EST AND 430 PM EST. THESE STORMS
WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...STRONG WINDS AND MAY
CONTAIN LARGE HAIL.

OTHER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE OVER WESTCENTRAL AND
EASTCENTRAL INDIANA AND WILL AFFECT THE CITIES OF TERRE HAUTE...
ANDERSON AND NOBLESVILLE. THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY
RAINS AND POSSIBLE SMALL HAIL.

RPG