High Surf in California, February 19 to 21, 2001

SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
830 AM PST MON FEB 19 2001

COLD FRONT ARRIVING RIGHT ON SCHEDULE AND PRETTY MUCH WITH EXPECTED
INTENSITY. STRADY RAIN IS ALREADY ENDING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF SLO COUNTY AND THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SPEED THROUGH OUR AREA.
RAIN WILL ARRIVE IN LA COUNTY BY NOON AND STEADY RAIN SHOULD BE OVER BY
EVENING. AFTERNOON RUSH HOUR COMMUTE WILL LIKELY BE A WET ONE FOR LA
DRIVERS, BUT FORTUNATELY ITS A HOLIDAY. QUARTER TO HALF INCH OF RAIN
LOOKS GOOD WITH THIS ONE WITH POSSIBLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE FOOTHILLS
AND MOUNTAINS. STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW SHOULD PRODUCE DECENT SNOW AMOUNTS
ABOVE 6000 FEET SO WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY LOOKS REASONABLE. WILL
CANCEL THE WIND ADVISORY ALONG THE CENTRAL COAST AS WINDS HAVE REALLY
DIMINISHED UP THERE NOW THAT THE FRONT HAS PASSED.

ALTHOUGH THE UPPER LOW WILL MOVE WELL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA, THERE
WILL BE ENOUGH RESIDUAL MOISTURE AND WEAK DYNAMICS TO GENERATE
SCATTERED SHOWERS TONIGHT AND EVEN INTO EARLY TUESDAY. CENTRAL COAST
COULD EVEN SEE SHOWERS INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON BUT RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
BE LIGHT.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
FOR FAIR WEATHER. ANOTHER STORM WILL APPROACH THE AREA THURSDAY FOR A
GOOD CHANCE OF MORE RAIN. NOT A MAJOR EVENT THURSDAY, BUT PROBABLY VERY
SIMILAR TO TODAYS. SHOWERS MIGHT LINGER INTO FRIDAY, BUT MAINLY ALONG
THE CENTRAL COAST AND IN THE MOUNTAINS. ANOTHER GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN FOR
LATER IN THE WEEKEND.

LAX +62. WOFFORD

.LAX...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY (SEE LAXWSWLAX)
       SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SEE LAXCWFLAX).
       HEAVY SURF ADVISORY (SEE LAXMWSLAX).