Rivers in Virginia
Rappahannock River above Fredericksburg
Below flood stage
2.27ftStage
Observed Wed, Sep 30, 5:00 PM EDT
- Flood stage
- 13.00 ft
- Forecast crest
- 2.30 ftWed, Sep 30, 8:00 PM EDT
- Record crest
- 25.90 ft1942
Flood stages and impacts
| Category | Stage |
|---|---|
| Major flood | 23.00 ft |
| Moderate flood | 16.00 ft |
| Minor flood | 13.00 ft |
| Action | 10.00 ft |
- 23.00 ftWater covers significant sections of River Road. Multiple structures upstream of Fredericksburg area also affected. Downstream, significant flooding is likely in the city of Fredericksburg.
- 20.00 ftWater is above the top of the first floor at a riverside wedding venue upstream of Fredericksburg.
- 16.00 ftWater begins to cover River Road upstream of the city of Fredericksburg. Structures near the Motts Run boat landing are flooded.
- 13.00 ftWater covers the Riverside Trail off River Road upstream of Fredericksburg. Water also enters a building at a riverside wedding venue, and begins to cover the parking lot at the Motts Run boat landing.
- 12.00 ftWater begins to cover grassy areas near the mouth of Motts Run.
- 10.00 ftWater exceeds bankfull upstream of the tidal interface, but no property is affected.
- 3.20 ftThe Friends of the Rappahannock recommend that river levels greater than this are unsafe to recreation.
Flood outlook
Chance of flooding, October to December
| Category | Chance |
|---|---|
| Minor flooding | 15% |
| Moderate flooding | 6% |
| Major flooding | Under 5% |
The three-month chances are the River Forecast Centers’ long-range flood outlook, issued September 28, 2026.
Crest history
63 crests on NOAA’s list since 1908.
| # | Date | Stage |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | October 16, 1942 | 25.90 ft |
| 2 | April 26, 1937 | 25.14 ft |
| 3 | June 22, 1972 | 22.56 ft |
| 4 | September 7, 1996 | 17.97 ft |
| 5 | June 23, 2018 | 17.55 ft |
| 6 | June 28, 1995 | 17.14 ft |
| 7 | August 19, 1955 | 17.00 ft |
| 8 | September 13, 1924 | 16.50 ft |
| 9 | March 5, 1993 | 15.54 ft |
| 10 | May 1, 2014 | 15.43 ft |
| 11 | October 1, 1924 | 15.10 ft |
| 12 | May 6, 1989 | 15.03 ft |
| 13 | February 15, 1984 | 14.79 ft |
| 14 | February 27, 1979 | 14.72 ft |
| 15 | October 10, 1976 | 14.38 ft |
| 16 | November 6, 1985 | 14.33 ft |
| 17 | January 27, 1978 | 13.44 ft |
| 18 | March 20, 1975 | 13.37 ft |
| 19 | May 17, 2014 | 13.32 ft |
| 20 | November 28, 1993 | 13.22 ft |
| 21 | February 5, 1998 | 13.20 ft |
| 22 | January 10, 2024 | 13.04 ft |
| 23 | April 10, 1918 | 13.00 ft |
| 24 | October 2, 1979 | 12.83 ft |
| 25 | December 11, 2003 | 12.69 ft |
Most recent crests
- January 10, 2024: 13.04 ft
- June 23, 2018: 17.55 ft
- May 17, 2014: 13.32 ft
- May 1, 2014: 15.43 ft
- April 18, 2011: 11.27 ft
- March 11, 2011: 10.77 ft
- March 7, 2011: 10.88 ft
- January 26, 2010: 11.81 ft
- May 12, 2008: 11.10 ft
- October 9, 2005: 10.96 ft
Nearby
Upstream, downstream and the gauges around this one.
What this means
Forecasts by the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center. Forecasts are issued routinely year-round. Stage may be affected by ice.
Sources
Stage, flood stages, impacts and crest history from NOAA’s National Water Prediction Service. Streamflow and the daily record from the U.S. Geological Survey.