Rivers in Virginia
South Fork Shenandoah River near Lynnwood
Below flood stage
2.22ftStage
Observed Sun, Sep 27, 12:45 PM EDT
- Flood stage
- 16.00 ft
- Forecast crest
- 2.30 ftSun, Sep 27, 2:00 PM EDT
- Record crest
- 30.84 ft1996
Flood stages and impacts
| Category | Stage |
|---|---|
| Major flood | 20.00 ft |
| Moderate flood | 17.00 ft |
| Minor flood | 16.00 ft |
| Action | 14.00 ft |
- 25.00 ftWater reaches homes in Elkton off Old Spottswood Trail. Water also approaches the Island Ford Road bridge near Berrytown. Numerous other structures and roads are inundated by this major flood.
- 22.00 ftNumerous homes are flooded between Lynnwood and Elkton, including in Berrytown. Numerous roads along and crossing the river are also flooded. Water is also approaching railroad tracks south of Elkton.
- 20.00 ftSeveral homes and other buildings between Lynnwood and Elkton are flooded. Significant agricultural flooding is occurring on both sides of the river.
- 17.00 ftFarmland on both banks of the river begin to flood between Lynnwood and Port Republic. Water covers Flank Circle in Lynnwood and approaches homes in that area. Portions of Power Dam Road and Captain Yancey Road between Lynnwood and Berrytown are also flooded.
- 16.00 ftLowlands near the river, and low spots of Power Dam Road, begin to flood.
- 14.00 ftWater begins to overflow the banks but little impact is observed.
Flood outlook
Chance of flooding, September to November
| Category | Chance |
|---|---|
| Minor flooding | 10% |
| Moderate flooding | 8% |
| Major flooding | 7% |
The three-month chances are the River Forecast Centers’ long-range flood outlook, issued August 28, 2026.
Crest history
34 crests on NOAA’s list since 1934.
| # | Date | Stage |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | September 7, 1996 | 30.84 ft |
| 2 | November 5, 1985 | 29.46 ft |
| 3 | October 15, 1942 | 27.20 ft |
| 4 | March 18, 1936 | 26.57 ft |
| 5 | January 19, 1996 | 24.88 ft |
| 6 | June 18, 1949 | 23.60 ft |
| 7 | June 22, 1972 | 23.45 ft |
| 8 | August 18, 1955 | 22.94 ft |
| 9 | September 19, 2003 | 22.40 ft |
| 10 | October 6, 1972 | 21.92 ft |
| 11 | September 18, 1945 | 21.70 ft |
| 12 | December 1, 1934 | 21.62 ft |
| 13 | April 26, 1937 | 20.48 ft |
| 14 | March 19, 1975 | 20.44 ft |
| 15 | May 22, 1942 | 20.37 ft |
| 16 | September 18, 2018 | 20.23 ft |
| 17 | April 17, 2011 | 19.93 ft |
| 18 | August 17, 1940 | 19.86 ft |
| 19 | March 4, 1993 | 19.45 ft |
| 20 | May 30, 1971 | 19.43 ft |
| 21 | April 17, 1987 | 19.29 ft |
| 22 | January 25, 2010 | 19.09 ft |
| 23 | September 29, 2004 | 18.92 ft |
| 24 | October 9, 1976 | 17.99 ft |
| 25 | April 22, 1992 | 17.91 ft |
Most recent crests
- September 30, 2024: 16.71 ft
- September 18, 2018: 20.23 ft
- April 17, 2011: 19.93 ft
- January 25, 2010: 19.09 ft
- November 30, 2005: 17.81 ft
- September 29, 2004: 18.92 ft
- September 19, 2003: 22.40 ft
- February 18, 1998: 17.49 ft
- September 7, 1996: 30.84 ft
- January 19, 1996: 24.88 ft
Nearby
Upstream, downstream and the gauges around this one.
What this means
Forecasts by the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center. Forecasts are issued routinely year-round. Stage may be affected by ice.
Sources
Stage, flood stages, impacts and crest history from NOAA’s National Water Prediction Service. Streamflow and the daily record from the U.S. Geological Survey.