Storms of 1998

G4 (Severe) Geomagnetic Storm of November 7, 1998

November 7 to 8, 1998 · 21 hours

A G4 (severe) geomagnetic storm began November 7, 1998, reached Kp 8- and lasted 21 hours, with a daily Ap as high as 66; at that Kp the aurora may be seen from about 47 degrees geomagnetic latitude.

The Kp through the storm

Began Nov 7, 12:00 UTC, peaked in the block from Nov 8, 03:00 UTC, ended Nov 8, 09:00 UTC.

From 00 UT the day before to the end of the day after. Blocks in the storm are colored by level; the rest are gray.

The storm

Peak Kp
8- (7.67)
NOAA level
G4 Severe
Duration
21 hours
Highest daily Ap
66
Highest 3-hour ap
179
Rank since 1932
259 of 4,139

How far south the aurora could have been seen

At Kp 8- NOAA’s scales put the aurora’s reach at about 47 degrees geomagnetic latitude: 38°N in the central US, 37°N in the eastern US, 41°N in the western US and 47°N in northern Europe.

NOAA says a G4 storm’s aurora has been seen as low as Alabama and northern California.

US cities within reach, the southernmost first

  • Richmond, VA 46.7° geomag.
  • Lexington, KY 47.0° geomag.
  • Lexington-Fayette, KY 47.0° geomag.
  • Louisville, KY 47.2° geomag.
  • Lakewood, CO 47.3° geomag.
  • Denver, CO 47.3° geomag.
  • Aurora, CO 47.3° geomag.
  • St. Louis, MO 47.3° geomag.
  • Overland Park, KS 47.4° geomag.
  • Meads, KY 47.5° geomag.

71 US cities of 150,000 people or more sit at or poleward of that line. Low on the northern horizon under a dark, clear sky; not a record of sightings.

Tonight’s aurora forecast

Day by day

The daily Ap is the mean of the day’s eight three-hour ap values.

UT dayDaily ApHighest Kp that day
November 7, 1998265
November 8, 1998668-

Flares before it

Peak (UTC)ClassRegionBefore the storm began
Nov 5, 19:55 UTCM8.440 hours
Nov 7, 11:06 UTCM2.41 hour
Nov 6, 15:11 UTCM1.7NOAA 837121 hours
Nov 5, 13:36 UTCM1.5NOAA 837546 hours
Nov 3, 19:33 UTCM1.088 hours

The strongest M and X class flares GOES recorded from four days before the storm began to its end, the window in which a coronal mass ejection launched with a flare usually arrives. A flare in this list is context, not proof of the cause: many storms come from coronal holes, and many flares launch nothing toward Earth.

More

The storm before, Oct 20The storm after, Nov 9Every storm of 1998The strongest on recordThis day in weather historyTonight’s aurora forecast

Sources

Kp and ap from GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Geomagnetic Observatory Niemegk, licensed CC BY 4.0: Matzka, J., Stolle, C., Yamazaki, Y., Bronkalla, O. and Morschhauser, A., 2021, The geomagnetic Kp index and derived indices of geomagnetic activity, Space Weather, doi:10.1029/2020SW002641; data doi:10.5880/Kp.0001. Storms, levels and aurora reach worked out by WeatherOverTime from those values and NOAA’s space weather scales. Definitive through August 31, 2026; later values are preliminary. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Flares from NOAA NCEI’s GOES X-ray flare reports (1975 to 2017) and SWPC’s edited solar event lists, public domain; classes as NOAA recorded them at the time.