Damaging Winds and Lightning Strike in Georgia, August 24, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
220 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2001

FRONT IS DIPPING THROUGH THE NRN PORTION OF SC THIS AFTN. WEAKENING
WAVE IS ALSO NEAR THE NC CST. ANOTHER SHARPER AREA IS HEADING
THRU THE UPSTATE AND SHOULD TRACK NEAR THE SAV RVR THRU LATE THIS
EVENING. THIS AREA SHOULD HOLD ENUF POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST A 20 POP
MOST ZONES TONIGHT...CHANCES ENDING EARLY FOR THE NRN ZONES AS
DRIER AIR FILTERS IN AND LINGERING CHC FOR SRN ZONES THRU EARLY
MORNING. FRONT WILL PUSH TO THE SRN EXTENT OF CWA BY DAYBREAK ON
SAT. REMNANTS OF MID/UPR TROF OFF THE SE COAST ALL THE WAY THRU SUN.
HOWEVER...RDG EXTENDS ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE W AND THE REGION FALLS
UNDER STRONG NVA. THAT IN ADDITION TO DRIER AIRMASS CALLS FOR A DRY
FCST SAT THRU SUN. MY TEMPS WILL BE VERY CLOSE TO THE MAV NUMBERS.
THE NEXT TROF SLOWS JUST E OF THE MS VLY EARLY NEXT WEEK AND HI PRES
GETS RE-ESTABLISHED FROM THE ATLC ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST COAST. PLAN TO
INTRODUCE SLIGHT CHC POPS FOR MON AFTN AND KEEP MAINLY DIURNALLY
DRIVEN POPS THRU THE WEEK WITH PATTERN DEFLECTING ANY WAVES WELL TO
OUR N. TEMPS AT OR JUST ABV CLIMO THRU THEN.

CWF...EXPECT A SURGE LATE TONIGHT BEHIND FROPA...MAINLY SC WATERS.
COULD BRING WINDS UP TO 15-20 KTS LATE. DECREASING WINDS ON SAT. AVN
SFC LO SEEMS TOO DEEP AND TOO CLOSE TO COAST...SO WILL COMPROMISE
BETWEEN ETA AND AVN WINDS THRU SUN. BUT LOW SHOULD PRODUCE SWELL
ACROSS THE WATERS FOR THE ENTIRE WEEKEND. NO FLAGS.

FCSTID = 25
CHS   69  89  69  91 /  20  10  10  10
SAV   70  90  69  91 /  20  10  10  10
CHL   75  88  75  89 /  20  10  10  10
NBC   70  90  70  91 /  20  10  10  10
RBW   67  90  67  91 /  20  10  10  10

.CHS...
GA...NONE.
SC...NONE.

MJR